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EQNR vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Equinor (EQNR) vs. TotalEnergies (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EQNR and TTE are European integrated energy majors that have posted strong gains in 2026, driven by elevated oil and natural gas prices.
- Equinor has outperformed over recent months, supported by record production and limited direct Middle East exposure.
- TotalEnergies offers broader diversification across LNG (liquefied natural gas), refining, and integrated power, but has absorbed more Middle East-related production disruption.
- Capital returns differ in structure: TotalEnergies carries a higher forward dividend yield, while Equinor has aggressively expanded its share buyback program.
- Both stocks remain highly sensitive to commodity prices and geopolitical risk, making relative momentum and diversification the key trade-offs.
Introduction
Equinor ASA (EQNR) and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) are two of Europe's largest integrated energy companies, and both have captured investor attention during a period of unusually elevated commodity prices. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and long-term investors evaluating exposure to oil, natural gas, and the broader energy transition, as well as those weighing relative performance and market positioning between two structurally different operators. Equinor is majority state-owned and anchored to the Norwegian Continental Shelf, while TotalEnergies is a diversified global producer with a large refining, LNG, and power footprint. Understanding their contrasting models helps clarify which profile may be better suited to current market conditions.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA is a Norway-based integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, transport, refining, and marketing of petroleum products, alongside a growing renewables segment. The company is majority state-owned and plays a central role as a supplier of oil and, especially, natural gas to Europe. In recent market activity, EQNR has been among the strongest performers in the European energy sector, with year-to-date gains that have outpaced the broader sector by a wide margin. This relative performance has been driven by record production, disciplined capital spending, and rising realized prices for both liquids and European gas. Equinor has also doubled its share buyback program while maintaining a cash dividend, signaling strong free cash flow generation. Because the company has no direct Middle East exposure, its shares have been viewed by some investors as a relatively insulated way to capture higher energy prices.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TotalEnergies SE is a French integrated energy company with operations spanning oil and biofuels, natural gas and LNG, low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity across roughly 120 countries. TTE has delivered strong year-to-date share price gains as well, supported by a rebound in refining margins and elevated Brent crude prices. The company's diversified model includes one of the world's largest LNG businesses and an expanding integrated power segment, with a growing share of generation coming from renewables. Unlike Equinor, TotalEnergies has absorbed direct operational impact from conflict in the Middle East, which reduced hydrocarbon production, though the effect has been less severe than initially anticipated. The company has continued returning cash to shareholders, including an increased interim dividend and ongoing share repurchases, and analysts have recently raised price targets on expectations of a strong refining and trading quarter.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are integrated energy majors, their market positioning differs meaningfully. Equinor's model is more concentrated in upstream oil and gas, with a particular emphasis on European natural gas, which has amplified its sensitivity to regional gas prices. TotalEnergies, by contrast, balances upstream production with refining and chemicals, a large LNG trading franchise, and an integrated power business, creating a more diversified earnings mix. On growth drivers, Equinor's momentum has leaned on record production and buybacks, while TotalEnergies has benefited from a rebound in refining margins and long-term LNG contracts. Risk profiles also diverge: Equinor carries execution risk in offshore wind and renewables, while TotalEnergies faces direct geopolitical disruption in the Middle East and regulatory scrutiny over its French fuel pricing. In terms of shareholder yield, TotalEnergies offers a higher forward dividend, whereas Equinor has emphasized share repurchases. Market sentiment favors both, but their paths to returns are distinct.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative momentum, catalyst strength, and market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward EQNR. Equinor has shown more persistent upward momentum, backed by record production, strong European gas exposure, and a lack of direct Middle East disruption. Its aggressive buyback expansion provides an additional catalyst that supports the share price trend. TotalEnergies offers a more diversified and higher-yielding profile, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but its greater exposure to geopolitical production losses and refining margin volatility introduces more variability. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and either stock could outperform depending on how commodity prices and geopolitical conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EQNR is a Buy and TTE is a Buy.
Aroon Indicator for EQNR shows an upward move is likely
EQNR's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 214 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 156 of the 214 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EQNR as a result. In 55 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EQNR just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where EQNR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
EQNR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EQNR advanced for three days, in 213 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EQNR moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EQNR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
EQNR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EQNR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EQNR's P/B Ratio (2.539) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.689). P/E Ratio (12.499) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.356). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.109) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.972) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
TTE's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TTE moved out of oversold territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTE as a result. In 60 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTE just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TTE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
TTE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TTE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +0.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTE advanced for three days, in 205 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
TTE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TTE entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.554) is normal, around the industry mean (1.689). P/E Ratio (11.195) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.356). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.816) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TTE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
EQNR | TTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (38) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (56). This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (13). This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's SMR Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (58). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (43). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (38). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
| EQNR | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 17 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 45% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EQNR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TTE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EQNR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EQNR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EQNR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EQNR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.34% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.19% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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EQNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EQNR has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EQNR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EQNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQNR | 100% | +0.65% | ||
| BP - EQNR | 78% Closely correlated | +0.40% | ||
| E - EQNR | 78% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| XOM - EQNR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| CVE - EQNR | 73% Closely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| SU - EQNR | 73% Closely correlated | -2.04% | ||
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| E - TTE | 75% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 71% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 67% Closely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| BP - TTE | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.40% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
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