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CAPL vs MPC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAPL is a StrongBuy and MPC is a StrongBuy.
CAPL's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for CAPL moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 13 of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 63 cases where CAPL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CAPL as a result. In 60 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CAPL just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where CAPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAPL advanced for three days, in 202 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
CAPL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
CAPL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CAPL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAPL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
The Aroon Indicator for CAPL entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-7.723) is normal, around the industry mean (5.086). P/E Ratio (15.717) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.927). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.097) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 36, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CAPL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for MPC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
MPC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPC just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where MPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +5.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in 288 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 254 of 339 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 36, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.973) is normal, around the industry mean (5.086). P/E Ratio (16.396) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.927). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.898) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
CAPL | MPC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 2 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAPL's Valuation (8) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MPC (87) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that CAPL’s stock grew significantly faster than MPC’s over the last 12 months.
MPC's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as CAPL (14) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that MPC’s stock grew similarly to CAPL’s over the last 12 months.
CAPL's SMR Rating (11) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as MPC (21) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that CAPL’s stock grew similarly to MPC’s over the last 12 months.
MPC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAPL (50) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that MPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAPL’s over the last 12 months.
CAPL's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as MPC (81) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that CAPL’s stock grew similarly to MPC’s over the last 12 months.
| CAPL | MPC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 45% | 28 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 75% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAPL’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while MPC’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CAPL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MPC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAPL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAPL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MPC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CAPL (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а +0.60% price change this week, while MPC (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +3.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +42.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAPL is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
MPC is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-2.72% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
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CAPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAPL has been loosely correlated with DKL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAPL jumps, then DKL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAPL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPL | 100% | +0.05% | ||
| DKL - CAPL | 33% Loosely correlated | -2.07% | ||
| MPC - CAPL | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.92% | ||
| PSX - CAPL | 29% Poorly correlated | -0.89% | ||
| VLO - CAPL | 25% Poorly correlated | -2.56% | ||
| CVI - CAPL | 23% Poorly correlated | -2.49% | ||
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