HDGE
Price
$14.20Alerts
Change
-$0.10 (-0.70%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
41.87M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMCI
Price
$30.43Alerts
Change
+$2.64 (+9.50%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Capitalization
18.89B
83 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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HDGE vs SMCI

HDGE vs SMCI Comparison Chart in %
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VS
HDGE vs. SMCI commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HDGE is a Hold and SMCI is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for HDGE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

Momentum Indicator for HDGE turns negative, indicating new downward trend

HDGE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 70 of the 77 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HDGE turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.

HDGE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HDGE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 17 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for HDGE entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HDGE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 61 cases where HDGE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Following a +3.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HDGE advanced for three days, in 263 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

HDGE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMCI with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

SMCI in -3.37% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on November 10, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SMCI declined for three days, in 251 of 306 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMCI as a result. In 64 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMCI turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

SMCI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMCI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator for SMCI entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMCI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +9.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMCI advanced for three days, in 278 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

SMCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.843) is normal, around the industry mean (-6.197). P/E Ratio (7.879) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.658) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SMCI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
SMCI: Fundamental Ratings
SMCI
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
57
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
47
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
82
SMR RATING
1..100
36
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
77
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
96
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
HDGESMCI
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
87%
Declines
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
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HDGE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that HDGE and SMCI have been poorly correlated (+14% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that HDGE and SMCI's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To HDGE
1D Price
Change %
HDGE100%
+0.03%
SMCI - HDGE
14%
Poorly correlated
-2.83%
LGIH - HDGE
11%
Poorly correlated
-5.71%
TMDX - HDGE
11%
Poorly correlated
-3.03%
SOFI - HDGE
10%
Poorly correlated
-2.27%
EXPO - HDGE
10%
Poorly correlated
+0.63%
More

SMCI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMCI
1D Price
Change %
SMCI100%
-2.83%
DELL - SMCI
49%
Loosely correlated
-3.44%
RGTI - SMCI
46%
Loosely correlated
-6.39%
OSS - SMCI
45%
Loosely correlated
-5.74%
QBTS - SMCI
43%
Loosely correlated
-8.63%
QUBT - SMCI
42%
Loosely correlated
-8.16%
More
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