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ICE vs MSCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) vs. MSCI (MSCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ICE (Intercontinental Exchange) operates global exchanges, clearing, fixed income and data services, and mortgage technology, delivering its 20th consecutive year of record revenues in 2025.
- MSCI is an index, analytics, and decision-support provider whose asset-based fees benefit directly from record inflows into ETFs (exchange-traded funds) linked to its indexes.
- ICE offers a more diversified, lower-beta, "all-weather" revenue mix, while MSCI carries a higher valuation multiple and higher growth in asset-based fee revenue.
- Recent momentum differs: ICE has been supported by record energy-trading volumes and an acquisition of MarketAxess, while MSCI is navigating index governance controversies and softer sustainability demand.
- For more context on key developments, visit the ICE Major News and ICE Today's Price Move pages, along with the MSCI Major News and MSCI Today's Price Move pages.
- To see how AI-driven systems are positioning across these and thousands of other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and MSCI (MSCI) are both financial-market infrastructure and data leaders, yet they serve different parts of the investing ecosystem. ICE owns the New York Stock Exchange, a global derivatives complex, and a growing mortgage-technology franchise, while MSCI licenses the benchmarks and analytics that much of the institutional world uses to allocate capital. Comparing them offers a useful lens on two distinct business models: transaction-driven marketplaces versus subscription- and asset-based data services. Investors weighing diversification, valuation, growth durability, and sensitivity to market cycles may find this side-by-side assessment particularly relevant in the current environment.
ICE Overview and Recent Performance
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a global operator of exchanges and clearinghouses, a provider of fixed income and data services, and, following its Black Knight acquisition, a major mortgage-technology platform. For full-year 2025, ICE reported net revenues of roughly $9.9 billion, up 7% year over year, with adjusted diluted EPS (earnings per share) of $6.95, up 14%. Management highlighted its 20th consecutive year of record revenues.
Recent weeks have brought a steady flow of expansion announcements. The company's energy complex has posted record average daily volumes, supported by volatility in oil and natural gas markets, and ICE has extended options trading hours at the NYSE and launched precious-metals futures in London. ICE also agreed to acquire MarketAxess, a fixed income trading venue, a deal that could deepen its presence in electronic bond trading. This transaction-driven momentum, combined with a comparatively low beta, has contributed to a stable relative performance profile in recent market activity.
MSCI Overview and Recent Performance
MSCI (MSCI) is best known for its equity indexes, which underpin a large share of global ETFs and benchmark mandates, alongside analytics, sustainability and climate data, and private-assets solutions. In 2025, MSCI generated operating revenues of about $3.13 billion, up 9.7% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $17.28, up 13.7% — its 11th straight year of double-digit adjusted EPS growth. Asset-based fees grew 17% for the year, reflecting record inflows into products linked to its indexes, with roughly $2.34 trillion in average assets under management in linked ETFs.
Recent sentiment has been mixed. MSCI launched new products such as SignalLab, an integrated signals platform, and reported strong third-quarter recurring net-new sales, but it also imposed a freeze on certain Turkey index changes and opened a consultation on reclassifying Indonesia, moves that underscore the geopolitical and governance risks embedded in benchmark administration. The stock carries a higher price-to-earnings multiple and a higher beta than ICE, reflecting its premium valuation and greater sensitivity to market beta.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a focused selection of the platform's AI trading bots. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, but only the bots best suited to current market conditions earn a place in this curated section. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, statistics, and set of tickers it trades, so no two are alike. The page is designed to help traders quickly identify the systems currently showing the strongest alignment with prevailing market dynamics. Whether you are tracking large-cap financial infrastructure names or diversified portfolios, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page is a practical way to see which automated strategies are being highlighted right now.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most clearly on business model. ICE earns a substantial share of revenue from transaction fees across energy, interest rates, and equities, making it more sensitive to trading volume and volatility but also more diversified across asset classes and geographies. MSCI is dominated by recurring subscriptions and asset-based fees tied to index-linked products, giving it higher-margin, more predictable revenue but greater concentration in equity-market beta and the indexing franchise.
Growth drivers also differ. ICE's catalysts include record energy volumes, mortgage-technology recovery, and the pending MarketAxess integration, while MSCI's center on ETF inflows, index adoption, and AI-enabled product innovation. On risk factors, ICE faces regulatory and cyclical exposure across its exchange and mortgage businesses, whereas MSCI faces competitive, valuation, and index-governance risks. In terms of market positioning, ICE trades at a lower earnings multiple with a lower beta, while MSCI commands a premium valuation that reflects its asset-light, high-margin model.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, revenue diversification, and the breadth of near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward ICE in the current environment. Its diversified transaction, data, and mortgage-technology mix, record volumes, and lower beta suggest relatively steadier positioning across market conditions. That said, MSCI retains a structurally attractive, high-margin franchise with strong asset-based fee momentum, which could support outperformance in rising-equity or strong-flow environments. The verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting the different risk-reward profiles each name offers rather than a single universal recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ICE is a Buy and MSCI is a Buy.
ICE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
ICE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 18 of 30 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ICE as a result. In 35 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ICE just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where ICE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The 10-day moving average for ICE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +3.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ICE advanced for three days, in 185 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 333 cases where ICE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 47%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ICE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
ICE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ICE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.273) is normal, around the industry mean (4.143). P/E Ratio (24.229) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.659). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.071) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.553) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
MSCI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MSCI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSCI as a result. In 54 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
MSCI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for MSCI moved above the 200-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +2.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSCI advanced for three days, in 181 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 82 of 151 cases where MSCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSCI moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 65 cases where MSCI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
MSCI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSCI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MSCI's P/B Ratio (-17.327) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (4.143). P/E Ratio (34.990) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.659). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.845) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. MSCI's P/S Ratio (12.048) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.166).
ICE | MSCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 78 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 7 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ICE's Valuation (87) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as MSCI (93) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to MSCI’s over the last 12 months.
ICE's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as MSCI (78) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to MSCI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's SMR Rating (7) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ICE (59) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ICE’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (22) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (59) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
| ICE | MSCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 3 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 54% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ICE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MSCI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ICE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MSCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ICE’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MSCI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ICE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MSCI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ICE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +3.18% price change this week, while MSCI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +2.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -0.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
ICE is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
MSCI is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-0.02% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
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ICE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ICE has been loosely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ICE jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ICE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 100% | +2.40% | ||
| SPGI - ICE | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.37% | ||
| TRU - ICE | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| MSCI - ICE | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| TW - ICE | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| MCO - ICE | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.83% | ||
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MSCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSCI has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSCI jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI | 100% | +0.71% | ||
| SPGI - MSCI | 74% Closely correlated | +0.37% | ||
| MCO - MSCI | 73% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| NDAQ - MSCI | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| MORN - MSCI | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| FDS - MSCI | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.73% | ||
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