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NDAQ vs TW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs. Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NDAQ reported strong Q1 2026 earnings with revenue up 13% year-over-year to $1.41 billion and EPS (earnings per share) of $0.96, beating estimates, driving recent positive momentum.
- TW achieved record March 2026 trading volumes of $87 trillion with average daily volume (ADV) of $3.8 trillion, signaling robust activity ahead of Q1 earnings.
- Both stocks show positive YTD returns around 5-7% as of late April 2026, with NDAQ at approximately 7% and TW near 5.5%, outperforming broader benchmarks in recent market activity.
- NDAQ offers a higher dividend yield of about 1.25% with a recent hike to $0.31 per share, compared to TW's 0.5% yield.
- Market caps differ significantly: NDAQ at $51 billion versus TW at $25 billion, reflecting scale differences in financial infrastructure.
- P/E (price-to-earnings) ratios are comparable at around 27-30, indicating similar valuations in the fintech exchange sector.
Introduction
NDAQ and TW are key players in the financial technology and exchange sector, providing critical infrastructure for trading, data, and market connectivity. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning, offering insights for investors seeking exposure to fintech growth amid evolving market dynamics. Traders focused on relative performance and sector trends, as well as long-term holders eyeing stability and dividends, may find value in understanding how these stocks stack up in the current environment.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) operates global exchanges, delivers market data, and provides financial technology solutions to capital markets participants. In recent weeks, NDAQ shares have gained traction following robust Q1 2026 results announced in late April, with net revenue reaching $1.41 billion—a 13% increase year-over-year—and EPS of $0.96 surpassing consensus estimates. The company highlighted growth in its Financial Technology division and AI-driven initiatives, alongside a dividend increase to $0.31 per share and ongoing share repurchases. Trading around $90 per share, with a year-to-date gain of about 7%, sentiment has shifted positively due to these catalysts and broader market confidence in exchange volumes and tech investments, despite earlier quarterly pressures.
TW Overview and Recent Performance
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) runs an electronic platform for trading rates, credit, equities, and other asset classes, serving institutional clients worldwide. Recent market activity has been buoyed by record March 2026 total trading volume of $87 trillion and ADV of $3.8 trillion, underscoring strong client engagement. With Q1 earnings slated for late April, analysts have raised price targets amid optimism for continued volume growth, though some cite valuation concerns. Shares trade near $113, posting a year-to-date return of roughly 5.5%, influenced by positive analyst updates and expansion in digital assets and international markets, balanced against broader sector volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, NDAQ offers a diversified mix of exchange operations, data analytics, and SaaS (software-as-a-service) solutions, contrasting TW’s specialized electronic trading venues for fixed income and derivatives. Growth drivers include NDAQ’s AI and cloud expansions versus TW’s volume surges in rates and credit trading. Recent momentum favors NDAQ post-earnings, while TW anticipates catalysts from upcoming results. Risk factors involve regulatory changes and interest rate sensitivity for both, with NDAQ exposed to broader equity listings and TW to wholesale market liquidity. Sector exposure aligns in fintech exchanges, but market sentiment leans toward NDAQ’s scale and capital returns versus TW’s niche efficiency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward NDAQ based on superior recent trend consistency from Q1 earnings beats, revenue acceleration, and proactive capital allocation like dividend hikes. While TW exhibits strong volume metrics and growth potential, its pre-earnings positioning introduces slightly higher near-term uncertainty. This probabilistic edge favors NDAQ for stability and catalysts in the prevailing market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NDAQ is a Hold and TW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NDAQ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NDAQ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -9.26% price change this week, while TW (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -5.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.06%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -2.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
TW is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-5.08% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-2.25% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| NDAQ | TW | NDAQ / TW | |
| Capitalization | 46.7B | 21.1B | 221% |
| EBITDA | 3.32B | 1.51B | 221% |
| Gain YTD | -14.374 | -8.425 | 171% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.88 | 24.25 | 103% |
| Revenue | 8.3B | 2.16B | 384% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.94B | - |
| Total Debt | 9.45B | 143M | 6,605% |
NDAQ | TW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NDAQ's Valuation (68) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (93) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TW (75) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than TW’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's SMR Rating (53) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (61) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (75) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's P/E Growth Rating (85) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (95) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
| NDAQ | TW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 50% |
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MCO - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
More | ||||
TW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TW has been loosely correlated with ICE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TW jumps, then ICE could also see price increases.