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DINO vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DINO has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +35.47% compared to PSX's +29.56%, reflecting robust momentum in recent market activity.
- Over the past year, DINO surged +111.52% versus PSX's +62.51%, outperforming amid refining sector volatility.
- PSX boasts a larger market capitalization of $66.49 billion compared to DINO's $11.14 billion, offering greater scale and diversification.
- Both stocks offer similar dividend yields around 3.1-3.2%, appealing to income-focused investors in the refining sector.
- Recent concerns over refining margins have pressured sentiment, though both companies show resilience with upcoming earnings reports.
- DINO's forward P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 7.75 suggests potential value relative to PSX's higher trailing P/E of 15.35.
Introduction
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) and Phillips 66 (PSX) are key players in the oil refining and marketing sector, both navigating volatile energy markets driven by geopolitical tensions and shifting refining margins. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking short-term momentum and investors focused on long-term stability in downstream energy. With both stocks benefiting from year-to-date gains amid supply disruptions, understanding their relative strengths helps in portfolio allocation within the refining industry.
DINO Overview and Recent Performance
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an independent energy company operating refineries across the U.S., focusing on producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and specialty lubricants. It markets products in the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest regions. In recent market activity, DINO shares have shown strong upward momentum, closing near $61.80 with a 52-week range of $29.23 to $64.70. Year-to-date gains of 35.47% and one-year returns of 111.52% reflect positive sentiment from elevated refining margins earlier in the year, though recent analyst notes highlight potential margin compression. Key influences include upcoming earnings on May 1, 2026, and sector-wide concerns over sustained profitability, contributing to volatile but resilient price behavior.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) operates as an integrated energy company with segments in midstream, chemicals, refining, marketing, and renewable fuels, refining crude into petroleum products and marketing under brands like Phillips 66 and 76. Recent performance has been solid, with shares trading around $165.95 in a 52-week range of $102.16 to $190.61. YTD returns stand at 29.56%, with one-year gains of 62.51%, supported by strategic moves like the acquisition of Lindsey Oil Refinery assets. Sentiment has been tempered by refining margin outlook from Morgan Stanley, yet positive earnings revisions and pipeline projects bolster stability amid broader energy market fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DINO and PSX operate in oil refining and marketing, but PSX offers broader diversification through midstream transportation, chemicals, and renewables, reducing reliance on pure refining cycles compared to DINO's focused refining, renewables, and marketing model. Growth drivers differ: DINO benefits from regional strength in high-margin areas like the Rockies, while PSX leverages global scale and acquisitions. Recent momentum favors DINO with superior YTD and one-year returns, but PSX exhibits lower beta (0.75 vs. 0.69), signaling relative stability. Risk factors include shared exposure to refining crack spreads and geopolitical oil risks, with PSX facing higher mark-to-market impacts. Market sentiment tilts toward DINO for value via lower forward P/E, while PSX appeals for size and dividend consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis would currently lean toward DINO due to its consistent trend strength, superior relative performance in recent weeks, attractive forward valuation, and positioning in high-margin refining regions. While PSX provides diversification and scale, DINO's momentum and catalysts like earnings suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current refining environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DINO is a Hold and PSX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DINO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DINO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DINO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DINO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DINO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -2.10% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -2.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -0.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
DINO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-0.12% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DINO | PSX | DINO / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 11.9B | 67.5B | 18% |
| EBITDA | 2.69B | 9.2B | 29% |
| Gain YTD | 45.328 | 32.538 | 139% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.89 | 16.64 | 59% |
| Revenue | 27.6B | 134B | 21% |
| Total Cash | 1.15B | 5.15B | 22% |
| Total Debt | 3.25B | 27.1B | 12% |
DINO | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DINO's Valuation (36) in the null industry is in the same range as PSX (42) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (45) in the null industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's SMR Rating (58) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (63) in the null industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's Price Growth Rating (46) in the null industry is in the same range as PSX (50) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (96) in the null industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
| DINO | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 73% | 21 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 66% |
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DINO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DINO has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DINO jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DINO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | 100% | +2.08% | ||
| VLO - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| MPC - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| PSX - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | +1.37% | ||
| PBF - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | +5.36% | ||
| DK - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | +3.40% | ||
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PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PSX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSX | 100% | +1.37% | ||
| MPC - PSX | 84% Closely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| VLO - PSX | 83% Closely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| DINO - PSX | 76% Closely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| PBF - PSX | 72% Closely correlated | +5.36% | ||
| PARR - PSX | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
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