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MSCI vs NDAQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MSCI Inc. (MSCI) vs. Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MSCI Inc. (MSCI) and Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) both operate in the financial data and stock exchanges industry, providing essential tools for capital markets.
- NDAQ outperforms year-to-date (YTD) with 9.34% gains compared to MSCI's 0.79%.
- MSCI recently beat Q1 2026 earnings expectations on strong index and analytics growth, though shares faced recent softness.
- NDAQ boasts a larger market cap of $50.1 billion versus MSCI's $41.7 billion, with a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.41 compared to 36.11.
- Both stocks offer comparable dividend yields around 1.2-1.5%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Upcoming earnings for NDAQ signal potential continued momentum amid positive analyst outlooks.
Introduction
In the competitive financial data and stock exchanges sector, MSCI Inc. and Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stand out as key players providing indexes, analytics, market data, and trading infrastructure. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning, helping traders and investors evaluate relative strengths in a volatile environment. Those seeking exposure to capital markets growth, risk management tools, or exchange operations may find insights into momentum, valuations, and catalysts particularly relevant for portfolio decisions.
MSCI Overview and Recent Performance
MSCI Inc. specializes in investment decision support tools, including critical indexes used in benchmarks like the MSCI World Index, analytics for risk and portfolio management, ESG and climate data, and private asset solutions. In recent market activity, MSCI shares traded around $567, reflecting YTD gains of 0.79% amid broader sector pressures. The company reported strong Q1 2026 results, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.55 beating estimates and revenue surpassing expectations, driven by index segment strength and analytics growth. However, sentiment has been tempered by recent share price softness, trading below its 52-week high of $626, potentially signaling a valuation opportunity as analysts maintain an average price target of $669.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) operates global exchanges, delivers market data, develops indexes, and provides financial technology solutions like fraud detection and risk management. Shares recently closed near $88, with solid YTD performance of 9.34% and one-year returns of 23.09%, outperforming peers in recent weeks. Trading between a 52-week low of $72 and high of $102, NDAQ benefits from robust operational drivers, including expected Q1 2026 revenue growth of 10.4% to $1.37 billion and EPS expansion. Analysts anticipate an earnings beat ahead of the April 23 report, with an average price target of $106 supporting positive sentiment amid capital markets activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MSCI focuses on analytics, indexes, and ESG data with high-margin recurring revenue, while NDAQ leverages exchange volumes, data distribution, and fintech diversification for broader exposure. Growth drivers differ: MSCI benefits from asset management demand, whereas NDAQ gains from trading activity and tech services. Recent momentum favors NDAQ with superior YTD and one-year returns, contrasted by MSCI’s earnings beat but price pullback. Risk factors include market volatility impacting both, though NDAQ’s larger scale offers resilience. Sector exposure aligns in financial services, but sentiment tilts toward NDAQ pre-earnings, with MSCI at higher valuation multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward NDAQ in the current environment, driven by stronger trend consistency, YTD momentum, lower P/E valuation, and favorable earnings catalysts. While MSCI demonstrates stability through recent beats, NDAQ’s relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance amid active markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MSCI is a Buy and NDAQ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MSCI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNDAQ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MSCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MSCI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NDAQ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MSCI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MSCI (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -4.96% price change this week, while NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -9.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -4.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
MSCI is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-4.86% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| MSCI | NDAQ | MSCI / NDAQ | |
| Capitalization | 42.3B | 46.7B | 91% |
| EBITDA | 2B | 3.32B | 60% |
| Gain YTD | 2.007 | -14.374 | -14% |
| P/E Ratio | 33.17 | 24.88 | 133% |
| Revenue | 3.24B | 8.3B | 39% |
| Total Cash | 382M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 6.55B | 9.45B | 69% |
MSCI | NDAQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MSCI's Valuation (6) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (68) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MSCI (69) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than MSCI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's SMR Rating (6) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (53) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as NDAQ (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as NDAQ (85) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
| MSCI | NDAQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
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MSCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSCI has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSCI jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| SPGI - MSCI | 68% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| MCO - MSCI | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| MORN - MSCI | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| NDAQ - MSCI | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| JEF - MSCI | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.14% | ||
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MCO - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
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