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EC vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EC has delivered stronger year-to-date gains of approximately 48%, outpacing SHEL's 22% amid recent energy sector tailwinds.
- SHEL boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of around $248 billion compared to EC's $29 billion, offering greater scale and diversification.
- Both stocks have experienced recent pullbacks but benefit from elevated oil prices and geopolitical supply concerns in recent weeks.
- Analyst price targets suggest more upside potential for SHEL (average $99) relative to current levels than for EC (average $12).
- Energy-focused AI trading bots on Tickeron show strong performance, with annualized returns up to 76% in the sector.
- SHEL edges out in stability and catalysts like buybacks, while EC offers higher momentum.
Introduction
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and Shell plc (SHEL) represent contrasting plays in the energy sector: a state-controlled Colombian integrated firm versus a global supermajor. This comparison is timely amid recent oil price volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and supply dynamics. Traders seeking short-term momentum may eye EC's outperformance, while long-term investors might prefer SHEL's diversification and shareholder returns. Understanding their relative performance, risks, and market positioning aids decisions in the current environment.
EC Overview and Recent Performance
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Colombia's largest integrated energy company, focuses on exploration, production, refining, and power transmission primarily in South America. In recent market activity, EC shares have traded around $14, within a 52-week range of $7.80 to $15.62. The stock has surged about 48% year-to-date and 79% over the past year, fueled by higher oil prices and strong production. Sentiment has been supported by robust free cash flow and dividends, though recent sessions saw modest declines amid broader market rotations. Geopolitical stability in oil supply and Colombia's fiscal policies continue to influence investor views.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL), a London-based global energy giant, operates across upstream, integrated gas, downstream, and renewables worldwide. Shares recently hovered near $89, in a 52-week band of $65 to $95, with year-to-date gains of 22% and 44% over one year. Recent weeks featured dips tied to quarterly production guidance but buoyed by announcements like a potential $20 billion buyback, ARC Resources deal, and LNG focus. Trading profits have risen amid supply disruptions, enhancing sentiment. Shell's scale and transition efforts toward lower-carbon solutions underpin its positioning in volatile commodity markets.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases 25 top-performing AI trading bots curated from over 350 available models that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots employ diverse strategies like multi-agent signals, momentum trading, and corridor take-profit/stop-loss exits (e.g., 3%/2%), with impressive stats: annualized returns ranging from 24% to 163%, win rates of 51% to 88%, profit factors up to 11.7, and profit-to-drawdown ratios exceeding 17. Energy-specific bots, trading oil and precious metals tickers including some energy plays, have delivered up to 76% annualized returns with 57% win rates over recent periods. Explore these bots to see AI-driven insights tailored to current market conditions.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ markedly: EC emphasizes upstream production and refining in Colombia, exposing it to regional geopolitics and currency risks, while SHEL provides integrated operations globally, balancing oil/gas with chemicals, LNG, and renewables for resilience. Growth drivers include oil prices for both, but SHEL benefits from LNG expansion and buybacks, contrasting EC's production ramps. Recent momentum favors EC's sharper gains, yet SHEL exhibits lower volatility. Risk factors: higher for EC due to single-country focus; SHEL faces energy transition pressures. Market sentiment leans toward SHEL via analyst upgrades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward SHEL due to its superior trend consistency, global diversification, ongoing buybacks, and positive analyst revisions amid energy supply catalysts. While EC shows stronger short-term momentum, SHEL's scale and stability position it better for sustained outperformance in the prevailing market.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EC is a Hold and SHEL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EC (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -8.84% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was -4.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -3.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
EC is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-3.14% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EC | SHEL | EC / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 25.6B | 235B | 11% |
| EBITDA | 45.13T | 57.7B | 78,211% |
| Gain YTD | 40.860 | 17.253 | 237% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.45 | 13.30 | 71% |
| Revenue | 119.69T | 267B | 44,829% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 23.1B | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 75.6B | - |
EC | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EC's Valuation (26) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry. This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the null industry is in the same range as EC (29) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to EC’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (68) in the null industry is in the same range as EC (100) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to EC’s over the last 12 months.
EC's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (50) in the null industry. This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
EC's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (64) in the null industry. This means that EC’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| EC | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 70% | 8 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 38% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DMAX | 27.17 | 0.01 | +0.06% |
| iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Dec ETF | |||
| SHYD | 22.75 | 0.01 | +0.04% |
| VanEck Short High Yield Muni ETF | |||
| UJUN | 38.54 | N/A | +0.01% |
| Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra BffrETF™-Jun | |||
| USCA | 43.57 | -0.03 | -0.07% |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Clmt Actn Eq ETF | |||
| RMCA | 24.27 | -0.02 | -0.08% |
| Rockefeller California Municipal Bd ETF | |||
EC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EC has been loosely correlated with EQNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EC jumps, then EQNR could also see price increases.