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EYE vs WSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Vision Holdings (EYE) vs. Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- National Vision Holdings (EYE) reported Q1 2026 earnings and revenue beats, with adjusted EPS of $0.45 surpassing estimates by 5.88% and revenue up 6.6% year-over-year, yet shares have declined sharply YTD by about 37% amid broader retail pressures.
- Williams-Sonoma (WSM) delivered record FY2025 EPS of $8.84 with 18.1% operating margins, guiding FY2026 comp growth of 2-6% and margins of 17.5-18.1%, but shares are down modestly YTD by around 1-3% following recent pullbacks.
- EYE operates in optical retail with resilient demand for essential eyewear, showing 4.5% adjusted comparable store sales growth in Q1, while WSM focuses on premium home furnishings sensitive to housing market dynamics.
- Both stocks exhibit volatility with betas above 1 (EYE at 1.18, WSM at 1.49), but WSM boasts superior profitability and market cap over $20B versus EYE's $1.3-1.8B.
- Recent sentiment favors WSM for long-term stability due to strong cash flow and dividends, while EYE offers value potential amid transformation efforts and analyst buy ratings.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines National Vision Holdings (EYE), a leading U.S. optical retailer, against Williams-Sonoma (WSM), a premium home furnishings provider. Both operate in consumer discretionary retail, facing similar macroeconomic pressures like inflation and consumer spending shifts, but differ in product essentials versus luxury positioning. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing relative performance in specialty retail will find value in analyzing their recent earnings beats, growth trajectories, and market sentiment. This analysis highlights key contrasts in recent market activity to inform stock comparison decisions.
EYE Overview and Recent Performance
National Vision Holdings (EYE) is one of the largest optical retailers in the U.S., operating over 1,200 stores under brands like America's Best and Eyeglass World, offering eye exams, eyeglasses, and contact lenses to value-conscious consumers. In recent market activity, EYE reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $543.88 million, up 6.6% year-over-year and slightly above estimates, alongside adjusted EPS of $0.45, beating consensus by 5.88%. Adjusted comparable store sales grew 4.5%, driven by premium product mix shifts and digital enhancements, though traffic challenges persisted amid economic uncertainty. The company reaffirmed FY2026 revenue guidance of $2.033-$2.091 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.85-$1.09, reflecting transformation initiatives like cost savings and store optimizations. Shares have faced pressure, down approximately 37% YTD and 20% over recent weeks, with heightened volatility (beta 1.18) and elevated trading volumes signaling sentiment shifts, yet analysts maintain buy ratings with targets around $35.
WSM Overview and Recent Performance
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) designs and retails premium home furnishings through brands like Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, and West Elm, emphasizing e-commerce and omnichannel strategies. Recent performance includes record FY2025 results with $7.81 billion in revenue (up 1.2%), 18.1% operating margins, and diluted EPS of $8.84. Q4 comp brand revenue rose 3.2%, with operating margin at 20.3% despite a 4.3% revenue dip to $2.36 billion. For FY2026, guidance projects 2.7-6.7% revenue growth, 2-6% comps, and 17.5-18.1% margins, supported by store expansions, AI integrations, and B2B growth, assuming no housing recovery. Shares have pulled back modestly YTD (down 1-3%) and about 9% in recent weeks amid sector rotation, with higher beta (1.49) reflecting sensitivity to consumer trends, but strong cash flow ($1.1B) enables dividends and buybacks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: EYE targets essential optical needs with stable recurrence via exams and prescriptions, contrasting WSM's discretionary home goods exposed to housing cycles and interest rates. Growth drivers include EYE's premiumization and 1,250+ stores versus WSM's brand expansions and e-commerce (46.5% gross margins). Recent momentum favors neither unequivocally—EYE beat Q1 estimates amid YTD declines, while WSM posted record profits but guides conservatively. Risk factors: EYE battles optometrist shortages and competition; WSM tariffs and soft demand. Sector exposure overlaps consumer cyclical but EYE benefits from healthcare adjacency. Sentiment tilts positive for WSM's scale ($21B cap, dividends) over EYE's turnaround narrative.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WSM due to superior trend consistency, higher profitability (18%+ margins), robust cash generation, and positive FY2026 guidance amid stable comps. While EYE shows earnings momentum and value (lower PE), its volatility and traffic headwinds lag WSM's catalysts like retail investments and B2B growth. Probabilistic edge to WSM for relative positioning in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EYE is a StrongBuy and WSM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EYE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWSM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- EYE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EYE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WSM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EYE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EYE (@Specialty Stores) experienced а +20.53% price change this week, while WSM (@Specialty Stores) price change was +9.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +7.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
EYE is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
WSM is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+7.13% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
| EYE | WSM | EYE / WSM | |
| Capitalization | 1.49B | 26.3B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 179M | 1.65B | 11% |
| Gain YTD | -27.924 | 26.064 | -107% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.66 | 25.06 | 130% |
| Revenue | 2.02B | 7.88B | 26% |
| Total Cash | 67.9M | 652M | 10% |
| Total Debt | 692M | 1.49B | 46% |
EYE | WSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 28 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EYE's Valuation (47) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WSM (93). This means that EYE’s stock grew somewhat faster than WSM’s over the last 12 months.
WSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for EYE (100). This means that WSM’s stock grew significantly faster than EYE’s over the last 12 months.
WSM's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for EYE (85). This means that WSM’s stock grew significantly faster than EYE’s over the last 12 months.
WSM's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as EYE (63). This means that WSM’s stock grew similarly to EYE’s over the last 12 months.
WSM's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for EYE (96). This means that WSM’s stock grew significantly faster than EYE’s over the last 12 months.
| EYE | WSM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 75% | 7 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 75% |
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EYE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EYE has been loosely correlated with HNST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EYE jumps, then HNST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EYE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EYE | 100% | +1.97% | ||
| HNST - EYE | 47% Loosely correlated | +1.97% | ||
| LOW - EYE | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| CPRT - EYE | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.00% | ||
| CWH - EYE | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.10% | ||
| FND - EYE | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.80% | ||
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