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IMO vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) has delivered superior year-to-date (YTD) returns of approximately 48% compared to Shell plc's (SHEL) 21%, highlighting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- SHEL offers a higher dividend yield around 3.3% versus IMO's 2%, appealing to income-oriented investors.
- Both stocks operate in the integrated oil and gas sector, but IMO focuses on Canadian operations as a subsidiary of ExxonMobil, while SHEL provides broader global diversification.
- Recent quarterly earnings for IMO missed estimates on earnings per share (EPS), contributing to short-term price pullback, whereas SHEL maintains steadier performance amid buyback announcements.
- SHEL trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 15 versus IMO's 27, suggesting relatively better valuation.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines IMO and SHEL, two prominent players in the integrated energy sector. Both companies engage in upstream exploration, downstream refining, and marketing of petroleum products, making them relevant for investors tracking oil price fluctuations, geopolitical energy shifts, and the transition toward diversified energy portfolios. Traders focused on relative performance, dividend reliability, and sector momentum will find value in analyzing their recent trajectories, valuations, and strategic positioning amid volatile commodity markets.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), headquartered in Calgary, Canada, and a subsidiary of ExxonMobil Corporation, operates across upstream production, downstream refining, and chemicals. Its upstream segment focuses on crude oil, natural gas, and oil sands in Western Canada. In recent market activity, IMO stock surged to a 52-week high near $134 before pulling back after first-quarter 2026 earnings, which reported EPS of $1.41, missing estimates, amid lower refinery throughput but steady upstream output. Year-to-date gains exceed 48%, outperforming broader indices, driven by resilient oil demand and operational efficiencies. Sentiment has been influenced by dividend declarations and cost-cutting measures, including workforce reductions, positioning the stock for potential recovery in a high-oil-price environment.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL), based in London, is a multinational energy giant with operations spanning integrated gas, upstream exploration, downstream marketing, chemicals, and renewables across global markets. Recent weeks have seen SHEL exhibit stable price action around $89, with year-to-date returns of about 21% and one-year gains near 37%. Key drivers include ongoing share buybacks exceeding $20 billion expectations, strategic deals like the ARC Resources partnership for LNG upside, and a focus on low-carbon solutions. Higher dividend payouts and a lower P/E ratio have bolstered investor sentiment, though modest monthly declines reflect broader energy sector pressures from fluctuating crude prices.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IMO and SHEL share integrated business models but differ in scale and exposure: IMO leverages Canadian oil sands for growth, tied closely to North American commodity cycles, while SHEL benefits from global diversification into LNG, renewables, and petrochemicals. Recent momentum favors IMO with nearly double the YTD gains, though its higher P/E signals growth pricing versus SHEL's value orientation. Risk factors include IMO's regional concentration amplifying oil volatility, contrasted by SHEL's debt load (total debt-to-equity around 43%) but offset by robust free cash flow. Market sentiment leans positive for both, with analyst buy ratings and buyback catalysts for SHEL, positioning IMO for aggressive upside and SHEL for defensive stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors IMO over SHEL, based on superior trend consistency and relative YTD outperformance amid strong upstream positioning and oil market resilience. While SHEL offers valuation appeal and dividend stability, IMO's momentum suggests higher probability of near-term gains for growth-oriented strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IMO is a Hold and SHEL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IMO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IMO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IMO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IMO (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -5.05% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was -6.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -7.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
IMO is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-7.95% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| IMO | SHEL | IMO / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 55.7B | 228B | 24% |
| EBITDA | 6.4B | 57.7B | 11% |
| Gain YTD | 32.302 | 11.414 | 283% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.08 | 12.52 | 216% |
| Revenue | 45.4B | 267B | 17% |
| Total Cash | 1.03B | 23.1B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 4.14B | 75.6B | 5% |
IMO | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (30) in the null industry is in the same range as IMO (48) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the null industry is in the same range as IMO (8) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as IMO (100) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (54) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for SHEL (76) in the null industry. This means that IMO’s stock grew significantly faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| IMO | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 36% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 76% | 17 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 30% |
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