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GD vs LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? General Dynamics (GD) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LMT has posted stronger recent momentum, driven by a 10-year F-35 framework agreement and a record $292 billion backlog.
- GD offers a more diversified, hybrid defense-and-business-jet model, but faces near-term aerospace supply-chain pressures.
- Both companies benefit from rising global defense budgets, yet their growth drivers and risk profiles differ meaningfully.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors LMT over GD.
- For deeper context, explore GD Major News and GD Today's Price Move, as well as LMT Major News and LMT Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are navigating this market, browse the Trending AI Robots section.
Introduction
General Dynamics and Lockheed Martin are two of the most prominent names in U.S. aerospace and defense, yet they operate with distinct business mixes and momentum profiles. This stock comparison is designed for investors and traders weighing two large-cap defense primes against each other—whether to assess relative performance, sector exposure, or the strength of near-term catalysts. Because both companies derive the bulk of their revenue from government contracts, their fortunes are closely tied to defense budgets, geopolitical demand, and program execution. However, recent market activity has widened the gap between the two, making a head-to-head review of their market positioning especially timely.
GD Overview and Recent Performance
General Dynamics is a diversified aerospace and defense contractor with four segments: Aerospace (the Gulfstream business-jet franchise), Marine Systems (nuclear submarines and naval ships), Combat Systems (land combat vehicles), and Technologies (IT and mission systems). This hybrid of commercial aviation and defense gives GD a revenue mix that sets it apart from pure-play defense primes. In recent weeks, the stock has outperformed the broader aerospace and defense sector, supported by solid order flow, growing marine demand, and a long record of dividend increases now spanning nearly three decades.
At the same time, GD faces near-term headwinds concentrated in its Aerospace segment, where supply-chain constraints and a softer Gulfstream delivery profile have raised questions about short-term margins. Analysts have trimmed some price targets even as consensus views remain broadly constructive. The stock trades below its 52-week high, and a leadership transition is on the horizon, which adds a modest layer of execution uncertainty. Overall, GD's profile skews toward steady, diversified resilience rather than headline momentum.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor, with strengths in fighter aircraft (the F-35 Lightning II), missiles and fire control, rotary and mission systems, and space. Recent market activity has favored LMT decisively. The company reported a strong quarter, with revenue and earnings per share (EPS) rising double digits, and raised its full-year guidance for a second consecutive period. The standout development was a 10-year framework agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense for continued F-35 production, which analysts described as a significant de-risking event for a program that represents roughly 25–30% of revenue.
Momentum has also been supported by a record backlog of approximately $292 billion and rapid growth in the Missiles and Fire Control segment, where production of interceptors such as PAC-3 and THAAD is accelerating. Following these catalysts, several firms raised price targets, and the stock advanced sharply in recent weeks. This combination of a cleared catalyst, a strengthening order book, and an active munitions ramp has positioned LMT as a clear momentum leader within the sector.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two companies lies in diversification versus concentration. GD spreads its exposure across defense and commercial business jets, which can cushion program-specific setbacks but also introduces sensitivity to the business-aviation cycle and supply-chain disruptions. LMT, by contrast, is a more focused defense prime whose recent surge has been powered by a single transformative catalyst—the F-35 framework—alongside a fast-ramping munitions business.
On growth drivers, LMT currently enjoys clearer near-term visibility thanks to its record backlog and multiyear missile awards. GD leans on submarine and combat-vehicle modernization plus Gulfstream deliveries, which are subject to more near-term delivery-timing uncertainty. In terms of risk, both face political and budgetary exposure to U.S. defense appropriations, but LMT's concentration in the F-35 has historically introduced single-program risk—a factor partially mitigated by the new framework. On valuation and momentum, LMT has delivered stronger recent relative performance, while GD has been steadier but less catalytic. Sector exposure is similar, yet sentiment has clearly diverged in favor of LMT over recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, catalyst strength, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward LMT over GD. The probability-based view reflects LMT's clearer momentum, a record backlog that enhances revenue visibility, and a recent framework agreement that removes a meaningful overhang. GD's diversified model and steady dividend record remain attractive traits, but its near-term aerospace pressures and comparatively quieter catalyst pipeline place it a step behind in this particular matchup. As conditions evolve, these rankings are subject to change based on fresh data, price action, and shifting market sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GD is a Buy and LMT is a Buy.
GD in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for GD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GD as a result. In 57 of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GD just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where GD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
GD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GD advanced for three days, in 140 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for GD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
GD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GD entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.767) is normal, around the industry mean (5.059). P/E Ratio (22.457) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.065) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.796) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
LMT in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LMT as a result. In 37 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
LMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 193 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
LMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LMT's P/B Ratio (16.929) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.059). P/E Ratio (23.619) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
GD | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 69 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 50 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GD's Valuation (69) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (76). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
GD's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (22). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GD (50). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than GD’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GD (44). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than GD’s over the last 12 months.
GD's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (64). This means that GD’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| GD | LMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 6 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 38% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 33% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 47% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while LMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- GD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GD (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +4.60% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +0.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
GD is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+0.12% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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GD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GD has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GD jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.