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CVX vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chevron Corporation (CVX) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Chevron Corporation (CVX) delivered record Q2 2026 net income of $12.1 billion, supported by elevated refining margins and a 20% year-over-year increase in worldwide production.
- Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is scheduled to report Q2 2026 results on August 4, with analysts projecting substantial EPS growth compared with the prior year.
- Over recent market activity, SU has posted stronger year-to-date returns than CVX, reflecting outperformance in the Canadian energy segment.
- CVX maintains a larger, more diversified global footprint with significant downstream operations, while SU focuses primarily on Canadian oil sands production.
- Both stocks benefit from higher oil prices and sector tailwinds, yet CVX offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 3.6% versus SU’s roughly 2.5%.
- Market sentiment favors both names amid geopolitical supply concerns, with analysts maintaining predominantly positive ratings on each.
Introduction
Chevron Corporation (CVX) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) represent two prominent players in the global energy sector, each with distinct operational profiles and geographic exposures. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Institutional and retail investors seeking exposure to energy equities, as well as traders monitoring sector rotation and commodity price dynamics, may find this analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities and risk-adjusted performance within the oil and gas industry.
CVX Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron Corporation (CVX) is a major integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and natural gas on a global scale. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range following the release of strong second-quarter 2026 results. The company reported record net income of $12.1 billion, driven by robust refining margins and record U.S. production levels. Worldwide oil-equivalent output rose 20% year over year, aided by legacy assets and Permian Basin growth. Positive analyst revisions and multiple price-target increases have supported sentiment, although broader energy-sector volatility tied to geopolitical developments has influenced short-term price swings.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is a Canadian integrated energy company with primary operations in oil sands extraction, refining, and marketing. In recent market activity, the shares have shown notable resilience and outperformance relative to broader energy benchmarks. The company is poised to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on August 4, with consensus estimates pointing to substantial year-over-year EPS expansion. SU has delivered strong year-to-date gains amid favorable commodity pricing and operational efficiency improvements. Investor focus remains on production volumes and cost management in the oil sands segment, while upcoming results are expected to provide further clarity on cash-flow generation and capital allocation plans.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Chevron Corporation (CVX) operates a diversified global model with significant upstream and downstream assets across multiple continents, providing broader exposure to refining and marketing cycles. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) maintains a more concentrated focus on Canadian oil sands, which can result in higher operational leverage to local crude differentials and regulatory developments. Recent momentum has favored SU on a year-to-date basis, while CVX has benefited from a clear earnings catalyst and production growth visibility. Risk factors for CVX include international geopolitical exposure, whereas SU faces greater sensitivity to Canadian fiscal and environmental policies. Both names share sector exposure to crude oil prices, yet CVX’s larger scale and downstream integration may offer relative stability during periods of refining margin expansion.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings consistency, production trends, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Chevron Corporation (CVX). The company’s recent quarterly beat, record production levels, and analyst support provide a clearer near-term catalyst profile compared with SU’s upcoming results. Nevertheless, SU’s stronger year-to-date performance and anticipated EPS growth keep both stocks competitive within energy-sector allocations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a StrongBuy and SU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +7.20% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +9.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +4.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+4.31% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVX | SU | CVX / SU | |
| Capitalization | 392B | 76.7B | 511% |
| EBITDA | 41.6B | 16.2B | 257% |
| Gain YTD | 33.722 | 48.377 | 70% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.25 | 12.25 | 157% |
| Revenue | 186B | 54.5B | 341% |
| Total Cash | 5.33B | 3.27B | 163% |
| Total Debt | 45.4B | 14.8B | 307% |
CVX | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 32 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (32) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (56). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (14). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (60) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (82). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (44). This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (53). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 41% | 9 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 72% |
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CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | 100% | +1.16% | ||
| XOM - CVX | 83% Closely correlated | +0.94% | ||
| CRGY - CVX | 72% Closely correlated | +2.52% | ||
| BP - CVX | 70% Closely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| EQNR - CVX | 68% Closely correlated | +1.54% | ||
| SHEL - CVX | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
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SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.