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ADSK vs CRWD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. CrowdStrike (CRWD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different markets, different growth profiles: Autodesk (ADSK) is a design-software leader with steady low-teens-to-high-teens revenue growth, while CrowdStrike (CRWD) is a cybersecurity pure-play expanding at a roughly 20%-plus clip.
- Profitability contrast: Autodesk is solidly profitable on a GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) basis, whereas CrowdStrike remains roughly breakeven to slightly loss-making at the operating line despite strong cash generation.
- Valuation gap: CrowdStrike trades at a materially richer multiple, reflecting its faster growth and AI-security momentum, while Autodesk carries a comparatively lower valuation.
- AI exposure differs: CrowdStrike's demand is being driven directly by AI-related security needs, while Autodesk is integrating AI across its design platform at a more measured pace.
- Volatility profile: CrowdStrike has shown sharper price swings tied to AI sentiment, whereas Autodesk has displayed more stable, execution-driven behavior.
Introduction
Autodesk and CrowdStrike sit in different corners of the technology sector, yet both are frequently screened together by growth-oriented investors evaluating software franchises. Autodesk is a decades-old leader in design, engineering, and construction software, while CrowdStrike is a fast-scaling cybersecurity platform built around the cloud and artificial intelligence (AI). This stock comparison examines their business models, recent momentum, relative performance, and market positioning to help traders and investors weigh a mature, profitable software incumbent against a higher-growth, higher-valuation security disruptor in the current market environment.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk (ADSK) develops software for architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media, headlined by products such as AutoCAD and the Fusion platform. In recent quarters, the company has delivered consistent revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens, supported by strength in its AECO (Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations) segment, construction, and emerging markets. Its fiscal 2026 results showed total revenue rising roughly 18% year over year to about $7.2 billion, with management guiding to further double-digit growth.
Over recent weeks, Autodesk's share price has been influenced by execution on its transaction-model transition, the integration of acquisitions such as MaintainX, and ongoing margin expansion. Analysts have generally maintained constructive ratings, though price targets have been trimmed in some cases as comparisons become more demanding. Sentiment has centered on the durability of recurring revenue and the company's ability to layer AI features across its design workflows rather than on speculative catalysts.
CRWD Overview and Recent Performance
CrowdStrike (CRWD) operates the Falcon platform, a cloud-native cybersecurity suite spanning endpoint protection, identity, cloud security, and threat intelligence. Demand has accelerated recently as enterprises seek to secure AI deployments and defend against increasingly sophisticated attacks. In its latest fiscal year, revenue rose about 22% to roughly $4.8 billion, with ending annual recurring revenue (ARR) crossing $5 billion and record net new ARR reported in its most recent quarter.
CrowdStrike's stock has been notably more volatile than Autodesk's, posting large gains over the trailing year before pulling back amid broader AI-related sentiment shifts. Its Falcon Flex subscription model has become a key growth engine, growing well over 100% year over year, while module adoption rates continue to climb. Investor attention has focused on the tension between rapid top-line expansion and a still-thin operating margin, alongside a premium valuation that leaves little room for error.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk and CrowdStrike differ most sharply in business model and growth trajectory. Autodesk is a mature, subscription-based design-software franchise with entrenched customer relationships, high gross retention, and steady margin expansion. Its growth drivers are structural—cloud adoption, the shift to flexible transaction models, and AI-assisted design—rather than tied to any single technology cycle. CrowdStrike, by contrast, is a platform consolidator riding a direct AI-security tailwind, with rapid module adoption and a land-and-expand motion that produces faster revenue growth but thinner near-term profitability.
Risk profiles also diverge. Autodesk's risks center on macroeconomic sensitivity in construction and manufacturing spending and the complexity of its business-model transition. CrowdStrike's risks include an elevated valuation, decelerating growth as the business scales, and sharper sensitivity to shifts in AI sentiment. On valuation, CrowdStrike trades at a substantially higher multiple of sales and forward earnings than Autodesk, reflecting the market's premium for its faster expansion. In terms of momentum, CrowdStrike has delivered stronger trailing returns, but with greater drawdowns; Autodesk has offered comparatively steadier, execution-driven performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely differentiate the two on risk-adjusted rather than raw momentum grounds. CrowdStrike exhibits the stronger trend and more powerful near-term catalysts, but its higher volatility and premium valuation reduce its stability profile. Autodesk presents a more consistent, lower-beta trend supported by durable recurring revenue and margin expansion, albeit with a more modest growth rate. Accordingly, a trend-following AI model oriented toward momentum would likely lean toward CrowdStrike, while a stability- or risk-aware model would likely favor Autodesk. The current balance of factors points to a slight edge for CrowdStrike on trend strength, tempered by recognition that its advantage is probabilistic and sensitive to sentiment shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a StrongBuy and CRWD is a Hold.
ADSK's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADSK as a result. In 52 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.751) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.734). P/E Ratio (32.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.183). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for CRWD turns negative, indicating new downward trend
CRWD saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 67 of the 91 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CRWD moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRWD turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRWD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
CRWD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRWD advanced for three days, in 287 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
CRWD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 262 of 317 cases where CRWD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRWD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (47.755) is normal, around the industry mean (15.867). CRWD's P/E Ratio (6345.067) is considerably higher than the industry average of (56.069). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.296) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.212) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (45.662) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
ADSK | CRWD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADSK's Valuation (83) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as CRWD (100) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to CRWD’s over the last 12 months.
CRWD's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for ADSK (100) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that CRWD’s stock grew significantly faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (19) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for CRWD (89) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew significantly faster than CRWD’s over the last 12 months.
CRWD's Price Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as ADSK (43) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that CRWD’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
CRWD's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for ADSK (88) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that CRWD’s stock grew significantly faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | CRWD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 18 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 68% | 8 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CRWD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CRWD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CRWD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CRWD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а +3.99% price change this week, while CRWD (@Computer Communications) price change was -2.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -0.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.32%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -1.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
CRWD is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-0.42% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
@Computer Communications (-1.38% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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CRWD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CRWD has been closely correlated with PANW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CRWD jumps, then PANW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CRWD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWD | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| PANW - CRWD | 85% Closely correlated | +2.21% | ||
| OKTA - CRWD | 78% Closely correlated | -3.50% | ||
| FTNT - CRWD | 75% Closely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| RBRK - CRWD | 72% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| TENB - CRWD | 71% Closely correlated | +3.27% | ||
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