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CAL vs DECK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caleres (CAL) vs. Deckers Outdoor (DECK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Caleres (CAL) operates primarily in the footwear retail and brand portfolio space, with recent quarterly sales growth driven by its Brand Portfolio segment.
- Deckers Outdoor (DECK) benefits from strong performance in its HOKA and UGG brands, leading to raised full-year revenue outlook amid broader market challenges in footwear.
- In recent weeks, CAL has traded in a lower price range with a market capitalization around $376 million, while DECK maintains a significantly larger market capitalization exceeding $13 billion.
- Relative performance shows DECK experiencing a pullback over the past month alongside analyst upgrades, whereas CAL has shown mixed year-to-date results following its fiscal 2025 earnings report.
- Sector exposure for both centers on consumer discretionary footwear, but DECK demonstrates greater scale in international and direct-to-consumer channels.
- Market sentiment reflects ongoing volatility for both stocks, with DECK attracting renewed analyst interest and CAL focusing on operational efficiencies in its lead brands.
Introduction
Caleres (CAL) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK) represent two distinct players in the footwear and apparel sector, offering investors a study in scale, brand strategy, and market positioning. This comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and relative momentum in the current environment. Traders seeking exposure to consumer discretionary stocks and investors evaluating growth versus value opportunities in the retail footwear space may find this analysis particularly relevant for assessing diversification within the sector.
CAL Overview and Recent Performance
Caleres, Inc. is a footwear company with operations spanning its Famous Footwear retail segment and a Brand Portfolio that includes names such as Sam Edelman. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around the $11 level, reflecting a market capitalization of approximately $376 million. Following the release of fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results in March, which showed net sales rising 8.7 percent to $695.1 million with growth in the Brand Portfolio, sentiment has centered on the company’s ability to expand its higher-margin segments while managing retail headwinds. Broader market activity has kept the share price within a range influenced by macroeconomic consumer spending trends.
DECK Overview and Recent Performance
Deckers Outdoor Corporation focuses on premium footwear and apparel through brands including HOKA and UGG. The stock has recently traded near $94, supported by a market capitalization above $13 billion. In recent market activity, shares experienced a pullback of roughly 16 percent over the past month amid sector-wide pressures, yet analysts have responded with upgrades such as Piper Sandler’s move to Neutral, citing expectations for continued earnings growth. The company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook, highlighting sustained demand for its core brands and operational execution in wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Caleres (CAL) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK) differ markedly in scale and growth profile. CAL emphasizes a balanced mix of retail distribution through Famous Footwear and branded wholesale, exposing it to both direct consumer trends and inventory management risks. In contrast, DECK derives strength from high-growth athletic and lifestyle brands, benefiting from international expansion and higher average selling prices. Recent momentum favors DECK’s brand-driven resilience despite near-term share price weakness, while CAL’s performance reflects steadier but more modest organic growth in its portfolio. Risk factors include consumer discretionary spending sensitivity for both, though DECK’s larger capitalization provides greater liquidity and analyst coverage. Sector exposure remains concentrated in footwear, yet DECK’s positioning in performance and comfort categories offers differentiation from CAL’s broader retail focus. Overall market sentiment shows cautious optimism for DECK amid upgrades, tempered by broader industry softness affecting both stocks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability in brand performance, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for Deckers Outdoor (DECK). Factors such as raised revenue guidance and analyst upgrades contribute to a more consistent upward bias in recent activity compared with CAL’s narrower operating margins and smaller scale. This assessment reflects data-driven evaluation rather than certainty, acknowledging that market conditions can shift rapidly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAL is a StrongBuy and DECK is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDECK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DECK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DECK’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DECK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CAL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -9.89% price change this week, while DECK (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was -6.16% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -1.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -6.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAL is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
DECK is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-1.70% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
@Wholesale Distributors (-6.70% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
| CAL | DECK | CAL / DECK | |
| Capitalization | 426M | 14.7B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 85M | 1.41B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 5.311 | 1.833 | 290% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.77 | 15.04 | 111% |
| Revenue | 2.81B | 5.47B | 51% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.91B | - |
| Total Debt | 891M | 375M | 238% |
CAL | DECK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 78 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 8 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAL's Valuation (13) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DECK (77). This means that CAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than DECK’s over the last 12 months.
DECK's Profit vs Risk Rating (78) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as CAL (100). This means that DECK’s stock grew similarly to CAL’s over the last 12 months.
DECK's SMR Rating (23) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is significantly better than the same rating for CAL (92). This means that DECK’s stock grew significantly faster than CAL’s over the last 12 months.
CAL's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as DECK (46). This means that CAL’s stock grew similarly to DECK’s over the last 12 months.
CAL's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DECK (57). This means that CAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than DECK’s over the last 12 months.
| CAL | DECK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 72% | 15 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 77% | 8 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 72% |
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CAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAL has been closely correlated with DBI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAL jumps, then DBI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 100% | -3.58% | ||
| DBI - CAL | 67% Closely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| SHOE - CAL | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| SHOO - CAL | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| ZUMZ - CAL | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.45% | ||
| GAP - CAL | 50% Loosely correlated | -2.51% | ||
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DECK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DECK has been loosely correlated with KTB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DECK jumps, then KTB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DECK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DECK | 100% | -3.24% | ||
| KTB - DECK | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.60% | ||
| ONON - DECK | 49% Loosely correlated | -6.87% | ||
| CAL - DECK | 48% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| PVH - DECK | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| NKE - DECK | 46% Loosely correlated | -4.45% | ||
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