Advertisement
HII vs LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both HII and LMT are leading defense contractors, but HII specializes in naval shipbuilding while LMT offers broader aerospace and missile systems exposure.
- In recent market activity, HII shares declined about 6% over the past month, outperforming LMT's steeper 18% drop.
- LMT reported Q1 2026 earnings with revenue up slightly at $18.02 billion but missed EPS expectations, pressuring sentiment.
- HII approaches its upcoming Q1 earnings with anticipated revenue growth of 10.4%, supporting relative stability.
- Valuations show similar trailing P/E ratios around 25-27, but LMT provides a higher dividend yield of 2.32% versus HII's 1.41%.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight HII for better short-term trend consistency amid sector pressures.
Introduction
This comparison examines HII and LMT, two prominent players in the defense sector, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and steady U.S. military spending. Investors and traders focused on aerospace and defense stocks may find value in understanding their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. With both companies benefiting from long-term contracts and backlogs, recent price behavior and earnings trajectories offer insights into short-term opportunities and risks in this resilient industry.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States, operating through Newport News Shipbuilding and Ingalls Shipbuilding divisions, focusing on aircraft carriers, submarines, and amphibious warships. In recent weeks, HII shares have traded around the $360 level, reflecting a modest monthly decline of about 6% amid broader market rotations away from defense names. Sentiment has been influenced by anticipation for Q1 earnings on May 5, where analysts project revenue growth of 10.4% despite a slight EPS dip, bolstered by strong Q4 2025 results and a robust order backlog. Analysts maintain a Hold rating with price targets near $400, underscoring its value appeal in the sector.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a global leader in aerospace and defense, known for the F-35 Lightning II program, missiles, and rotary-wing aircraft, with diversified segments including aeronautics, missiles, rotary, and space. Recent market activity saw LMT shares around $512, down sharply 18% over the past month following a Q1 2026 earnings report on April 23 that showed $18.02 billion in revenue (up 0.3% year-over-year) but an EPS miss at $6.44 versus expectations of $6.79. This led to heightened volatility and negative sentiment shifts, despite geopolitical tailwinds supporting long-term demand. The stock's 52-week range spans $410 to $692, highlighting its scale but recent underperformance.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curating just 25 standout performers selected from over 351 total bots that trade thousands of tickers across various markets. These bots employ diverse strategies—from short-term swing trades to long-term pattern recognition—with performance metrics including win rates often exceeding 60%, average returns ranging from 10-50% annually in backtests, and risk-adjusted Sharpe ratios above 1.0 for many. Tailored to current conditions like volatility in defense stocks, they adapt to tickers including those in aerospace sectors. Traders can explore these bots' historical stats, timeframes, and portfolios to align with strategies for stocks like HII or LMT. Visit the page to evaluate which might enhance your trading edge.
Head-to-Head Comparison
HII and LMT both thrive on U.S. defense budgets but differ in focus: HII's naval shipbuilding offers specialized exposure to submarine and carrier programs, while LMT's multi-domain portfolio spans fighters, missiles, and space for broader diversification. Growth drivers include multi-year contracts; LMT benefits from larger scale and F-35 production ramps, but HII shows steadier recent momentum with less earnings volatility. Risk factors for HII center on shipyard delays and labor, versus LMT's supply chain and program cost overruns. Valuations align with P/E ratios near 25-27 (price-to-earnings), though LMT edges on dividend yield. Market sentiment favors HII as a relative value play amid sector dips.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently favors HII over LMT, driven by superior recent trend stability, milder downside in volatile conditions, and positive revenue catalysts ahead. While LMT offers scale and yield advantages, its earnings stumble has weakened short-term positioning, suggesting HII may present higher probability for relative outperformance in the near term based on observable momentum and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HII is a Hold and LMT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.13% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -2.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +48.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-2.33% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | LMT | HII / LMT | |
| Capitalization | 12.9B | 119B | 11% |
| EBITDA | 1.2B | 8.47B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | -3.788 | 7.249 | -52% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.19 | 24.99 | 85% |
| Revenue | 12.8B | 75.1B | 17% |
| Total Cash | 216M | 1.89B | 11% |
| Total Debt | 2.93B | 20.7B | 14% |
HII | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (18) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (33). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Profit vs Risk Rating (48) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (50). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (64). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (62). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (26). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | LMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 38% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 42% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 7 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 55% | 11 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 58% |
Advertisement
LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.