MPC
Price
$183.18
Change
+$1.99 (+1.10%)
Updated
Sep 9 closing price
Capitalization
55.69B
55 days until earnings call
UGP
Price
$3.72
Change
-$0.11 (-2.87%)
Updated
Sep 9, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
4.1B
63 days until earnings call
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MPC vs UGP

Header iconMPC vs UGP Comparison
Open Charts MPC vs UGPBanner chart's image
MARATHON PETROLEUM
Price$183.18
Change+$1.99 (+1.10%)
Volume$2.31M
Capitalization55.69B
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Price$3.72
Change-$0.11 (-2.87%)
Volume$9.93K
Capitalization4.1B
MPC vs UGP Comparison Chart in %
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MPC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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MPC vs. UGP commentary
Sep 10, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPC is a Buy and UGP is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Sep 10, 2025
Stock price -- (MPC: $183.18 vs. UGP: $3.73)
Brand notoriety: MPC: Notable vs. UGP: Not notable
Both companies represent the Oil Refining/Marketing industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MPC: 120% vs. UGP: 70%
Market capitalization -- MPC: $55.69B vs. UGP: $4.1B
MPC [@Oil Refining/Marketing] is valued at $55.69B. UGP’s [@Oil Refining/Marketing] market capitalization is $4.1B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry ranges from $55.69B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry is $7.27B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MPC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileUGP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • MPC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • UGP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, both MPC and UGP are a good buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MPC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UGP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MPC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • UGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, UGP is a better buy in the short-term than MPC.

Price Growth

MPC (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а +1.68% price change this week, while UGP (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +2.75% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +0.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.13%.

Reported Earning Dates

MPC is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2025.

UGP is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil Refining/Marketing (+0.23% weekly)

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MPC($55.7B) has a higher market cap than UGP($4.1B). MPC has higher P/E ratio than UGP: MPC (26.63) vs UGP (7.70). UGP YTD gains are higher at: 48.218 vs. MPC (33.555). MPC has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 8.87B vs. UGP (7.81B). UGP has more cash in the bank: 3.99B vs. MPC (1.67B). UGP has less debt than MPC: UGP (18.9B) vs MPC (30B). UGP (138B) and MPC (134B) have equivalent revenues.
MPCUGPMPC / UGP
Capitalization55.7B4.1B1,358%
EBITDA8.87B7.81B114%
Gain YTD33.55548.21870%
P/E Ratio26.637.70346%
Revenue134B138B97%
Total Cash1.67B3.99B42%
Total Debt30B18.9B159%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MPC vs UGP: Fundamental Ratings
MPC
UGP
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
2922
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
79
Overvalued
28
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
2979
SMR RATING
1..100
6747
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
1339
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
671
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5090

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

UGP's Valuation (28) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MPC (79). This means that UGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than MPC’s over the last 12 months.

MPC's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UGP (79). This means that MPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than UGP’s over the last 12 months.

UGP's SMR Rating (47) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as MPC (67). This means that UGP’s stock grew similarly to MPC’s over the last 12 months.

MPC's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as UGP (39). This means that MPC’s stock grew similarly to UGP’s over the last 12 months.

MPC's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UGP (71). This means that MPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than UGP’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MPCUGP
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
65%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
74%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
74%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
72%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
62%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
45%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
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MPC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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MPC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPC has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPC jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPC
1D Price
Change %
MPC100%
+1.10%
VLO - MPC
91%
Closely correlated
+2.84%
PSX - MPC
87%
Closely correlated
+1.60%
DINO - MPC
86%
Closely correlated
+2.64%
PARR - MPC
69%
Closely correlated
+8.00%
PBF - MPC
65%
Loosely correlated
+5.53%
More

UGP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UGP has been loosely correlated with CSAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UGP jumps, then CSAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
-2.61%
CSAN - UGP
64%
Loosely correlated
-3.47%
PSX - UGP
31%
Poorly correlated
+1.60%
CTXAY - UGP
28%
Poorly correlated
-1.47%
DINO - UGP
26%
Poorly correlated
+2.64%
MPC - UGP
26%
Poorly correlated
+1.10%
More