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HOOD vs RJF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Robinhood Markets (HOOD) vs. Raymond James Financial (RJF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HOOD shares plunged around 10% in recent trading following a Q1 2026 earnings miss, driven by a 47% drop in cryptocurrency revenue.
- RJF reported a Q2 earnings beat with 25% revenue growth, supported by asset management expansion and advisor recruitment, leading to positive analyst target revisions.
- HOOD trades at a high P/E ratio of about 40, reflecting growth expectations amid volatility, while RJF offers a more attractive P/E near 15 with a 1.4% dividend yield.
- Recent market momentum favors RJF with steadier gains over the past month, contrasting HOOD's sharp post-earnings reversal.
- Tickeron's analysis indicates RJF as a stronger short-term pick due to relative price stability and fundamentals.
Introduction
This HOOD vs. RJF stock comparison examines two distinct players in the brokerage and financial services sector: a disruptive retail trading platform versus a established wealth management firm. Robinhood Markets appeals to growth-oriented traders drawn to fintech innovation and cryptocurrency exposure, while Raymond James Financial attracts value investors seeking stability through diversified revenue streams and client assets. In the current market environment, marked by volatile risk assets and steady wealth preservation trends, this analysis highlights relative performance, recent catalysts, and positioning to aid decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
HOOD Overview and Recent Performance
Robinhood Markets (HOOD), a leading commission-free trading platform, primarily serves retail investors through its mobile app, offering equities, options, and cryptocurrency trading. The company has expanded into premium services like Robinhood Gold subscriptions. In recent market activity, HOOD shares experienced significant volatility, reaching highs near $154 in the 52-week range before a sharp pullback. Sentiment shifted negatively after Q1 2026 results showed $1.07 billion in revenue, up 15% year-over-year but below expectations, with EPS at $0.38 missing estimates amid a 47% cryptocurrency revenue decline. Record Gold subscribers provided some offset, but elevated expense guidance pressured the stock, leading to a roughly 10% drop in after-hours trading. Broader influences include fluctuating retail trading volumes and crypto market swings, contributing to a high-beta profile with YTD returns lagging peers.
RJF Overview and Recent Performance
Raymond James Financial (RJF), a diversified holding company, operates through private client services, capital markets, and asset management segments, managing substantial assets under management (AUM). It focuses on full-service brokerage, wealth planning, and institutional services. Recent weeks saw RJF deliver resilient performance, with shares trading around $156 within a 52-week range of $134 to $178. Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat forecasts, reporting $3.86 billion in revenue (up 25% year-over-year) and strong EPS growth, fueled by net new assets from advisor recruiting and technology investments. Despite rising costs, positive analyst revisions—such as Morgan Stanley's target hike to $172—bolstered sentiment. Steady AUM growth and a dividend yield near 1.4% have supported relative outperformance amid market rotations toward value.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, HOOD emphasizes digital disruption for mass-market retail traders with low barriers, heavily exposed to volatile crypto and options volumes, while RJF prioritizes high-touch wealth management via advisor networks and institutional services for stable fee-based revenue. Growth drivers differ: HOOD relies on user acquisition and product expansions like Gold, prone to sentiment swings, versus RJF's consistent AUM (assets under management) inflows from recruiting. Recent momentum shows RJF gaining steadily (up ~9% monthly) against HOOD's reversal from gains to losses post-earnings. Risk factors include HOOD's sensitivity to regulatory scrutiny and crypto downturns versus RJF's exposure to interest rates affecting net interest income (NII). Valuation trade-offs favor RJF's lower multiple and dividend, while HOOD offers upside potential in bull markets. Sector sentiment leans stable for traditional brokers amid fintech volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors RJF over HOOD, based on superior trend consistency from recent earnings beats, lower valuation metrics, and reduced volatility in relative performance. With catalysts like advisor growth and dividends providing downside protection, RJF shows higher probability of near-term outperformance, though HOOD could rebound on crypto recovery or retail surges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HOOD is a Hold and RJF is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HOOD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileRJF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HOOD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RJF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HOOD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RJF’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HOOD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RJF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HOOD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а +4.58% price change this week, while RJF (@Investment Managers) price change was -1.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was +3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.54%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
HOOD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
RJF is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (+3.16% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Investment Managers (-0.04% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| HOOD | RJF | HOOD / RJF | |
| Capitalization | 72.7B | 30.1B | 242% |
| EBITDA | 2.22B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -31.892 | -3.213 | 993% |
| P/E Ratio | 39.21 | 14.57 | 269% |
| Revenue | 4.61B | 14.5B | 32% |
| Total Cash | 12.2B | 2.61B | 467% |
| Total Debt | 13.4B | 4.22B | 317% |
RJF | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HOOD | RJF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 81% | 6 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 80% | 19 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 55% |
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RJF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RJF has been closely correlated with SF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RJF jumps, then SF could also see price increases.