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ADSK vs ORCL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. Oracle (ORCL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) focuses on design and engineering software with steady subscription growth, while Oracle (ORCL) emphasizes cloud infrastructure and AI-driven database solutions.
- Recent market activity shows Autodesk (ADSK) delivering consistent revenue expansion through product innovation, contrasting with Oracle (ORCL)’s higher volatility tied to AI infrastructure demand.
- Both companies operate in the technology sector but differ in exposure: Autodesk (ADSK) serves creative and manufacturing industries, whereas Oracle (ORCL) targets enterprise cloud and data management.
- Analyst sentiment remains generally constructive for both, with price targets reflecting expectations of sustained growth amid evolving market conditions.
- Risk factors include macroeconomic pressures on software spending for Autodesk (ADSK) and elevated capital expenditure needs for Oracle (ORCL)’s cloud expansion.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between Autodesk (ADSK)’s more stable trajectory and Oracle (ORCL)’s potential for sharper moves driven by AI catalysts.
Introduction
This comparison examines Autodesk (ADSK) and Oracle (ORCL), two established technology companies with distinct business models within the broader software and cloud landscape. Autodesk (ADSK) specializes in design, engineering, and construction software, while Oracle (ORCL) provides enterprise database, cloud, and infrastructure solutions. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, sector positioning, and market dynamics between a design-focused software provider and a cloud infrastructure leader. It draws on recent market activity to highlight contrasts in growth drivers, momentum, and risk profiles without favoring either security.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk (ADSK) develops software for architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and entertainment industries, with a business model centered on subscription-based access to its design and simulation tools. In recent market activity, the stock has reflected steady demand for its offerings amid broader technology sector movements. Performance has been influenced by quarterly results showing revenue growth in the mid-teens percentage range on both reported and constant-currency bases, supported by strong billings and operating margins. Recent developments, including strategic acquisitions, have contributed to shifts in sentiment, with the shares experiencing fluctuations tied to integration expectations and overall market conditions. Investor focus remains on the company’s ability to maintain momentum in its core subscription base while navigating economic uncertainties affecting capital spending in design and construction sectors.
ORCL Overview and Recent Performance
Oracle (ORCL) delivers database management, cloud infrastructure, and enterprise applications, with increasing emphasis on artificial intelligence integration and cloud services. In recent market activity, the stock has shown notable volatility linked to AI infrastructure trends and upcoming earnings expectations. Performance reflects robust cloud revenue growth, with analysts noting strong remaining performance obligations and operating results in prior periods. Recent developments, including analyst upgrades and raised price targets, have shaped sentiment, though the shares have also faced pressure from broader technology sector rotations and capital expenditure considerations. Market participants continue to monitor the company’s positioning in AI data centers and enterprise cloud adoption, which have been key influences on relative strength amid shifting investor priorities.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk (ADSK) and Oracle (ORCL) present contrasting profiles across key dimensions. Autodesk (ADSK) operates a subscription-heavy model with exposure to cyclical design and manufacturing demand, offering relative stability in recurring revenue but sensitivity to broader economic slowdowns in construction and engineering. Oracle (ORCL) centers on cloud infrastructure and AI capabilities, benefiting from enterprise digital transformation trends yet carrying higher execution risk from substantial capital investments in data centers. Recent momentum has favored Oracle (ORCL) amid AI-related catalysts, while Autodesk (ADSK) has demonstrated more measured progress aligned with product adoption cycles. Risk factors differ accordingly, with Autodesk (ADSK) facing potential margin pressure from acquisition integration and Oracle (ORCL) contending with valuation concerns tied to growth expectations. Sector exposure places Autodesk (ADSK) in application software and Oracle (ORCL) in infrastructure software, creating distinct trade-offs for investors balancing growth potential against volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in cloud and AI-driven segments, relative positioning amid recent market activity, and stability of growth catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Oracle (ORCL). The company’s alignment with enterprise AI infrastructure demand and analyst attention provide a foundation for continued momentum, though execution risks around capital expenditures remain relevant. Autodesk (ADSK) offers a more balanced profile with steady subscription dynamics but less pronounced near-term catalysts in the current environment. This assessment reflects data-driven observations rather than definitive outcomes and should not be interpreted as investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a StrongBuy and ORCL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileORCL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ORCL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORCL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ORCL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а -13.71% price change this week, while ORCL (@Computer Communications) price change was -13.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.09%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -1.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
ORCL is expected to report earnings on Sep 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.27% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
@Computer Communications (-1.12% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
| ADSK | ORCL | ADSK / ORCL | |
| Capitalization | 41.9B | 530B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 2.33B | 30.6B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | -32.965 | -4.950 | 666% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.97 | 31.58 | 92% |
| Revenue | 7.51B | 64.1B | 12% |
| Total Cash | 2.92B | 39.1B | 7% |
| Total Debt | 2.72B | 153B | 2% |
ADSK | ORCL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ORCL's Valuation (59) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (76). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ORCL's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADSK (100). This means that ORCL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ORCL's SMR Rating (17) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (20). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ORCL's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (65). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ORCL's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (95). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | ORCL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 28 days ago 64% | 15 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 60% |
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ADSK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADSK has been loosely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ADSK jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADSK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | 100% | -3.47% | ||
| CLSK - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| CRWD - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| BSY - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| CRM - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| PANW - ADSK | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.03% | ||
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ORCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ORCL has been loosely correlated with CDNS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ORCL jumps, then CDNS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ORCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL | 100% | +0.02% | ||
| CDNS - ORCL | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| ADSK - ORCL | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.47% | ||
| DSGX - ORCL | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| CRWV - ORCL | 47% Loosely correlated | +5.02% | ||
| PDFS - ORCL | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
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