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DHI vs GRBK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? D.R. Horton (DHI) vs. Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DHI is the largest homebuilder in the United States by volume, with a diversified national footprint and an entry-level, affordability-focused strategy.
- GRBK is a smaller, regionally concentrated builder that owns and self-develops infill lots in Texas, Georgia, and Florida, producing industry-leading gross margins.
- Both companies face the same macro headwinds of elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressure, but GRBK has posted a materially lower cancellation rate and stronger margins in recent quarters.
- DHI offers scale, diversification, and capital-return consistency, recently raising its quarterly dividend for the thirteenth consecutive year.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, margin leadership, and relative momentum, Tickeron's AI currently favors GRBK in this head-to-head comparison.
- For more on each ticker's latest developments, explore DHI Major News and DHI Today's Price Move, plus GRBK Major News and GRBK Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are navigating this market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Both DHI and GRBK are publicly traded U.S. homebuilders operating in the same cyclical housing market, yet their business models and market positioning differ sharply. D.R. Horton is a national, entry-level-focused builder with unmatched scale, while Green Brick Partners pursues a land-heavy, infill-oriented strategy concentrated in a handful of high-growth Sun Belt states. For traders and investors evaluating homebuilding exposure, this stock comparison clarifies how relative performance, margin quality, and risk profiles diverge between a market leader and a regional specialist amid elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressures.
DHI Overview and Recent Performance
DHI — D.R. Horton, Inc. — is the largest U.S. homebuilder by volume, operating across 36 states with a focus on entry-level and first-time buyers. Its diversified platform spans homebuilding, land development (through majority-owned Forestar), rental operations, and captive financial services. In recent weeks, the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter results showing homebuilding revenue declining modestly and net sales orders falling year over year, alongside a higher cancellation rate. Management has cited elevated mortgage rates and cautious consumer sentiment as key pressures. In response, D.R. Horton has leaned on affordability levers such as mortgage buydowns and smaller product offerings, while continuing aggressive share repurchases and raising its quarterly dividend. Analysts have issued mixed revisions, with some lowering price targets while maintaining Buy ratings, reflecting a cautious but resilient view of the company's scale and balance-sheet strength.
GRBK Overview and Recent Performance
GRBK — Green Brick Partners, Inc. — is a regional homebuilder and land developer based in Plano, Texas, operating primarily in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Its differentiated model centers on owning and self-developing infill and infill-adjacent lots, which supports structurally higher gross margins than many peers. In its most recent quarter, Green Brick reported a year-over-year increase in net new home orders and deliveries, maintained a homebuilding gross margin near 28%, and held its cancellation rate among the lowest of public homebuilders. Book value per share rose double digits year over year, while leverage remained low. The company also continued scaling its in-house mortgage operations and repurchased shares. Although its smaller geographic footprint creates concentration risk, recent results have highlighted resilient demand and disciplined capital allocation through a challenging demand environment.
Trending AI Robots
For investors who prefer a systematic approach to navigating shifting markets, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of automated trading strategies. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of tickers, but only the strongest and most market-appropriate strategies earn a place in the Trending AI Robots section. These bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and the specific tickers they trade, giving users the flexibility to match an approach to their own objectives and risk tolerance. Exploring this page can help traders identify strategies currently demonstrating favorable momentum and consistency.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is scale versus margin quality. DHI closes tens of thousands of homes annually and commands a leading national market share in the affordable segment, which provides diversification and resilience but yields thinner homebuilding margins and exposes it to broad demand swings. GRBK, by comparison, delivers far fewer homes but generates superior gross margins through its owned-lot, infill strategy and has maintained a substantially lower cancellation rate in recent quarters.
Growth drivers also differ. D.R. Horton relies on scale, capital-return consistency, and a national land-light footprint, while Green Brick's growth hinges on a well-located land pipeline in high-demand Sun Belt submarkets and expanding mortgage capture. On risk factors, DHI carries the advantages of geographic breadth and deep liquidity; GRBK faces concentration risk across a limited number of states and submarkets. Market sentiment has favored Green Brick's margin resilience in recent trading activity, while D.R. Horton is often viewed through the lens of valuation and its relative discount to the broader market.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward GRBK as the more favorable candidate in this comparison. The assessment reflects Green Brick's industry-leading gross margins, a meaningfully lower cancellation rate, disciplined low-leverage balance sheet, and comparatively stronger relative momentum in recent market activity. That said, this is a probabilistic read on current conditions rather than a definitive forecast; DHI's national scale, diversification, and capital-return track record remain meaningful offsetting strengths that could shift the balance if broader demand conditions stabilize.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DHI is a Buy and GRBK is a Hold.
DHI in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DHI as a result. In 60 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DHI just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where DHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
DHI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +8.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in 192 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 59 cases where DHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
DHI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DHI entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.788) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (14.475) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.171) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.205) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
GRBK in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026
GRBK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 32 of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 65 cases where GRBK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GRBK as a result. In 58 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
GRBK moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for GRBK moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GRBK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for GRBK entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GRBK's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GRBK just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where GRBK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.446) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (9.733) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.110) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.421) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GRBK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
DHI | GRBK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GRBK's Valuation (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (78). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (49). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (62). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (50). This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (25). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
| DHI | GRBK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DHI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while GRBK’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DHI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GRBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DHI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GRBK’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DHI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GRBK’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
DHI (@Homebuilding) experienced а +3.08% price change this week, while GRBK (@Homebuilding) price change was +3.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -6.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
DHI is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
GRBK is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-6.47% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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DHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DHI has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DHI jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
GRBK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRBK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRBK | 100% | -4.01% | ||
| MTH - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -4.39% | ||
| PHM - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| TOL - GRBK | 84% Closely correlated | -2.65% | ||
| KBH - GRBK | 83% Closely correlated | -2.96% | ||
| DHI - GRBK | 83% Closely correlated | -3.80% | ||
More | ||||
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