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FNV vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FNV, a leading gold royalty and streaming company, has outperformed NEM year-to-date with approximately 24% gains compared to NEM's 15%, reflecting its lower-risk business model.
- Recent approvals for ore processing at Cobre Panamá have boosted sentiment for FNV, a key stream asset, amid sustained high gold prices.
- NEM, the world's largest gold producer, shows stronger one-year returns over 110% but faces operational cost pressures.
- FNV trades at a higher P/E ratio (around 45) versus NEM's 18, pricing in its high-margin, low-capex royalty structure.
- Both stocks benefit from gold's rally, but FNV's diversified portfolio offers greater stability in volatile markets.
- Tickeron's AI trading bots include strategies trading NEM and similar gold miners among thousands of tickers.
Introduction
FNV and NEM provide distinct pathways to gold exposure in the precious metals sector. Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) operates as a royalty and streaming company, generating revenue from production shares without operational risks, while Newmont Corporation (NEM) is a leading gold miner managing mines directly. This comparison suits investors evaluating relative performance, risk profiles, and market positioning amid fluctuating gold prices and sector dynamics. Traders seeking momentum or stability can assess trade-offs in growth drivers and sentiment shifts.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) is the world's leading gold-focused royalty and streaming firm, holding a diversified portfolio across precious metals, energy, and platinum group metals. Its business model delivers high-margin cash flows (profit margin around 62%) with minimal capital expenditures, as it funds miners in exchange for future production royalties or streams.
In recent market activity, FNV shares have risen over 11% in the past month and 24% year-to-date, outperforming broader basic materials amid record gold prices. Key influences include a strong Q4 earnings beat with 86% revenue growth year-over-year, driven by elevated gold and silver prices plus robust output from assets like Antamina and South Arturo. Positive sentiment has been further supported by Panama's approval for processing stockpiled ore at Cobre Panamá, a significant stream for FNV, alongside analyst price target increases to $311. This has reinforced its appeal as a defensive play in the gold sector.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the largest gold producer globally, with operations spanning gold and copper across multiple continents. As an operator, it contends with mining costs, production variability, and geopolitical factors but benefits from scale and integrated assets.
Recent weeks have seen NEM advance about 16% over the past month and 15% year-to-date, following robust one-year gains exceeding 110% fueled by gold's surge. Performance reflects high gold prices offsetting rising costs like diesel, with some sessions lagging broader markets due to operational challenges and margin concerns ahead of Q1 earnings. Analyst sentiment remains constructive, with an average price target near $140, though recent adjustments cite cost headwinds. Strong long-term positioning persists via its vast reserves and cash flow potential.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FNV and NEM both leverage gold strength but diverge in models: FNV's royalty/streaming yields steady, high-margin revenue (low capex, counterparty risk) versus NEM's direct mining (higher growth via expansions but exposed to costs, disruptions). Growth drivers include FNV's portfolio optionality like Cobre Panamá versus NEM's scale and copper diversification.
Recent momentum favors NEM short-term (16% monthly) but FNV year-to-date; NEM dominates one-year returns. Risks contrast: NEM operational volatility versus FNV's dependency on partners. Sector exposure is pure gold-focused for both, with positive sentiment on metal prices, though FNV's stability suits conservative positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor FNV for its trend consistency, superior year-to-date performance, and resilient royalty structure amid gold volatility. Recent catalysts like Cobre Panamá enhance its relative positioning over NEM's cost sensitivities, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in stable conditions, though NEM offers momentum potential post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FNV is a Hold and NEM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FNV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FNV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FNV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FNV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FNV (@Precious Metals) experienced а +5.46% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +6.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +5.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
FNV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+5.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| FNV | NEM | FNV / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 41.5B | 111B | 37% |
| EBITDA | 2.06B | 16.2B | 13% |
| Gain YTD | 6.179 | 4.400 | 140% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.88 | 13.46 | 229% |
| Revenue | 2.11B | 25B | 8% |
| Total Cash | 434M | 8.78B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 82.6M | 5.53B | 1% |
FNV | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 34 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNV's Valuation (29) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (64). This means that FNV’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (53). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (47). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (52). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FNV (89). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than FNV’s over the last 12 months.
| FNV | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 60% |
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