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IMO vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Imperial Oil (IMO) vs. Shell (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IMO has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date returns than SHEL, outperforming broad market benchmarks while SHEL posted more moderate gains.
- Both companies operate in the integrated energy sector, with IMO focused primarily on Canadian upstream and downstream operations and SHEL maintaining a global footprint across exploration, production, and renewables.
- Recent market activity shows IMO benefiting from robust production and earnings momentum ahead of its July 31 earnings call, while SHEL continues active share buybacks and portfolio optimization.
- SHEL offers greater scale and diversification, including ongoing asset sales and production outlook adjustments, which may support relative stability in volatile commodity environments.
- Sector exposure remains similar, yet IMO’s smaller size and regional concentration introduce distinct risk-return profiles compared with SHEL’s broader international operations.
- Market sentiment reflects continued investor interest in energy names, with both stocks showing resilience amid fluctuating oil prices and analyst coverage focused on upcoming quarterly results.
Introduction
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) and Shell plc (SHEL) represent two established players in the integrated oil and gas industry. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational focus, and relative positioning within the current energy market. The analysis is relevant for investors and traders seeking to understand performance differentials, sector exposure, and momentum characteristics between a Canadian-focused producer and a global energy major. Both equities trade on major exchanges and attract attention from those monitoring commodity-linked returns and corporate developments in the energy space.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited is an integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum products, with primary operations in Canada. In recent weeks, IMO shares have demonstrated strong momentum, posting year-to-date total returns near 50 percent and significantly outpacing the S&P/TSX Composite benchmark. Recent market activity has been supported by solid production levels and investor positioning ahead of the company’s second-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 31. The stock has traded in a range reflecting broader energy sector strength, with prices recently around CAD 180. Sentiment has remained constructive amid favorable commodity dynamics and the company’s track record of capital returns.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc is a global integrated energy company involved in upstream exploration and production, downstream refining and marketing, chemicals, and growing renewable energy activities. In recent weeks, SHEL shares have recorded more moderate gains, with year-to-date total returns around 22 percent while still exceeding the FTSE 100 index. The company has maintained an active share repurchase program, recently executing multiple buyback tranches, and has provided updates on production outlooks and portfolio adjustments including asset sales. The stock has traded near $88 recently. Upcoming second-quarter results on July 30 have drawn analyst attention, with coverage reflecting a mix of hold and buy ratings amid ongoing strategic initiatives.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IMO and SHEL differ markedly in scale and geographic focus. IMO operates as a more concentrated Canadian player with integrated upstream and downstream assets, leading to higher sensitivity to regional crude differentials and domestic demand. SHEL benefits from global diversification across multiple basins, downstream networks, and emerging low-carbon initiatives, which can moderate volatility but also introduce exposure to international regulatory and currency factors.
Recent momentum favors IMO on a relative basis, with outsized year-to-date gains compared with SHEL’s steadier but lower trajectory. Growth drivers for IMO center on Canadian oil sands and conventional production, while SHEL emphasizes upstream optimization, share buybacks, and selective divestitures. Risk factors include commodity price swings for both, though SHEL’s larger balance sheet and diversified revenue streams may provide greater resilience. Market sentiment remains broadly supportive for energy equities, with upcoming earnings serving as near-term catalysts for each name.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative performance strength, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic preference toward IMO for short-term momentum considerations. SHEL may appeal more to investors prioritizing scale and ongoing capital return programs. This assessment reflects measurable factors such as recent returns and sector catalysts rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IMO is a Buy and SHEL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IMO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IMO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IMO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IMO (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +0.85% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was +4.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
IMO is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.41% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| IMO | SHEL | IMO / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 62.3B | 245B | 25% |
| EBITDA | 6.4B | 57.7B | 11% |
| Gain YTD | 50.122 | 27.492 | 182% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.25 | 10.17 | 209% |
| Revenue | 45.4B | 267B | 17% |
| Total Cash | 1.03B | 23.1B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 4.14B | 75.6B | 5% |
IMO | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 46 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (41) in the null industry is in the same range as IMO (56) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (7) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's SMR Rating (64) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (70) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (41) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for SHEL (87) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew significantly faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| IMO | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 60% |
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IMO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IMO has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IMO jumps, then SU could also see price increases.
SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +1.62% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 78% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 68% Closely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
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