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CMC vs MT
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMC is a Hold and MT is a Hold.
CMC sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On October 02, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for CMC moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 43 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMC as a result. In 63 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMC just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMC advanced for three days, in 215 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
CMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
CMC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CMC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for CMC entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.574) is normal, around the industry mean (3.121). P/E Ratio (12.191) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.749). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.320) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.087).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
MT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 10, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MT as a result. In 41 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
MT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for MT entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 48 cases where MT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +1.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MT advanced for three days, in 229 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.959) is normal, around the industry mean (2.317). P/E Ratio (29.349) is within average values for comparable stocks, (93.384). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (0.339). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.890) is also within normal values, averaging (2.301).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CMC | MT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMC's Valuation (19) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as MT (22) in the Steel industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew similarly to MT’s over the last 12 months.
MT's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Steel industry is in the same range as CMC (33) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MT’s stock grew similarly to CMC’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's SMR Rating (59) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MT (99) in the Steel industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MT’s over the last 12 months.
MT's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Steel industry is in the same range as CMC (55) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MT’s stock grew similarly to CMC’s over the last 12 months.
MT's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Steel industry is significantly better than the same rating for CMC (100) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MT’s stock grew significantly faster than CMC’s over the last 12 months.
| CMC | MT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 9 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CMC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CMC (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а -0.22% price change this week, while MT (@Steel) price change was -2.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -3.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.99%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was +0.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMC is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
MT is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (-3.14% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (+0.20% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
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CMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMC has been closely correlated with STLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMC jumps, then STLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMC | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| STLD - CMC | 73% Closely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| RS - CMC | 68% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| NUE - CMC | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| MTUS - CMC | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| WS - CMC | 63% Loosely correlated | +3.19% | ||
More | ||||
MT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MT has been loosely correlated with TX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MT jumps, then TX could also see price increases.