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DINO vs DK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) vs. Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DINO and DK have delivered robust year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 35-38%, outperforming broader energy sector averages amid favorable refining conditions.
- DINO, the larger refiner by market cap at over $11 billion, boasts positive earnings per share (EPS) of $3.08 and a dividend yield near 3.24%.
- DK shows explosive one-year returns exceeding 200% but trades at a negative EPS of -$0.34, reflecting higher volatility.
- Recent weeks have seen mixed momentum, with DINO gaining ground on strong trading days while DK faces pressure ahead of quarterly earnings.
- Analyst price targets suggest 7-20% upside for both, driven by refining margins and sector recovery.
- Refining crack spreads (the difference between crude oil and refined product prices) remain a key sentiment driver for these downstream players.
Introduction
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) and Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) are prominent independent refiners in the U.S. downstream energy sector, processing crude into fuels and petrochemicals. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders and investors tracking refining margins, which have supported strong relative performance amid volatile oil prices. Energy sector participants, including those focused on value stocks with dividends or momentum plays, can assess trade-offs in scale, profitability, and risk exposure. With both stocks showing significant YTD appreciation, understanding their market positioning aids decisions in a cyclical industry sensitive to global demand and supply dynamics.
DINO Overview and Recent Performance
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) operates refineries across the U.S., with a focus on marketing renewable diesel and lubricants alongside traditional fuels. Its business spans approximately 678,000 barrels per day of throughput capacity. In recent market activity, DINO shares have traded around $62, within a 52-week range of $29 to $65, reflecting a market cap exceeding $11 billion. YTD gains near 35% have outpaced peers, bolstered by positive EPS of $3.08 and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 20. Sentiment has been influenced by sustained refining crack spreads and analyst upgrades, though upcoming earnings introduce near-term volatility. Recent outperformance versus competitors underscores operational resilience.
DK Overview and Recent Performance
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) engages in refining, transportation, and marketing petroleum products through assets in the mid-continent and Gulf Coast regions, with roughly 302,000 barrels per day of refining capacity. Shares recently hovered near $40.50, in a 52-week span from $13 to $48, supporting a $2.4 billion market cap. YTD returns around 38% highlight momentum, with one-year gains over 200%, though a recent one-month dip of about 11% reflects pre-earnings caution. Negative EPS of -$0.34 signals profitability challenges, offset by a 2.5% dividend yield. Performance drivers include crack spread expansion and logistics partnerships, tempered by higher leverage and smaller scale.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DINO and DK thrive on refining margins as core growth drivers, but DINO’s larger scale provides diversification into renewables and broader marketing, contrasting DK’s focus on integrated logistics. Recent momentum favors DK’s higher YTD and one-year returns, yet DINO exhibits steadier recent trading with positive profitability. Risk factors include commodity volatility and debt loads—DK’s elevated leverage (debt-to-equity over 600%) amplifies sensitivity versus DINO’s beta of 0.69. Sector exposure is aligned in downstream refining, but market sentiment leans toward DINO for stability amid margin uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently leans toward DINO due to its trend consistency, positive EPS trajectory, lower beta, and stronger balance sheet positioning. While DK offers higher recent growth potential, DINO’s scale and dividend appeal provide probabilistic advantages in sustained refining recovery. This favors conservative momentum plays over speculative volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DINO is a Hold and DK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DINO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DINO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DINO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DINO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DINO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -2.10% price change this week, while DK (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -4.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -0.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
DINO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
DK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-0.62% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DINO | DK | DINO / DK | |
| Capitalization | 11.9B | 2.63B | 453% |
| EBITDA | 2.69B | 730M | 369% |
| Gain YTD | 45.328 | 46.347 | 98% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.89 | 93.07 | 11% |
| Revenue | 27.6B | 10.7B | 258% |
| Total Cash | 1.15B | 624M | 184% |
| Total Debt | 3.25B | 3.25B | 100% |
DINO | DK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DINO's Valuation (36) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DK (92) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew somewhat faster than DK’s over the last 12 months.
DK's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (45) in the null industry. This means that DK’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's SMR Rating (63) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DK (99) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew somewhat faster than DK’s over the last 12 months.
DK's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (46) in the null industry. This means that DK’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
DK's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for DINO (96) in the null industry. This means that DK’s stock grew significantly faster than DINO’s over the last 12 months.
| DINO | DK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 73% | 16 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | N/A |
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DINO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DINO has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DINO jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DINO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | 100% | +2.08% | ||
| VLO - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| MPC - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| PSX - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | +1.37% | ||
| PBF - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | +5.36% | ||
| DK - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | +3.40% | ||
More | ||||
DK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DK has been closely correlated with PARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DK jumps, then PARR could also see price increases.