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CAT vs MTW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs. Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAT has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date and one-year returns compared with MTW, reflecting broader exposure to infrastructure and power-generation demand.
- Recent quarterly results show CAT reporting 22% sales growth, while MTW posted more modest 5% sales growth with maintained full-year guidance.
- Analyst sentiment remains more favorable toward CAT, with multiple price-target increases, whereas MTW carries a consensus sell or hold rating from limited coverage.
- CAT benefits from larger scale, diversified end markets including mining and data-center power, and recent dividend increases; MTW operates in a narrower cranes segment with higher relative volatility.
- Market positioning favors CAT in recent weeks due to consistent backlog strength and infrastructure tailwinds, while MTW shows steadier but lower-growth order trends.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare CAT and MTW because both companies operate in the industrial machinery and heavy-equipment sector, yet they differ substantially in scale, end-market exposure, and recent performance. CAT is a global leader in construction, mining, and power systems, while MTW focuses primarily on cranes and lifting solutions. This comparison helps market participants evaluate relative momentum, risk profiles, and sector positioning within the broader industrial goods space, particularly for those monitoring infrastructure spending and cyclical equipment demand.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells heavy machinery, engines, and related services across construction, mining, and energy applications. In recent weeks, CAT shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range amid continued infrastructure and power-generation demand. The company reported strong first-quarter 2026 results with sales rising 22% year-over-year, supported by volume growth and price realization. Recent market activity reflects analyst upgrades and a dividend increase to $1.63 per share, alongside an acquisition expanding mining-technology capabilities. Sentiment has remained constructive despite isolated short-selling commentary, as backlog levels and end-market diversification continue to underpin performance.
MTW Overview and Recent Performance
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. manufactures and services mobile cranes and lifting equipment primarily for construction and industrial applications. In recent weeks, MTW shares have shown limited movement around the $12 level, with year-to-date returns near 1%. First-quarter 2026 results indicated net sales growth of 5% and orders up nearly 6%, leading the company to maintain its full-year 2026 guidance. Backlog reached approximately $940 million. Market activity reflects modest order momentum in a narrower product segment, with analyst coverage remaining limited and predominantly neutral to negative on valuation grounds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CAT operates at a much larger scale with diversified revenue from construction, mining, and power systems, whereas MTW maintains a focused presence in mobile cranes. Growth drivers for CAT include infrastructure spending and data-center power demand, while MTW relies on steady but narrower construction orders. Recent momentum favors CAT with higher returns and analyst support; MTW exhibits lower volatility yet limited upside in analyst targets. Risk factors for CAT include cyclical exposure and valuation compression in a sell-off, while MTW faces greater relative illiquidity and narrower market positioning. Sector sentiment in recent weeks has tilted toward larger industrials with broad tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger trend consistency, broader catalysts, and relative stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to CAT over MTW. The larger company’s diversified end markets and consistent backlog provide a more robust foundation in the prevailing environment, though outcomes remain subject to macroeconomic shifts and sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a StrongBuy and MTW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileMTW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- MTW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.96% price change this week, while MTW (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -4.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
MTW is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-4.02% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | MTW | CAT / MTW | |
| Capitalization | 429B | 457M | 93,873% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 112M | 13,393% |
| Gain YTD | 63.288 | 6.088 | 1,039% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.39 | 60.57 | 77% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 2.27B | 3,126% |
| Total Cash | 4.07B | 78.4M | 5,194% |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 499M | 8,637% |
CAT | MTW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTW's Valuation (73) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (82). This means that MTW’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTW (100). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTW’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTW (91). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTW’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTW (53). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTW’s over the last 12 months.
MTW's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (7). This means that MTW’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | MTW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 73% | 19 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 56% | 12 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 68% |
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | -2.20% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| MTW - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| AGCO - CAT | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
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MTW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTW has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MTW jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.