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AMPL vs TEAM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) vs. Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TEAM boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $18.3 billion compared to AMPL's $932 million, reflecting greater scale in the collaboration software space.
- Year-to-date, TEAM has delivered stronger returns at +57% versus AMPL's +39%, driven by recent rallies and AI partnerships.
- Both stocks exhibit volatility, but TEAM's beta of 0.99 indicates lower market sensitivity than AMPL's 1.49.
- Recent AI initiatives, including product launches and partnerships, have influenced sentiment for both, with upcoming earnings adding near-term catalysts.
- TEAM trades at a forward P/E of 12.42, appearing more attractively valued relative to growth prospects compared to AMPL's 44.05.
Introduction
Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) and Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) represent key players in the software sector, with AMPL focusing on digital analytics and TEAM on team collaboration tools. This comparison is particularly relevant for growth-oriented investors and traders navigating the tech landscape amid AI-driven innovations and market volatility. By examining recent performance, business models, and market positioning, readers can assess relative strengths in momentum, valuation, and risk, aiding decisions in a dynamic environment where software stocks face earnings scrutiny and sector rotations.
AMPL Overview and Recent Performance
Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) provides a digital analytics platform that enables businesses to understand customer behavior through product data. In recent market activity, the stock has hovered around $7 per share, within a 52-week range of $5.51 to $14.49, reflecting high volatility with a beta of 1.49. Year-to-date gains stand at about 39%, supported by AI enhancements like the recent launch of an AI Assistant to aid user experiences. Sentiment has been tempered by broader software sector pressures and analyst adjustments, such as Piper Sandler's overweight rating with a $9 price target. Upcoming first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings are anticipated to shed light on revenue growth targets around 15% for the year, amid focus on AI agents contributing significantly to pipeline.
TEAM Overview and Recent Performance
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) develops collaboration software, including Jira and Confluence, to streamline team workflows. Recently, shares have rallied toward $69, within a wide 52-week range of $56 to $242, with a more moderate beta of 0.99 indicating relative stability. Year-to-date performance exceeds 57%, fueled by expansions like the Google Cloud partnership integrating Gemini AI into its Rovo platform. Analyst actions include BTIG's buy rating with a $110 target and others lowering targets amid AI competition concerns. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings, due soon, follow strong prior results with revenue growth over 20% and cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR, a measure of predictable subscription income) momentum, bolstering positive sentiment despite share dilution worries.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ markedly: AMPL's analytics platform targets product-led growth in customer insights, while TEAM's ecosystem emphasizes enterprise collaboration with sticky subscriptions. Growth drivers include AI integrations for both, but TEAM benefits from larger cloud ARR expansion. Recent momentum favors TEAM with sharper rallies versus AMPL's steadier but lower base. Risk factors highlight AMPL's higher beta and negative EPS, contrasted by TEAM's scale yet share dilution pressures. Both share software sector exposure, but TEAM shows firmer market sentiment amid AI tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward TEAM based on superior year-to-date momentum, lower beta for stability, and robust AI partnerships enhancing cloud growth prospects. While AMPL offers upside in analytics AI adoption, its higher volatility and valuation suggest greater uncertainty. This positioning indicates a probabilistic edge for TEAM in the near term, pending earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMPL is a Hold and TEAM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMPL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTEAM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMPL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TEAM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMPL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEAM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMPL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TEAM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMPL (@Packaged Software) experienced а -21.02% price change this week, while TEAM (@Packaged Software) price change was -6.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +36.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMPL is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
TEAM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.43% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| AMPL | TEAM | AMPL / TEAM | |
| Capitalization | 842M | 22.2B | 4% |
| EBITDA | -85.87M | -21.17M | 406% |
| Gain YTD | -45.164 | -46.151 | 98% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 357M | 6.19B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 182M | 1.14B | 16% |
| Total Debt | 10.1M | 1.24B | 1% |
TEAM | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AMPL | TEAM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 71% | 9 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 77% |
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AMPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMPL has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMPL jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMPL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPL | 100% | -0.63% | ||
| FRSH - AMPL | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.49% | ||
| CLSK - AMPL | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| PATH - AMPL | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| PCOR - AMPL | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.97% | ||
| RIOT - AMPL | 58% Loosely correlated | +5.23% | ||
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TEAM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEAM has been closely correlated with HUBS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEAM jumps, then HUBS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TEAM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | 100% | -4.68% | ||
| HUBS - TEAM | 70% Closely correlated | -3.04% | ||
| CRM - TEAM | 69% Closely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| FRSH - TEAM | 68% Closely correlated | -2.49% | ||
| NOW - TEAM | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.34% | ||
| WDAY - TEAM | 64% Loosely correlated | -5.01% | ||
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