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AMBA vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) vs. Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) specializes in edge AI vision processors for applications such as automotive and security, showing recent weeks of positive momentum with year-to-date gains exceeding 23%.
- Semtech Corporation (SMTC) focuses on analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for IoT, data centers, and connectivity, delivering substantially stronger year-to-date performance above 112% amid broader sector demand.
- Both companies operate in the semiconductor industry but target distinct growth areas, with AMBA emphasizing computer vision and SMTC highlighting signal integrity and wireless solutions.
- Recent market activity reflects heightened investor interest in AI-related technologies, influencing relative performance and sentiment for each stock.
- Risk factors include sector cyclicality, competition, and macroeconomic pressures, with SMTC exhibiting higher volatility tied to its larger recent gains.
- Market positioning favors SMTC in terms of short-term momentum while AMBA maintains a focused niche in edge AI applications.
Introduction
Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) are two semiconductor companies navigating the expanding artificial intelligence and connectivity landscape. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating opportunities in technology equities. Participants in the semiconductor sector, including those focused on edge computing, IoT, and data infrastructure, may find the analysis relevant for portfolio diversification or sector rotation decisions. The review draws on observable market data and developments from recent weeks without projecting future outcomes.
AMBA Overview and Recent Performance
Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) designs low-power system-on-chip solutions for edge artificial intelligence and computer vision applications, serving markets such as automotive safety, surveillance, and robotics. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated resilience, posting year-to-date returns of approximately 23.59% and advancing more than 30% over the past month as of late May 2026. Performance has been supported by ongoing adoption of its vision processors in AI-enabled devices and partnerships in automotive and security verticals. Sentiment in recent weeks reflects broader interest in edge AI technologies, though the company continues to operate in a competitive environment with typical semiconductor cyclical pressures.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) provides high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, along with IoT connectivity solutions, targeting data center networking, wireless infrastructure, and industrial applications. The stock has recorded exceptional gains in recent market activity, with year-to-date returns surpassing 112% and a notable single-day advance of 7% on May 22, 2026, that established a new 52-week high. Recent performance has been influenced by demand for its signal integrity and connectivity products amid expanding AI infrastructure needs. Sentiment remains constructive, driven by the company's positioning across multiple end markets, while exposure to cyclical industry dynamics persists.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) both participate in the semiconductor sector yet pursue differentiated strategies. AMBA concentrates on specialized edge AI vision processors for targeted applications such as automotive and security, whereas SMTC offers a broader portfolio encompassing signal integrity, power management, and IoT connectivity that supports data center and industrial uses. Recent momentum has favored SMTC with markedly higher returns compared with AMBA's more moderate advances. Growth drivers for AMBA center on adoption of computer vision technology, while SMTC benefits from infrastructure spending in AI networking. Risk considerations include execution on product cycles for both, with SMTC displaying elevated volatility linked to its larger price appreciation. Market sentiment appears more pronounced for SMTC in the near term, reflecting its wider exposure to high-growth connectivity themes.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI models would likely assign a higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to Semtech Corporation (SMTC). The stock’s stronger year-to-date performance and alignment with broader AI infrastructure demand contribute to this assessment, though outcomes remain subject to market volatility and sector-specific developments. Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) presents a more specialized profile that could appeal under different conditions emphasizing edge AI adoption. This evaluation reflects data-driven probabilities rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMBA is a Hold and SMTC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMBA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMBA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMBA’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMBA’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMBA (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -2.44% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +1.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +128.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMBA is expected to report earnings on Sep 01, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-0.08% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMBA | SMTC | AMBA / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 2.87B | 15.2B | 19% |
| EBITDA | -50.87M | 32M | -159% |
| Gain YTD | -7.566 | 121.577 | -6% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 130.81 | - |
| Revenue | 405M | 1.09B | 37% |
| Total Cash | 278M | 163M | 171% |
| Total Debt | 13.3M | 492M | 3% |
AMBA | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMBA's Valuation (81) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (86). This means that AMBA’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMBA (100). This means that SMTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMBA’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's SMR Rating (94) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMBA (95). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to AMBA’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMBA (51). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to AMBA’s over the last 12 months.
AMBA's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (24). This means that AMBA’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
| AMBA | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 85% |
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| SCMC | 25.07 | 0.01 | +0.04% |
| Sterling Capital Multi-Strat Inc ETF | |||
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| AIVI | 57.28 | -0.61 | -1.05% |
| WisdomTree Intl Al Enhanced Val ETF | |||
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AMBA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMBA has been closely correlated with ADI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMBA jumps, then ADI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMBA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBA | 100% | -7.40% | ||
| ADI - AMBA | 68% Closely correlated | -8.58% | ||
| RMBS - AMBA | 68% Closely correlated | -8.59% | ||
| NXPI - AMBA | 65% Loosely correlated | -7.21% | ||
| MTSI - AMBA | 65% Loosely correlated | -6.08% | ||
| SLAB - AMBA | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been loosely correlated with MXL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MXL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | -6.55% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -7.63% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -6.08% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.42% | ||
| TSEM - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.76% | ||
| AMBA - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -7.40% | ||
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