Advertisement
CAT vs CNH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs. CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAT has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date returns than CNH, supported by robust demand in power generation and construction equipment.
- CAT reported first-quarter 2026 sales growth of 22% with a record backlog, while CNH saw flat revenues amid weak agricultural equipment demand.
- CAT benefits from diversification into data-center-related power systems and recent technology acquisitions, contrasting with CNH’s heavier exposure to cyclical agriculture markets.
- Recent market activity shows CAT maintaining positive momentum and analyst price-target upgrades, whereas CNH faces more cautious sentiment tied to sector headwinds.
- Both companies operate in capital-intensive industrial sectors with elevated debt levels, though CAT exhibits greater scale in revenues and earnings generation.
- Market positioning favors CAT on relative performance and backlog stability in the current environment.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare CAT and CNH because both companies manufacture heavy machinery and equipment used across construction, agriculture, and industrial applications. Caterpillar Inc. focuses primarily on construction and power systems, while CNH Industrial N.V. derives significant revenue from agricultural equipment alongside construction offerings. This comparison appeals to those seeking exposure to global industrial cycles, infrastructure spending, and commodity-driven demand. Market participants evaluating relative performance, sector-specific catalysts, and risk profiles in the machinery space may find the analysis useful for portfolio positioning decisions.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. In recent market activity, CAT shares have shown strong upward momentum driven by sustained demand for power generation equipment tied to data-center buildouts and infrastructure projects. First-quarter 2026 results highlighted 22% sales growth to $17.4 billion, supported by higher volumes and favorable pricing, alongside a record backlog that provides visibility. Recent weeks have included a technology acquisition expanding mining capabilities and multiple analyst price-target increases. Sentiment remains constructive amid broad industrial strength, though the stock has experienced typical volatility associated with macroeconomic data releases.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial N.V. produces agricultural equipment, construction machinery, and commercial vehicles through its global brand portfolio. In recent market activity, CNH has faced pressure from historically weak North American agricultural demand and ongoing channel inventory management challenges. First-quarter 2026 consolidated revenues remained essentially flat year-over-year at $3.8 billion, with the company reaffirming full-year guidance despite softer segment margins in agriculture. Recent weeks reflect mixed analyst commentary, with some target adjustments reflecting the prolonged agriculture downturn. Broader sentiment has been tempered by tariff considerations and farm-economics headwinds, resulting in more muted price behavior relative to broader industrial peers.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of the platform’s hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze and trade thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions and robust statistical profiles earn placement in this section. Available bots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, and performance metrics, with many showing historical win rates between 55% and 75% alongside varying risk parameters. Users can review detailed statistics for each bot to identify approaches suited to specific market regimes. Explore the full collection on the Trending AI Robots page for further details.
Head-to-Head Comparison
CAT operates a more diversified business model with substantial revenue from construction equipment and power generation, whereas CNH maintains heavier weighting toward agricultural machinery. Growth drivers for CAT include infrastructure spending and data-center power needs, providing greater resilience, while CNH remains more sensitive to farm commodity prices and equipment replacement cycles. Recent momentum clearly favors CAT, which has posted significantly higher year-to-date returns amid backlog expansion. Risk factors for both include cyclical exposure and elevated leverage, although CNH carries a higher debt-to-equity ratio. Sector exposure places CAT in a relatively stronger position during periods of broad industrial and technology investment, while CNH offers potential value if agricultural markets stabilize. Market sentiment currently tilts toward CAT on the basis of consistent trend strength and visible catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently assigns a probabilistic edge to CAT based on superior trend consistency, stronger backlog visibility, and favorable positioning within power-generation and data-center demand themes. CNH presents a lower-valuation profile but contends with more pronounced agricultural headwinds that have weighed on recent performance. The assessment reflects observable factors such as relative momentum and sector tailwinds rather than definitive forecasts, and outcomes remain subject to evolving macroeconomic conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and CNH is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileCNH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- CNH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNH’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CNH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -4.37% price change this week, while CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -5.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -1.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
CNH is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-1.44% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | CNH | CAT / CNH | |
| Capitalization | 433B | 12.7B | 3,409% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 2.6B | 577% |
| Gain YTD | 66.199 | 12.463 | 531% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.22 | 32.09 | 147% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 18.1B | 391% |
| Total Cash | 4.07B | 1.6B | 254% |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 26.2B | 165% |
CAT | CNH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNH's Valuation (25) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (82). This means that CNH’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (86). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNH (61). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (10). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | CNH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 73% | 11 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 52% |
Advertisement
CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | +0.85% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.51% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| MTW - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 52% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| AGCO - CAT | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
More | ||||
CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.