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AMCR vs GEF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor (AMCR) vs. Greif (GEF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMCR and GEF operate in the packaging sector, with AMCR focused on flexible and rigid packaging solutions globally and GEF emphasizing industrial containers and fiber-based products.
- GEF reported strong fiscal third-quarter 2026 results in late July, featuring significant year-over-year net income growth that supported analyst price target increases.
- AMCR is scheduled to release fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results on August 12, 2026, with analysts projecting a 20% year-over-year EPS increase.
- Recent market activity shows GEF delivering robust year-to-date returns, while AMCR exhibits lower volatility with a beta around 0.59.
- Both companies maintain dividend yields above 2.5%, offering income-focused investors exposure to the consumer cyclical packaging industry amid varying earnings momentum.
Introduction
Amcor plc (AMCR) and Greif, Inc. (GEF) represent two established players in the packaging industry, making their comparison relevant for investors seeking sector-specific exposure. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning within the current environment. Traders and portfolio managers monitoring consumer cyclical stocks or evaluating relative value in packaging may find the contrast between a global flexible packaging leader and an industrial packaging specialist particularly useful for understanding trade-offs in growth, stability, and earnings visibility.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc (AMCR) develops, manufactures, and distributes packaging products including flexible films, rigid containers, and specialty solutions for food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care markets worldwide. In recent weeks, market attention has centered on the company’s upcoming fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year earnings release scheduled for August 12, 2026. Analysts anticipate EPS of $1.20, representing approximately 20% year-over-year growth, alongside revenue near $6.06 billion. Broader market activity reflects measured sentiment ahead of the report, with the stock demonstrating relatively low volatility as indicated by a five-year beta of 0.59. Recent performance has been influenced by expectations around volume recovery and pricing dynamics in key end markets.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
Greif, Inc. (GEF) produces industrial packaging products such as steel, plastic, and fiber drums, intermediate bulk containers, and uncoated recycled paperboard for chemicals, food, and other sectors. The company reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results in late July, highlighting a substantial year-over-year increase in continuing-operations net income to $78.8 million. This performance contributed to upward revisions in analyst price targets, including one raise to $97. In recent market activity, the stock has shown strength, with year-to-date returns exceeding 33% and a 52-week range extending up to approximately $90.57. Sentiment has been supported by earnings momentum and operational improvements across its container and fiber businesses.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Amcor (AMCR) operates at a larger global scale with diversified exposure to consumer staples and healthcare end markets, while Greif (GEF) maintains a more concentrated focus on industrial and bulk packaging, resulting in greater sensitivity to manufacturing and chemical sector cycles. Growth drivers differ accordingly: AMCR benefits from volume trends in packaged goods and sustainability initiatives, whereas GEF has recently leveraged pricing actions and cost discipline in fiber and container products. Recent momentum favors GEF following its strong third-quarter earnings beat, contrasted with AMCR’s pre-earnings positioning. Risk factors include AMCR’s broader currency and commodity exposures versus GEF’s higher cyclicality tied to industrial demand. Market sentiment reflects GEF’s elevated year-to-date returns alongside AMCR’s emphasis on dividend stability and lower beta.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, upward price target revisions, and relative momentum in the packaging sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference toward GEF over AMCR. This positioning reflects stronger near-term catalyst visibility from the third-quarter results and favorable analyst adjustments, tempered by the upcoming earnings event for AMCR that could alter relative dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Hold and GEF is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGEF’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GEF’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GEF’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GEF’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +1.91% price change this week, while GEF (@Containers/Packaging) price change was -0.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
GEF is expected to report earnings on Dec 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-0.87% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | GEF | AMCR / GEF | |
| Capitalization | 21.9B | 4.55B | 481% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 629M | 451% |
| Gain YTD | 17.203 | 31.602 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.94 | 36.19 | 55% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 5.43B | 409% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | 288M | 551% |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 1.23B | 1,353% |
AMCR | GEF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (9) in the null industry is in the same range as GEF (22) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew significantly faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's SMR Rating (74) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (74) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (47) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMCR (78) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew significantly faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | GEF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 8 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 14 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 54% |
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been loosely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.98% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| SLGN - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.05% | ||
More | ||||
GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been loosely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.