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GD vs LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? General Dynamics (GD) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GD and LMT are major U.S. defense contractors benefiting from elevated global defense spending and robust government contract backlogs.
- LMT delivered strong second-quarter 2026 results with 11% sales growth to $20.1 billion and raised full-year guidance, driving a post-earnings stock surge.
- GD shares have shown solid recent momentum, trading near 52-week highs ahead of its scheduled July 29 earnings release, supported by backlog expansion.
- LMT maintains a larger record backlog of approximately $230 billion compared to GD’s roughly $131 billion, reflecting scale differences in contract portfolios.
- Sector tailwinds from heightened defense budgets provide common support, while relative performance hinges on execution, margin stability, and specific program contributions.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for both amid ongoing geopolitical factors, with analysts maintaining generally positive outlooks on valuation and growth prospects.
Introduction
General Dynamics (GD) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) represent two leading players in the aerospace and defense sector, each with diversified portfolios spanning combat systems, aerospace, and advanced technology solutions. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational developments, and market positioning within the current environment of sustained defense demand. The analysis targets institutional investors, active traders, and portfolio managers seeking objective data on relative performance, backlog dynamics, and sector exposure to inform allocation decisions in large-cap defense equities.
GD Overview and Recent Performance
General Dynamics Corporation provides business jets, combat vehicles, weapons systems, and information technology services primarily to U.S. and allied government customers. In recent weeks, GD shares advanced toward 52-week highs near $388, reflecting investor optimism around backlog growth to approximately $131 billion and anticipated contributions from shipbuilding and Gulfstream segments. Market activity has been influenced by broader defense spending trends and expectations ahead of the July 29, 2026 earnings release, where consensus estimates point to modest year-over-year revenue and earnings increases. Sentiment has remained stable, supported by consistent order flow without notable volatility spikes relative to peers.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin Corporation focuses on missiles, space systems, aeronautics, and rotary and mission systems, serving as a primary contractor for U.S. and international defense programs. Recent market activity featured a sharp post-earnings rally following the July 23, 2026 report of $20.1 billion in quarterly sales, an 11% increase, and $7.94 diluted earnings per share, which exceeded estimates and prompted raised full-year guidance. The stock reached levels above $580 amid the announcement of a record $230 billion backlog. Performance has been buoyed by missile system demand and operational execution, though tempered by typical sector considerations around program risks and funding timelines.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
General Dynamics and Lockheed Martin operate complementary yet distinct business models within defense, with GD emphasizing land systems, shipbuilding, and business aviation alongside IT services, while LMT concentrates on high-value missile, space, and fixed-wing platforms. Growth drivers overlap in sustained Pentagon budgets but differ in exposure, as LMT benefits from larger-scale missile and space contracts versus GD’s balanced mix including commercial aerospace elements. Recent momentum favors LMT following its earnings beat and backlog milestone, though GD has maintained steadier price appreciation near highs. Risk factors include execution on complex programs for both, with LMT carrying greater scale-related concentration and GD facing potential variability in jet deliveries. Sector sentiment remains supportive, positioning the pair as core holdings for defense allocation with trade-offs centered on size, diversification, and timing of contract realizations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including backlog expansion, earnings consistency, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to GD for trend consistency and balanced positioning, while acknowledging LMT’s strong catalysts from its recent results and larger backlog scale. The assessment reflects data-driven evaluation of momentum and sector alignment rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GD is a StrongBuy and LMT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GD (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.64% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +5.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +3.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
GD is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+3.57% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| GD | LMT | GD / LMT | |
| Capitalization | 106B | 138B | 77% |
| EBITDA | 6.73B | 10.2B | 66% |
| Gain YTD | 18.639 | 26.928 | 69% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.96 | 22.05 | 109% |
| Revenue | 54.9B | 77B | 71% |
| Total Cash | 4.33B | 3.79B | 114% |
| Total Debt | 9.48B | 20.5B | 46% |
GD | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 51 Fair valued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 50 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GD's Valuation (51) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (58). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
GD's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (34). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GD (50). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than GD’s over the last 12 months.
GD's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (43). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
GD's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (58). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| GD | LMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 28% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 44% | 7 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 36% | 28 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 33% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | N/A |
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GD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GD has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GD jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been closely correlated with NOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then NOC could also see price increases.