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ASTE vs CAT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Astec Industries (ASTE) vs. Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAT boasts a massive market capitalization of approximately $386 billion, dwarfing ASTE's $1.35 billion, providing greater scale and liquidity.
- Year-to-date (YTD), CAT has gained 45.3%, outpacing ASTE's 35.9% rise amid strong industrial demand.
- In recent market activity, CAT delivered a 17% one-month gain, compared to ASTE's 9.1%, driven by data center tailwinds.
- Both stocks exhibit elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios—CAT at 44.1 and ASTE at 35.0—reflecting growth expectations in infrastructure and mining sectors.
- CAT benefits from a record order backlog and surging power demand from data centers, while ASTE leverages infrastructure cycles and aftermarket services.
- Analyst sentiment is positive for both, with recent price target upgrades for CAT to $930-$960 and buy initiations for ASTE.
Introduction
In the industrials sector, ASTE and CAT stand out as key players in construction and infrastructure equipment. Astec Industries focuses on road-building and materials solutions, while Caterpillar offers a broader portfolio spanning mining, energy, and heavy machinery. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders monitoring infrastructure spending, data center expansion, and cyclical recovery trends. Investors seeking relative performance insights in a market favoring equipment demand will find value in evaluating their business models, momentum, and risk profiles amid recent sector tailwinds.
ASTE Overview and Recent Performance
Astec Industries (ASTE) designs, manufactures, and services equipment for road construction, aggregate processing, and mining, operating in Infrastructure and Materials Solutions segments. Its products include asphalt plants, pavers, crushers, and conveyors sold to contractors, producers, and governments worldwide. In recent weeks, ASTE shares have climbed about 9% over the past month, building on a 77% annual surge, fueled by infrastructure demand and aftermarket growth. Positive sentiment stems from analyst buy ratings, new executive appointments in infrastructure, and Zacks commentary highlighting sustainable trends and acquisition potential. Trading near $59 with a P/E of 35 and beta of 1.39, the stock reflects optimism in the construction cycle despite its smaller scale.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar (CAT) is a global leader in construction, mining, and energy equipment, offering excavators, loaders, trucks, engines, and locomotives across segments like Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Energy & Transportation. Recent market activity has propelled shares up roughly 17% in the past month and 45% YTD, reaching new highs around $829 amid robust demand. Key drivers include a record backlog, data center power equipment needs, and strong Q4 results with $19.1 billion in sales. Analyst upgrades, such as BofA's $930 target, underscore long-term growth despite tariff risks and margin pressures. With a P/E of 44 and beta of 1.52, CAT embodies sector strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASTE and CAT overlap in construction equipment but differ markedly in scale and diversification. CAT's vast global footprint and exposure to mining, energy, and data centers provide broader growth drivers versus ASTE's niche in asphalt and aggregates. Momentum favors CAT with sharper recent gains and backlog support, while ASTE offers value through aftermarket stability. Both face cyclical risks from economic slowdowns and commodity prices, but CAT contends with tariffs. Sector sentiment tilts positive on infrastructure bills, yet CAT's liquidity and analyst backing enhance its positioning over ASTE's higher volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CAT with higher conviction, citing its consistent upward trend, substantial backlog, data center catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent momentum. While ASTE shows promise in infrastructure niches, CAT's scale and stability suggest greater probability of near-term upside in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASTE is a StrongBuy and CAT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASTE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCAT’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- ASTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASTE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CAT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASTE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ASTE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +2.27% price change this week, while CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +0.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +1.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASTE is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+1.52% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| ASTE | CAT | ASTE / CAT | |
| Capitalization | 1.18B | 419B | 0% |
| EBITDA | 104M | 15B | 1% |
| Gain YTD | 19.159 | 59.624 | 32% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.87 | 45.35 | 101% |
| Revenue | 1.48B | 70.8B | 2% |
| Total Cash | 76.9M | 4.07B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 393M | 43.1B | 1% |
ASTE | CAT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 5 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASTE's Valuation (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (79). This means that ASTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASTE (100). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than ASTE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASTE (88). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than ASTE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASTE (49). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASTE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASTE (76). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than ASTE’s over the last 12 months.
| ASTE | CAT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
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ASTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASTE has been loosely correlated with HY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASTE jumps, then HY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTE | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| HY - ASTE | 65% Loosely correlated | +5.18% | ||
| MTW - ASTE | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| TEX - ASTE | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| CAT - ASTE | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.44% | ||
| OSK - ASTE | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | +1.44% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.32% | ||
| MTW - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| ASTE - CAT | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.15% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 52% Loosely correlated | +3.52% | ||
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