Advertisement
AMCR vs GEF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor (AMCR) vs. Greif (GEF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale contrast: AMCR is a global packaging leader with a roughly $20 billion core portfolio, while GEF is a more focused industrial packaging specialist with a market capitalization in the low single-digit billions.
- Divergent momentum: GEF has delivered notably stronger recent price appreciation, while AMCR shares have cooled in recent weeks despite solid earnings.
- Different growth levers: AMCR is driving value through Berry Global merger synergies and portfolio divestitures; GEF is relying on cost optimization, deleveraging, and buybacks.
- Shared headwinds: Both companies cite soft volumes and Middle East-related supply-chain and demand disruption as near-term risks.
- Risk profiles differ: AMCR carries elevated acquisition-related debt, while GEF has sharply reduced leverage to roughly 1.1x.
Introduction
Amcor plc and Greif, Inc. both operate in the packaging industry, yet they serve different customer bases and follow distinct strategic paths. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a large, diversified packaging conglomerate against a smaller, more specialized industrial packaging company. Understanding how each is positioned can clarify the trade-offs between scale, integration-driven earnings growth, and disciplined capital returns. By examining business models, recent relative performance, growth catalysts, and risk factors, traders and long-term investors can assess which name better fits their portfolio and current market positioning.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc is a global producer of rigid and flexible packaging serving food, beverage, healthcare, and personal-care markets. The company's fiscal 2026 results have been shaped by the integration of Berry Global, completed in 2025, which created a roughly $20 billion core portfolio. In its most recent quarterly disclosures, AMCR reported adjusted EPS (earnings per share) growth and accelerating merger synergies, while management reiterated a multi-year synergy target of $650 million. The company has also announced roughly $500 million in non-core divestitures, with proceeds earmarked for debt reduction.
Sentiment in recent weeks has been more cautious. Shares pulled back after a stronger run, even as full-year results showed higher net income and double-digit sales growth versus the prior year. Factors weighing on the stock include still-soft organic volumes, elevated acquisition-related debt, and Middle East conflict-related supply-chain uncertainty that prompted management to hold additional inventory and adjust free cash flow guidance. A 1-for-5 reverse stock split was also completed earlier in 2026.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
Greif, Inc., based in Delaware, Ohio, manufactures industrial packaging products and services, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers (large reusable shipping containers), and closure systems. The company reshaped its portfolio in 2025 by divesting its containerboard and timberlands businesses, sharpening its focus on core industrial packaging. In recent quarters, GEF has reported rising adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), margin expansion, and strong free cash flow, driven by cost optimization and disciplined pricing.
Market performance has been the standout feature. GEF shares have advanced substantially over the past year, benefiting from deleveraging, share repurchases, a dividend increase, and cost reductions that have more than offset subdued industrial demand. Still, soft volumes in certain end markets and Middle East-related demand headwinds remain near-term constraints. Analysts have issued mixed ratings, reflecting caution around demand recovery even as financial fundamentals improve.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots drawn from a much larger library of hundreds of automated strategies that trade thousands of different tickers. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and set of underlying tickers, which is why only the bots best suited to current market conditions earn a place in this section. The page highlights key statistics, including win rates, trade frequency, and return profiles, helping users compare bots across different risk and timeframe preferences. For traders interested in how algorithmic approaches are navigating names like AMCR and GEF, exploring the Trending AI Robots section can offer a practical starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge sharply on scale and strategy. AMCR is a diversified packaging giant whose investment case rests on capturing merger synergies, expanding into higher-growth categories such as healthcare and protein packaging, and divesting non-core assets. Its growth is integration-led, with earnings benefits accruing over a multi-year horizon. GEF, by contrast, is a more focused industrial packaging operator whose recent outperformance has been driven by self-help measures: cost optimization, debt reduction, buybacks, and price increases.
Risk profiles also differ. AMCR carries substantial acquisition-related debt, which management is addressing through divestitures, while GEF has cut leverage to roughly 1.1x, strengthening its balance sheet. Both face soft volumes and geopolitical uncertainty, but GEF's recent price momentum and margin improvement contrast with AMCR's cooler near-term stock action.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor GEF in the current environment. The stock's stronger and more consistent recent trend, improving margins, reduced leverage, and active capital returns present a clearer momentum-and-quality profile than AMCR's integration-heavy, more leveraged setup. That said, AMCR offers a larger scale, a reliable dividend, and multi-year synergy catalysts that may appeal to longer-horizon investors. The verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: GEF currently demonstrates stronger relative positioning, while AMCR's appeal depends on execution of its longer-term integration plan.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Hold and GEF is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for AMCR shows an upward move is likely
AMCR's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 09, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 206 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 111 of the 206 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 54%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
AMCR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMCR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +4.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMCR advanced for three days, in 128 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMCR moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 11 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMCR as a result. In 54 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMCR turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMCR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
AMCR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMCR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.760) is normal, around the industry mean (1.266). P/E Ratio (18.774) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.239). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.991) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). AMCR has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.058) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.828) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMCR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for GEF turns negative, indicating new downward trend
GEF saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 55 of the 84 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GEF turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.
GEF moved below its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GEF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for GEF entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GEF advanced for three days, in 185 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
GEF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.374) is normal, around the industry mean (1.266). P/E Ratio (22.107) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.239). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.868) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GEF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AMCR | GEF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GEF's Valuation (48) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (60) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's SMR Rating (73) in the null industry is in the same range as GEF (75) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as GEF (58) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (80) in the null industry. This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | GEF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 45% | 15 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while GEF’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GEF’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GEF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GEF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -7.92% price change this week, while GEF (@Containers/Packaging) price change was -11.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -1.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
GEF is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-1.56% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
Advertisement
GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been loosely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.