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FND vs ONEW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. OneWater Marine (ONEW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FND is a large-cap specialty flooring retailer with a market value near $4.7 billion, while ONEW is a micro-cap recreational boat retailer valued under $160 million.
- Both stocks have declined over the trailing 12 months, pressured by soft discretionary consumer spending, though their underlying drivers differ sharply.
- FND remains profitable with a price-to-earnings ratio near 20, whereas ONEW carries negative trailing earnings and an elevated debt load.
- ONEW has reduced net leverage and expanded margins through divestitures and cost discipline, improving its balance-sheet risk profile.
- Neither company pays a dividend, making both comparisons relevant mainly for growth- and momentum-oriented traders.
Introduction
Investors weighing specialty retailers in the home-improvement and leisure markets often encounter FND (Floor & Decor Holdings) and ONEW (OneWater Marine) as two very different expressions of consumer discretionary exposure. One operates a national warehouse-format hard-surface flooring chain; the other consolidates boat dealerships and marine services. This stock comparison examines their relative performance, market positioning, and risk profiles. It is most relevant to traders and investors evaluating sector rotation, turnaround situations, and companies whose fortunes are tied to housing, interest rates, and big-ticket discretionary purchases.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
FND (Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.) is a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard-surface flooring and related accessories, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. The company serves both homeowners and professional contractors through its warehouse-format stores and is widely regarded as a high-growth operator within a fragmented flooring market.
In recent market activity, FND shares have pulled back substantially from their 52-week high, trading near the lower end of their annual range. Trailing-twelve-month revenue sits around $4.7 billion with positive net income, and the stock carries a price-to-earnings ratio of roughly 20. Sentiment has been shaped by softening comparable-store sales, adverse weather in early 2026, elevated mortgage rates, and cautious consumer behavior around larger home-improvement projects. Management has nonetheless emphasized durable cash flows, a new store pipeline, and a $400 million share repurchase authorization, which has offered some support to the narrative around long-term value creation.
ONEW Overview and Recent Performance
ONEW (OneWater Marine Inc.) is a recreational marine retailer based in Buford, Georgia. The company sells new and pre-owned boats and yachts, provides repair and maintenance services, and arranges financing and insurance through third-party providers.
In recent weeks, ONEW has traded in a low single-digit price range with a market capitalization below $160 million, reflecting a micro-cap profile and elevated sensitivity to industry cycles. Trailing earnings remain negative, weighed by prior charges, while revenue has declined modestly as same-store sales soften. The company has prioritized balance-sheet repair, cutting net leverage and completing divestitures such as the sale of its Ocean Bio Chem business. These actions have lifted gross margins and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), even as reported revenue eased. The result is an improving, though still leveraged, financial position in a cyclical industry.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy adjacent but distinct corners of consumer discretionary spending. FND benefits from a scalable warehouse model, a large addressable store footprint, and exposure to housing turnover and renovation activity. ONEW depends more directly on boat sales and marine services, a market that is highly sensitive to financing costs and consumer confidence.
Their financial profiles differ materially. FND is profitable on a trailing basis with a price-to-earnings ratio near 20 and moderate debt relative to earnings. ONEW shows negative trailing earnings and a debt-to-equity ratio above 300%, although its recent deleveraging efforts have improved interest coverage and reduced net leverage meaningfully.
On momentum, both stocks have declined over the past year, but FND offers greater liquidity and a broader analyst following, while ONEW exhibits higher micro-cap volatility and thinner trading volume. Risk factors include housing and mortgage-rate sensitivity for FND, versus leverage and industry cyclicality for ONEW.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, financial stability, liquidity, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FND over ONEW in the current environment. The flooring retailer's profitability, larger market capitalization, and more established earnings base offer a steadier foundation than the boat retailer's still-elevated leverage and negative trailing earnings. That said, ONEW's improving margins and reduced leverage could present a higher-risk, higher-reward setup if industry conditions firm. The verdict is probabilistic, reflecting relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a Buy and ONEW is a Hold.
FND's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FND turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where FND's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FND's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 58 cases where FND's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FND as a result. In 61 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +3.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FND advanced for three days, in 178 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FND declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
FND broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FND entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.925) is normal, around the industry mean (1.543). P/E Ratio (20.884) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.112). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.440) is also within normal values, averaging (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.227) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.058) is also within normal values, averaging (0.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FND’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FND’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
ONEW sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ONEW moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ONEW as a result. In 66 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONEW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for ONEW entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ONEW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 30 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 62 cases where ONEW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ONEW just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ONEW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +3.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ONEW advanced for three days, in 225 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
ONEW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.543) is normal, around the industry mean (2.329). P/E Ratio (-1.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.119). ONEW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.159). ONEW's Dividend Yield (0.773) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.093). P/S Ratio (0.087) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ONEW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ONEW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
FND | ONEW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 21 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ONEW's Valuation (3) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (65) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
ONEW's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as FND (100) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
FND's SMR Rating (72) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as ONEW (97) in the null industry. This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to ONEW’s over the last 12 months.
ONEW's Price Growth Rating (63) in the null industry is in the same range as FND (73) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
ONEW's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for FND (85) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew significantly faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | ONEW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 68% | 21 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ONEW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ONEW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONEW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ONEW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +5.27% price change this week, while ONEW (@Specialty Stores) price change was +5.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +3.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.34%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +0.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
ONEW is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+3.79% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
@Specialty Stores (+0.60% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.
ONEW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONEW has been loosely correlated with AN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ONEW jumps, then AN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONEW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONEW | 100% | -0.64% | ||
| AN - ONEW | 55% Loosely correlated | -5.49% | ||
| RUSHA - ONEW | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| ABG - ONEW | 54% Loosely correlated | -4.69% | ||
| FND - ONEW | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| PAG - ONEW | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
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