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CAT vs HY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and HY is a Buy.
CAT in +8.17% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in 277 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CAT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
CAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAT as a result. In 37 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.
CAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The 50-day moving average for CAT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for CAT entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (13.240) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.277). P/E Ratio (23.934) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.435) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. CAT's P/S Ratio (4.892) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.169).
HY in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
HY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 40 cases where HY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 64 cases where HY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HY just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where HY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +8.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HY advanced for three days, in 210 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HY as a result. In 75 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for HY entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.306) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (-4.318) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). HY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.230) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.745). HY has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.051) as compared to the industry average of (0.017). P/S Ratio (0.170) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
CAT | HY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 72 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAT's Valuation (88) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as HY (89). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to HY’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HY (100). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HY’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for HY (96). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than HY’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (65) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as HY (72). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to HY’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (70) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as HY (98). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to HY’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | HY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 17 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- HY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -6.31% price change this week, while HY (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -4.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
HY is expected to report earnings on Mar 01, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.30% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
HY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HY has been loosely correlated with ASTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HY jumps, then ASTE could also see price increases.