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CAT vs MTW
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and MTW is a Hold.
CAT in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026
CAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 22 of 27 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAT as a result. In 43 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 53%.
The 10-day moving average for CAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CAT's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in 277 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
CAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 203 of 306 cases where CAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (19.417) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.582). P/E Ratio (35.312) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.435) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. CAT's P/S Ratio (4.892) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.128).
MTW's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for MTW moved out of overbought territory on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 22 of the 26 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTW turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 64 cases where MTW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTW as a result. In 64 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +4.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTW advanced for three days, in 197 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 146 of 197 cases where MTW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 28 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.140) is normal, around the industry mean (2.582). P/E Ratio (39.589) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.350) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.331) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
CAT | MTW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 98 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 28 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTW's Valuation (64) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (88). This means that MTW’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTW (98). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTW’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTW (87). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTW’s over the last 12 months.
MTW's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (50). This means that MTW’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
MTW's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CAT (13). This means that MTW’s stock grew similarly to CAT’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | MTW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 6 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while MTW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -7.97% price change this week, while MTW (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +1.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -6.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
MTW is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-6.25% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.