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CAT vs CNH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar (CAT) vs. CNH Industrial (CNH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAT has delivered stronger year-to-date gains in 2026 compared with CNH, supported by robust backlog and data-center-related demand.
- Both companies face upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings releases, with CAT reporting on August 4 and CNH on August 3.
- CAT operates a larger, more diversified industrial equipment business, while CNH focuses primarily on agricultural and construction machinery with a smaller market capitalization.
- Recent analyst actions include downgrades for CAT, contributing to short-term price pressure amid elevated valuations.
- CNH trades at lower absolute price levels and has shown more modest relative performance in recent market activity.
- Sector exposure overlaps in heavy machinery, yet CAT benefits from broader end-market diversification including mining and energy applications.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare CAT and CNH because both companies operate in the industrial machinery sector and serve overlapping end markets such as construction and agriculture. This comparison provides context on relative performance, business scale, and market positioning for those evaluating equipment manufacturers amid fluctuating commodity prices and infrastructure spending. The analysis focuses on observable metrics and recent developments to highlight contrasts in size, momentum, and sector dynamics that may influence portfolio decisions.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. manufactures construction, mining, and power equipment with a global dealer network. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $815 after posting year-to-date gains of approximately 36 percent in 2026, though it experienced a pullback of roughly 7 percent in the most recent week amid analyst downgrades and profit-taking ahead of earnings. A record backlog and strength in the power and energy segment have supported sentiment, while regulatory concerns and mixed sector performance have introduced short-term volatility. The company is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on August 4, with expectations for revenue growth to $19.31 billion and earnings per share of $6.25.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial N.V. produces agricultural and construction equipment under brands including Case and New Holland. The stock has traded near $10.40 in recent market activity, reflecting more modest performance compared with broader industrial peers. Year-to-date returns have been negative, and the company maintains a smaller market capitalization. Upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings, scheduled for release on August 3, are expected to show revenue around $4.77 billion and earnings per share of $0.11. Full-year 2026 guidance remains in the $0.35 to $0.45 earnings-per-share range. Recent positioning ahead of results and modest improvements in analyst views have influenced short-term price movements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CAT maintains a significantly larger scale and broader product portfolio than CNH, providing greater exposure to mining, energy, and infrastructure projects. Growth drivers for CAT include data-center infrastructure demand and a substantial backlog, whereas CNH relies more heavily on agricultural cycles and construction activity. Recent momentum favors CAT on a year-to-date basis, though both stocks have faced sector-wide pressures. Risk factors for CAT include higher valuation multiples and analyst rating changes, while CNH contends with lower absolute liquidity and narrower end-market diversification. Market sentiment reflects greater institutional interest in the larger-cap name, balanced against CNH’s more compressed valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, backlog visibility, and relative positioning within the industrial sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to CAT. The larger company’s scale and exposure to multiple growth areas provide a more stable profile in recent market activity, though outcomes remain subject to earnings results and broader economic conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and CNH is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileCNH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- CNH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNH’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CNH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -4.59% price change this week, while CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +5.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | CNH | CAT / CNH | |
| Capitalization | 381B | 19.1B | 1,995% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 2.6B | 577% |
| Gain YTD | 43.204 | 19.910 | 217% |
| P/E Ratio | 35.65 | 47.48 | 75% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 18.1B | 391% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.6B | - |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 26.2B | 165% |
CAT | CNH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 32 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNH's Valuation (32) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (89). This means that CNH’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNH (84). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (55). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (11). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | CNH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 67% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CFIJX | 17.87 | 0.03 | +0.17% |
| Cantor Fitzgerald International Eq F | |||
| FSAAX | 18.77 | -0.07 | -0.37% |
| Fidelity Advisor Asset Manager 60% A | |||
| AIGIX | 22.06 | -0.15 | -0.68% |
| Alger International Opportunities I | |||
| FIZRX | 42.13 | -0.40 | -0.94% |
| Nomura Opportunity R | |||
| FSSLX | 15.90 | -0.24 | -1.49% |
| Fidelity Series Small Cap Core | |||
CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | -0.09% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| OSK - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 53% Loosely correlated | +6.41% | ||
| AGCO - CAT | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.52% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 50% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | +6.41% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | +4.52% | ||
| DE - CNH | 72% Closely correlated | +6.94% | ||
| OSK - CNH | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| PCAR - CNH | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
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