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AEP vs EXC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? American Electric Power (AEP) vs. Exelon (EXC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEP has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at 19.67% compared to EXC's 7.59%.
- EXC offers a higher dividend yield of 3.61% versus AEP's 2.78%.
- Both stocks trade at reasonable valuations, with EXC at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 17.03 compared to AEP's 20.59.
- AEP shows superior one-year returns of 31.56% over EXC's 3.34%.
- Recent dividend declarations reinforce both companies' commitments to shareholder returns, with quarterly payouts of $0.95 for AEP and $0.42 for EXC.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings reports on May 5 for AEP and May 6 for EXC could influence near-term sentiment.
Introduction
American Electric Power (AEP) and Exelon (EXC) are leading electric utility companies operating in the regulated power sector, serving millions across the U.S. This comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused investors seeking stable dividends and defensive positioning amid market volatility, as well as traders monitoring sector momentum in utilities. Both stocks benefit from essential service demand and infrastructure tailwinds, but differ in regional focus, growth profiles, and recent price action, offering trade-offs in yield, valuation, and upside potential.
AEP Overview and Recent Performance
American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) is a major investor-owned utility providing electricity generation, transmission, and distribution across 11 states, primarily in the Midwest and South. Its business emphasizes large-scale transmission investments and a shift toward renewables. In recent market activity, AEP shares have climbed near their 52-week high of $138.49, reflecting positive sentiment from a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.95 per share and anticipation for Q1 earnings. Year-to-date gains stand at 19.67%, outperforming broader utilities amid favorable infrastructure outlooks and analyst adjustments like Morgan Stanley's Overweight rating. Trading around $136.91 with a market cap of $74.4 billion, the stock's performance has been supported by steady demand and regulatory stability.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) operates through subsidiaries delivering electricity and natural gas to customers in six states, with a focus on distribution and transmission in the Northeast and Midwest. Recent weeks have seen mixed price action for EXC, with shares around $46.50 after a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share and regulatory approvals like FERC's PJM price collar extension. Year-to-date returns of 7.59% lag peers, influenced by softer momentum despite efficiency programs saving customers billions and upcoming Q1 earnings. With a $47.6 billion market cap, sentiment reflects stable operations but valuation pressures in a competitive sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEP and EXC both operate in the electric utilities sector but diverge in business models: AEP leans on transmission for growth via grid modernization, while EXC prioritizes urban distribution. Growth drivers favor AEP with projected FY2026 EPS of $6.15-$6.45, outpacing EXC's steadier outlook. Recent momentum tilts to AEP, up over 3% in the past month versus EXC's decline of about 5%. Risk profiles show low betas (AEP 0.56, EXC 0.37), with EXC offering higher yield but AEP superior total returns. Market sentiment is neutral-positive for both, per analyst targets above current prices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor AEP in the current environment due to its consistent upward trend, stronger YTD and one-year returns, and positioning near 52-week highs amid positive dividend and earnings catalysts. EXC appeals for value and yield but trails in momentum. This assessment reflects observable relative strength, not a guarantee of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEP is a Buy and EXC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEXC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AEP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EXC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EXC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEP (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -2.31% price change this week, while EXC (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEP is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.80% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEP | EXC | AEP / EXC | |
| Capitalization | 70.1B | 45.7B | 153% |
| EBITDA | 9.4B | 9.19B | 102% |
| Gain YTD | 13.505 | 3.239 | 417% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.07 | 16.34 | 117% |
| Revenue | 22.4B | 24.8B | 90% |
| Total Cash | 516M | 713M | 72% |
| Total Debt | 51.8B | 51.2B | 101% |
AEP | EXC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXC's Valuation (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEP (63). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to AEP’s over the last 12 months.
AEP's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (38). This means that AEP’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
AEP's SMR Rating (63) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (71). This means that AEP’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
AEP's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (61). This means that AEP’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEP (54). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to AEP’s over the last 12 months.
| AEP | EXC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 57% | 8 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 46% | 12 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 30% |
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AEP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEP has been closely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEP jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.
EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.