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DHI vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? D.R. Horton (DHI) vs. PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DHI, the largest U.S. homebuilder by volume, boasts a market cap of approximately $44.6 billion, significantly larger than PHM's $24.5 billion.
- PHM exhibits stronger profitability with a higher return on equity (ROE, a measure of how effectively a company uses shareholders' equity to generate profits) of 17.67% versus DHI's 13.48%.
- Both stocks have shown resilience in recent market activity amid hopes for interest rate cuts, with year-to-date gains of 6.77% for DHI and 8.88% for PHM.
- PHM trades at a lower trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 11.46 compared to DHI's 13.95, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- Homebuilding sector peers like DHI and PHM have benefited from falling oil prices and rate cut expectations in recent weeks.
- Recent quarterly revenue growth was softer for both, at -9.5% for DHI and -6.3% for PHM year-over-year.
Introduction
D.R. Horton (DHI) and PulteGroup (PHM) are leading U.S. homebuilders navigating a housing market shaped by mortgage rates, affordability challenges, and economic shifts. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, offering insights for investors tracking the residential construction sector. Traders seeking relative performance edges or long-term growth in homebuilding will find value in understanding their contrasts amid fluctuating interest rates and buyer sentiment. Both companies report upcoming quarterly earnings, heightening focus on order backlogs and pricing power in the current environment.
DHI Overview and Recent Performance
D.R. Horton (DHI), the nation's largest homebuilder by homes closed, focuses on entry-level and move-up single-family homes across diverse U.S. markets. With trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $33.52 billion and net income of $3.34 billion, it maintains scale advantages. In recent market activity, DHI shares have traded around $153, within a 52-week range of $114 to $185, reflecting volatility tied to housing data and Fed policy signals. Sentiment shifted positively after Q1 fiscal 2026 results showed revenue of $7.56 billion slightly below estimates, yet shares rose on lowered full-year guidance to $34 billion amid optimism for rate cuts and lower input costs. Analysts maintain a consensus Hold rating with a $155 target, influenced by housing weakness but balanced by strong order backlogs.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PulteGroup (PHM) builds single-family homes, townhomes, and condos targeting move-up and active adult buyers, with operations in key growth regions. TTM revenue stands at $17.31 billion and net income at $2.22 billion, underscoring efficient operations. Shares recently hovered near $127, in a 52-week range of $95 to $145, buoyed by sector tailwinds like declining oil prices. Recent weeks saw gains amid broader homebuilder strength, with year-to-date performance edging out peers. Prior quarterly results reflected a 6% revenue decline year-over-year, yet profitability held firm with a 12.82% margin. Analyst sentiment leans Buy with a $136 target, supported by net new orders growth and board additions signaling strategic focus.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DHI and PHM operate in the cyclical homebuilding sector, exposed to interest rates, labor costs, and land supply, but differ in scale and efficiency. DHI's larger footprint drives higher revenue volume, yet PHM counters with superior ROE (17.67% vs. 13.48%) and lower debt-to-equity (18.45% vs. 22.87%), indicating better capital use. Valuation favors PHM on trailing P/E (11.46 vs. 13.95) and PEG ratio (1.13 vs. 1.34), despite similar price-to-book around 1.85-1.87. Recent momentum shows PHM with stronger one-year returns (~35% vs. ~28%), though both face slowing quarterly growth from high rates. Risk profiles align with sector headwinds like affordability, but PHM's margin edge (12.82%) provides a buffer over DHI's 9.95%.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI tools, evaluating trend consistency, valuation metrics, and relative momentum, would likely favor PHM in the current environment. Its lower P/E, higher ROE, and edge in recent returns position it probabilistically stronger amid homebuilder recovery signals like potential rate cuts. DHI offers scale but trails on efficiency trade-offs.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DHI is a StrongBuy and PHM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DHI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DHI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DHI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DHI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DHI (@Homebuilding) experienced а +4.36% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was +8.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -2.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
DHI is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-2.14% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| DHI | PHM | DHI / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 46.2B | 26.1B | 177% |
| EBITDA | 4.03B | 2.79B | 144% |
| Gain YTD | 13.753 | 17.512 | 79% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.64 | 12.15 | 121% |
| Revenue | 33.3B | 16.8B | 198% |
| Total Cash | 1.92B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 6.63B | 2.28B | 291% |
DHI | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DHI's Valuation (64) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (67). This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (50). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (63). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (19). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (19). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
| DHI | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 7 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 17 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
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