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CNQ vs WDS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (CNQ) vs. Woodside Energy Group Ltd. (WDS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNQ reported record Q2 2026 adjusted earnings of $4.6 billion, prompting upward revisions to production and capital expenditure guidance.
- WDS delivered revenue growth in Q2 despite a sequential production decline, with half-year 2026 results scheduled for release on August 25, 2026.
- Both stocks have outperformed broader market indices year-to-date, with energy sector exposure driving gains amid favorable commodity pricing.
- CNQ emphasizes shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks, while WDS focuses on LNG project execution and portfolio optimization.
- Recent market activity shows CNQ with stronger earnings momentum and WDS exhibiting resilience in revenue despite operational variability.
- Sector positioning remains similar for both, centered on oil and gas production with differing regional emphases in North America and Australia.
Introduction
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (CNQ) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. (WDS) represent two leading energy producers with significant oil and natural gas operations. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating energy sector exposure. The analysis draws on verifiable developments from recent market activity, highlighting contrasts in earnings delivery, production trends, and capital allocation strategies. Institutional and retail participants monitoring commodity-linked equities may find the side-by-side review useful for assessing portfolio allocation decisions in the current environment.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (CNQ) operates as a major Canadian energy producer focused on oil sands, conventional oil, and natural gas assets primarily in North America. In recent weeks, the company announced record second-quarter 2026 results, including adjusted net earnings of $4.6 billion and adjusted funds flow of $6.9 billion. These figures supported an increase in 2026 production guidance to 1,637–1,682 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day and capital expenditures to $7.64 billion following a strategic acquisition. Shareholder returns remained robust, encompassing dividends and share repurchases. Stock price behavior reflected positive sentiment tied to the earnings beat and dividend declaration, contributing to year-to-date outperformance relative to benchmark indices.
WDS Overview and Recent Performance
Woodside Energy Group Ltd. (WDS) is an Australian-headquartered energy company with a global portfolio emphasizing liquefied natural gas (LNG) and conventional hydrocarbon production. Recent market activity included second-quarter 2026 production of 41 million barrels of oil equivalent, down sequentially due to maintenance and weather impacts, yet revenue rose 28 percent year-over-year on stronger realized prices. The company maintains focus on projects such as Scarborough and Louisiana LNG. Half-year 2026 results are scheduled for August 25, 2026. Share price movement has shown resilience amid energy sector momentum, with year-to-date gains exceeding broader Australian equity benchmarks despite periodic volatility linked to operational updates and analyst commentary.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate within the energy sector, yet differ in geographic concentration and growth emphasis. CNQ benefits from large-scale Canadian oil sands exposure and a track record of consistent dividend growth spanning 26 years. WDS prioritizes LNG expansion with key Australian and U.S. projects nearing completion. Recent momentum favors CNQ following its earnings release and guidance uplift, while WDS demonstrates revenue resilience amid production variability. Risk factors include commodity price fluctuations for both, with CNQ carrying higher sensitivity to oil sands regulatory developments and WDS facing project execution and maintenance risks. Market sentiment reflects broader energy sector tailwinds, tempered by differing analyst outlooks on future expansion potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, production guidance revisions, and relative stability in shareholder returns, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to CNQ over WDS. The assessment incorporates trend continuity from the Q2 results and capital allocation patterns, while acknowledging that upcoming WDS half-year reporting could influence positioning. This evaluation remains probabilistic and reflects data-driven signals rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNQ is a Buy and WDS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWDS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WDS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WDS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WDS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +2.75% price change this week, while WDS (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +1.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
WDS is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+2.72% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | WDS | CNQ / WDS | |
| Capitalization | 105B | 43.8B | 240% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 9.35B | 187% |
| Gain YTD | 51.078 | 56.367 | 91% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.64 | 14.78 | 86% |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 13B | 342% |
| Total Cash | 113M | 5.94B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 13.7B | 126% |
CNQ | WDS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WDS's Valuation (27) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (76) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that WDS’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as WDS (40) in the null industry. This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to WDS’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (53) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as WDS (80) in the null industry. This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to WDS’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as WDS (44) in the null industry. This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to WDS’s over the last 12 months.
WDS's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the null industry is in the same range as CNQ (30) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that WDS’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | WDS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 58% |
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