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ALK vs SKYW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alaska Air Group (ALK) vs. SkyWest (SKYW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SKYW trades at a more attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.33 compared to ALK's 52.46, signaling better valuation.
- SKYW boasts significantly higher earnings per share (EPS) of $10.35 versus ALK's $0.83, reflecting stronger profitability.
- ALK has surged over 20% in the past month amid earnings reactions and sector tailwinds, outpacing the broader market.
- SKYW shows year-to-date gains of about 4%, with a robust fleet and regional partnerships driving operational strength.
- Both stocks operate in the volatile airlines sector but differ in scale: ALK as a mainline carrier with $5B market capitalization (market cap), SKYW as a regional leader at $3.9B.
- Over the past year, SKYW has outperformed with nearly 20% returns versus ALK's flat performance.
Introduction
This comparison pits ALK, a major U.S. airline operator, against SKYW, a leading regional carrier, both navigating the cyclical airlines sector. Investors eyeing aviation exposure—amid fluctuating fuel costs, travel demand, and capacity constraints—may find value in assessing their relative performance, valuations, and momentum. Traders focused on short-term swings or longer-term stability in transportation stocks will benefit from this head-to-head analysis of recent market positioning and operational drivers.
ALK Overview and Recent Performance
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) operates Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and regional services, providing passenger and cargo transport across North America and select international routes. With a fleet centered on Boeing jets, the company serves major hubs with a focus on West Coast connectivity. In recent market activity, ALK stock has exhibited strong momentum, gaining over 20% in the past month to around $43.50, rebounding from year-to-date pressures. This uptick follows Q1 results showing revenue growth of 5.2% year-over-year to $3.3 billion, despite an adjusted loss, buoyed by easing oil prices and acquisition speculation. Sentiment has shifted positively on operational resilience and network expansion, though high P/E and beta of 1.27 (volatility measure relative to the market) highlight risks from fuel volatility and economic slowdowns.
SKYW Overview and Recent Performance
SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) is a premier regional airline, partnering with major carriers like Delta, United, and Alaska to operate feeder flights. It manages a fleet of 637 aircraft, delivering over 2,260 daily departures across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, with additional leasing and ground services. Recent weeks have seen SKYW trade around $96.50, with modest year-to-date gains near 4% amid steady operations. Strong historical profitability, including robust Q4 2025 EPS beats, supports performance, driven by fleet utilization and contract stability. Investor sentiment reflects confidence in its low-cost model, though higher beta of 1.64 exposes it to sector headwinds like labor costs and demand fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALK and SKYW both thrive in airlines but diverge in models: ALK's mainline focus offers broader route exposure and scale ($14B revenue), while SKYW's regional niche ensures stable fee-based contracts with majors, yielding superior margins. Growth drivers contrast—ALK via mergers and international push, SKYW through fleet modernization. Recent momentum favors ALK's sharp rebound, but SKYW leads in valuation and EPS. Risks include fuel prices and capacity for both, with SKYW's higher beta amplifying volatility. Market sentiment tilts toward SKYW's profitability amid sector consolidation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI leans toward SKYW in the current environment, citing its compelling valuation, consistent profitability, and relative stability over ALK's momentum-driven gains. Factors like lower P/E, higher EPS, and outperformance over the past year position SKYW favorably for trend consistency and catalysts such as regional demand, though ALK could regain edge on acquisition momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Buy and SKYW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSKYW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SKYW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKYW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SKYW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -4.13% price change this week, while SKYW (@Airlines) price change was +1.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +0.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
SKYW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+0.42% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| ALK | SKYW | ALK / SKYW | |
| Capitalization | 5.69B | 3.84B | 148% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 654M | 170% |
| Gain YTD | 1.571 | -1.096 | -143% |
| P/E Ratio | 99.59 | 8.93 | 1,116% |
| Revenue | 14.4B | 4.12B | 349% |
| Total Cash | 1.77B | 627M | 282% |
| Total Debt | 6.67B | 2.48B | 269% |
ALK | SKYW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 20 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKYW's Valuation (57) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (78). This means that SKYW’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
SKYW's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (100). This means that SKYW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
SKYW's SMR Rating (53) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (90). This means that SKYW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as SKYW (47). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for SKYW (72). This means that ALK’s stock grew significantly faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | SKYW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 76% | 10 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 77% |
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -0.31% | ||
| DAL - ALK | 76% Closely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| SKYW - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| AAL - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| LUV - ALK | 70% Closely correlated | -0.44% | ||
| ALGT - ALK | 68% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
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SKYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKYW has been closely correlated with UAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKYW jumps, then UAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW | 100% | N/A | ||
| UAL - SKYW | 73% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| ALGT - SKYW | 71% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| AAL - SKYW | 70% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| JBLU - SKYW | 62% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ULCC - SKYW | 57% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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