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DTE vs DUK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? DTE Energy (DTE) vs. Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different scale, same theme: DTE is a Michigan-focused utility with an energy trading arm, while DUK is one of the largest regulated utilities in the U.S., spanning six states.
- Data centers are a shared catalyst: DUK has executed roughly 7.6 gigawatts of data-center agreements, versus about 2.4 gigawatts at DTE, though both hold substantial additional pipelines.
- Growth profiles diverge modestly: DTE targets 6%–8% operating earnings per share (EPS) growth through 2030, compared with 5%–7% for DUK.
- Recent momentum has favored DUK: Duke Energy has generally held up better in recent weeks, while DTE experienced a sharper pullback after a strong multi-year run.
- Both remain sensitive to rate cases and weather: regulatory approvals and storm costs are recurring risk factors for each name.
Introduction
Electric utilities have re-entered the spotlight as rising electricity demand from data centers, electrification, and grid modernization drives one of the sector's largest investment cycles in decades. Against that backdrop, DTE and DUK offer investors two distinct ways to gain exposure to the same structural theme. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent relative performance, and market positioning to help both income-oriented investors and momentum-focused traders assess which name is better suited to the current environment.
DTE Overview and Recent Performance
DTE Energy is a Detroit-based diversified energy company whose regulated units serve about 2.3 million electric customers in Southeast Michigan and 1.4 million natural gas customers across the state. Its portfolio also includes non-utility businesses such as energy trading and custom energy solutions, which add a layer of earnings variability beyond the regulated core.
In recent market activity, DTE has given back some of the gains from a strong multi-year advance, with the stock easing over the past month and quarter. The company beat consensus expectations in its most recent quarter, helped by a sharp rise in energy trading operating profit, while its electric segment faced higher rate-base costs and unfavorable weather. Management has confirmed full-year operating EPS guidance and continues to emphasize reliability investment of about $11 billion over five years. Sentiment has also been shaped by its data-center pipeline, including executed agreements of roughly 2.4 gigawatts and additional large-load opportunities under discussion, though regulatory review of some projects remains a key variable.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, is one of the largest regulated electric and gas utilities in the country, serving approximately 7.9 million electric customers and 1.6 million gas customers across the Carolinas, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky. Its scale and multi-state footprint provide a degree of geographic diversification not present in DTE's single-state regulated operations.
In recent weeks, DUK has shown comparatively steadier performance, posting year-to-date gains that roughly tracked or slightly trailed the broader market while outperforming DTE over recent months. The company has topped consensus earnings estimates in most recent quarters, supported by rate recovery of infrastructure investments and favorable weather. Duke has also advanced its balance-sheet work, closing more than $5 billion in strategic transactions. Its data-center backlog—approximately 7.6 gigawatts of electric service agreements plus a late-stage pipeline of around 15 gigawatts—is among the largest in the sector and underpins a five-year capital plan of about $103 billion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
At a high level, DUK offers greater scale and geographic diversification, while DTE provides a higher stated long-term EPS growth target—6%–8% versus Duke's 5%–7%—reflecting its more concentrated growth runway in a single high-demand region. DUK's larger data-center backlog gives it broader exposure to the load-growth theme, but DTE's smaller executed base means incremental contracts can move the growth narrative more noticeably.
On valuation and momentum, DTE has historically commanded a premium multiple relative to peers, and its recent pullback has put that premium in sharper focus. DUK, by contrast, trades at a more moderate valuation and has demonstrated steadier recent relative performance. Risk factors differ as well: DTE carries concentration risk tied to Michigan regulation and a more volatile trading segment, while DUK faces the operational complexity of a record generation buildout and a large capital program. Both are exposed to weather-related storm costs and the pace of regulatory rate approvals.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, catalyst breadth, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward DUK in the current environment. Its steadier recent momentum, larger contracted data-center backlog, and multi-state diversification provide a more stable trend profile, whereas DTE's sharper pullback and higher valuation multiple introduce additional near-term uncertainty. That said, DTE's higher growth target and concentrated Michigan data-center pipeline could support a more favorable relative outcome if its regulatory catalysts are resolved positively. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects the balance of momentum and stability visible in current market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DTE is a Buy and DUK is a Buy.
DTE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
DTE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 31 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DTE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DTE as a result. In 46 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DTE just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where DTE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DTE advanced for three days, in 187 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for DTE moved below the 200-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DTE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
DTE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DTE entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.221) is normal, around the industry mean (2.074). P/E Ratio (20.482) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.519). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.552) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.647) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DTE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
DUK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
DUK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DUK as a result. In 49 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DUK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DUK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The 10-day moving average for DUK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +1.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DUK advanced for three days, in 168 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DUK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
DUK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DUK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.750) is normal, around the industry mean (2.074). P/E Ratio (18.119) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.519). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.112) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DUK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
DTE | DUK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DTE's Valuation (46) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (53). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DTE (44). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to DTE’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's SMR Rating (67) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (70). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DTE (59). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to DTE’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (58). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DTE | DUK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 9 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 42% | 22 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 30% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 25% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DTE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while DUK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DTE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DTE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DUK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DTE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DTE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +3.69% price change this week, while DUK (@Electric Utilities) price change was +5.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +1.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
DTE is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
DUK is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+1.42% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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