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IBP vs TOL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IBP is a Buy and TOL is a StrongBuy.
IBP's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IBP turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IBP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IBP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 50 cases where IBP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IBP as a result. In 59 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +0.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBP advanced for three days, in 237 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for IBP entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. IBP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. IBP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: IBP's P/B Ratio (7.808) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.685). P/E Ratio (20.158) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.941). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.900) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.816) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
Momentum Indicator for TOL turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TOL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 67 of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 56 cases where TOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOL just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where TOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in 225 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for TOL moved below the 200-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Aroon Indicator for TOL entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.459) is normal, around the industry mean (1.685). P/E Ratio (10.804) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.941). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.880) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.184) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
IBP | TOL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TOL's Valuation (69) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (82) in the Building Products industry. This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (67) in the Building Products industry. This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
IBP's SMR Rating (27) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TOL (58) in the Homebuilding industry. This means that IBP’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as IBP (75) in the Building Products industry. This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to IBP’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IBP (76) in the Building Products industry. This means that TOL’s stock grew somewhat faster than IBP’s over the last 12 months.
| IBP | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 76% | 21 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IBP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TOL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- IBP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TOL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IBP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IBP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- TOL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
IBP (@Homebuilding) experienced а +4.18% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was +3.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +3.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
IBP is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
TOL is expected to report earnings on Dec 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+3.83% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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IBP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IBP has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IBP jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
TOL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.