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DHI vs IBP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? D.R. Horton (DHI) vs. Installed Building Products (IBP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DHI is the largest U.S. homebuilder, while IBP is a diversified installer of insulation and complementary building products.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: DHI is the favored ticker, reflecting steadier order momentum, scale, and balance-sheet strength relative to IBP.
- Both names face softer residential demand and elevated mortgage rates, but IBP's recent relative performance has been more volatile.
- DHI pairs affordability leadership with aggressive buybacks and a rising dividend, while IBP leans on acquisitions and commercial-end-market growth.
- The two stocks carry different risk profiles: DHI is more rate-sensitive, whereas IBP is more exposed to installation volume and insurance-related cost pressures.
- Explore deeper coverage through DHI Major News, DHI Today's Price Move, IBP Major News, and IBP Today's Price Move.
- Discover how automated strategies are navigating this market by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors tracking the U.S. housing ecosystem often weigh a large-scale homebuilder against the companies that supply and install building materials. DHI (D.R. Horton) and IBP (Installed Building Products) sit at different points in that value chain, making their stock comparison useful for traders assessing relative performance, market positioning, and sector exposure. DHI generates revenue from constructing and selling homes, while IBP earns income by installing insulation and other products for residential and commercial builders. This comparison is relevant for investors deciding between direct homebuilding exposure and a diversified installation business with commercial diversification, particularly as elevated mortgage rates and shifting consumer sentiment reshape near-term demand.
DHI Overview and Recent Performance
D.R. Horton (DHI), headquartered in Arlington, Texas, is America's largest homebuilder by volume, operating across roughly 126 markets in 36 states. The company concentrates on affordable, entry-level homes, with its average selling price materially below the national average for new homes. In recent weeks, DHI reported fourth-quarter and full fiscal 2026 results that reflected a "challenging" market: earnings per share (EPS) came in below analyst expectations even as revenue exceeded forecasts, and forward guidance disappointed. Despite this, management highlighted an 11% increase in net sales orders and raised the quarterly dividend by about 11% to $0.50 per share. The company continues to repurchase shares aggressively and maintains a strong liquidity position. Recent market activity shows DHI trading in the mid-$140s to low-$150s range, with a 52-week span roughly between $130 and $171, as elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressures weigh on sentiment while scale and capital returns provide support.
IBP Overview and Recent Performance
Installed Building Products (IBP), based in Columbus, Ohio, is one of the nation's largest installers of insulation and complementary building products, including waterproofing, fireproofing, garage doors, and rain gutters. It operates a national network of branch locations serving residential and commercial builders. Recent performance has been mixed: consolidated revenue declined modestly in the first quarter, pressured by weaker residential same-branch sales and adverse weather, while commercial and heavy commercial installation grew at double-digit rates. Acquisitions continued to add revenue, and the company raised its quarterly dividend by more than 5%. However, IBP has experienced notable price volatility in recent months, including a sharp decline earlier in the year, and its one-year return has lagged the broader market. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near the lower portion of its recent range, reflecting investor caution around residential volume declines and rising insurance-related cost pressures.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of automated trading strategies from a broader library of hundreds of AI trading bots that monitor thousands of tickers. Rather than listing every available bot, this section highlights those whose performance, statistics, and strategy profiles are best suited to current market conditions. The featured robots span a wide range of trading styles, timeframes, and risk parameters, from shorter-term momentum approaches to longer-horizon trend strategies, and each trades its own defined set of tickers. This diversity allows users to compare bots by metrics such as win rate, trade frequency, and historical performance before committing capital. Investors seeking a data-driven complement to manual stock analysis may find value in reviewing these tools as part of their research process.
Head-to-Head Comparison
DHI and IBP occupy different layers of the building industry, which drives meaningful contrasts in their business models and growth levers. DHI is a vertically scaled homebuilder whose results hinge directly on new-home orders, closings, and mortgage affordability; it controls a large, affordable product mix and uses its captive mortgage and financial services segments to support sales. IBP, by contrast, is an installation and distribution business that earns money from job volume across both residential and commercial projects, giving it partial insulation from single-family slowdowns through heavy commercial strength and bolt-on acquisitions.
On recent momentum, DHI has shown firmer order growth and steadier execution, supported by a strong balance sheet, aggressive share repurchases, and a rising dividend. IBP offers commercial diversification and acquisition-driven expansion but has faced sharper residential volume declines, higher medical and liability insurance costs, and greater stock-price volatility. Risk profiles also differ: DHI is more directly exposed to mortgage-rate swings and incentive-driven margin pressure, while IBP is more sensitive to installation volumes, weather disruptions, and cost inflation. In terms of market sentiment, DHI's scale and shareholder returns appear to command more stable positioning, whereas IBP's valuation has compressed amid concerns about residential demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, order momentum, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor DHI over IBP. DHI's improving net sales orders, disciplined capital allocation, dividend growth, and dominant scale suggest a more resilient operating foundation in a difficult housing environment. IBP's commercial diversification and acquisition strategy are strengths, but its sharper residential volume declines, cost pressures, and higher price volatility introduce greater uncertainty. This assessment reflects a probabilistic reading of current data rather than a definitive forecast, and relative positioning could shift as interest rates, housing demand, and each company's fundamentals evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DHI is a Buy and IBP is a Hold.
DHI in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DHI as a result. In 60 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DHI just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where DHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
DHI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +8.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in 192 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 59 cases where DHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
DHI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DHI entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.788) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (14.475) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.171) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.205) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
IBP in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IBP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IBP as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IBP just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IBP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
IBP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBP advanced for three days, in 229 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IBP moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 67 cases where IBP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
IBP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for IBP entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: IBP's P/B Ratio (9.146) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.910). P/E Ratio (23.612) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.900) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.816) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
DHI | IBP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DHI's Valuation (78) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (83) in the Building Products industry. This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's Profit vs Risk Rating (49) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (56) in the Building Products industry. This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
IBP's SMR Rating (27) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DHI (62) in the Homebuilding industry. This means that IBP’s stock grew somewhat faster than DHI’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (46) in the Building Products industry. This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IBP (64) in the Building Products industry. This means that DHI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IBP’s over the last 12 months.
| DHI | IBP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 10 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DHI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while IBP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DHI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IBP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DHI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IBP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DHI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IBP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DHI (@Homebuilding) experienced а +3.08% price change this week, while IBP (@Homebuilding) price change was -0.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -6.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
DHI is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
IBP is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-6.47% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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DHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DHI has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DHI jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
IBP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IBP has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IBP jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.