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HII vs LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) specializes in military shipbuilding with a concentrated focus on naval programs, while Lockheed Martin (LMT) operates as a diversified aerospace and defense contractor spanning aircraft, missiles, and space systems.
- In recent market activity, HII has delivered stronger year-to-date returns compared to LMT, though both stocks have experienced volatility amid broader defense sector movements.
- Both companies benefit from sustained U.S. government defense spending, yet HII maintains lower debt levels relative to equity, whereas LMT offers greater scale and diversification across multiple segments.
- Recent developments for HII include operational momentum in shipbuilding initiatives, while LMT has secured multiple large contracts alongside some analyst price target adjustments.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to defense budgets, with HII presenting a more concentrated risk profile and LMT benefiting from broader revenue streams.
Introduction
This comparison examines Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) and Lockheed Martin (LMT), two prominent players in the U.S. defense sector. The analysis focuses on their distinct business models, recent stock behavior, and positioning within a market environment shaped by government procurement trends and sector-wide developments. Institutional investors, sector specialists, and traders seeking exposure to defense equities may find this relative assessment useful for understanding differences in scale, risk exposure, and performance drivers without relying on forward-looking projections.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, primarily constructing aircraft carriers, submarines, and other naval vessels under long-term government contracts. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience amid defense sector activity, with year-to-date returns outperforming the broader market. Key influences on sentiment include operational updates on shipbuilding programs and integration of advanced technologies such as autonomous assembly lines. Performance has reflected both positive earnings beats in the first quarter and periodic concerns around cash flow generation, contributing to measured volatility in trading.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a leading diversified aerospace and defense company with operations across aircraft, missiles, space systems, and related technologies. Recent market activity has featured multiple contract awards, including significant Navy and Army orders, alongside exploration of international expansion. The stock has posted more moderate year-to-date gains compared to some peers, influenced by steady backlog growth and first-quarter financial results that reaffirmed full-year guidance. Sentiment has been shaped by contract momentum tempered by occasional analyst adjustments to price targets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) operates a concentrated business model centered on naval shipbuilding, offering exposure to large, multi-year contracts but with higher concentration risk tied to specific programs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) provides broader diversification across aerospace segments, potentially reducing volatility from any single area. In recent momentum, HII has shown stronger relative year-to-date performance, while LMT benefits from scale and a wider array of revenue sources. Risk factors include HII’s narrower focus versus LMT’s larger debt load in absolute terms. Both maintain significant sector exposure to U.S. defense spending, with market sentiment reflecting ongoing government priorities and contract flows.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and recent relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) due to its stronger year-to-date performance and focused backlog stability. Lockheed Martin (LMT) offers advantages in diversification and contract breadth that could support steadier positioning in varying conditions. The assessment remains probabilistic and tied to current data patterns rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HII is a Buy and LMT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +5.92% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +10.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-0.18% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | LMT | HII / LMT | |
| Capitalization | 10.9B | 131B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 1.2B | 8.47B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | -14.950 | 18.951 | -79% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.65 | 20.97 | 89% |
| Revenue | 12.8B | 75.1B | 17% |
| Total Cash | 216M | 1.89B | 11% |
| Total Debt | 2.93B | 20.7B | 14% |
HII | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LMT (63). This means that HII’s stock grew somewhat faster than LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HII (69). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (65). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HII (62). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (60). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | LMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 28% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 58% | 8 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 43% |
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HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | 100% | +3.54% | ||
| LHX - HII | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.09% | ||
| GD - HII | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.31% | ||
| KTOS - HII | 51% Loosely correlated | +3.24% | ||
| RTX - HII | 50% Loosely correlated | +7.33% | ||
| KRMN - HII | 50% Loosely correlated | +4.48% | ||
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