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MRSH vs RYAN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Marsh & McLennan (MRSH) vs. Ryan Specialty Holdings (RYAN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different scales, same industry: MRSH is a diversified global professional services leader with roughly $27 billion in annual revenue, while RYAN is a smaller, faster-growing specialty insurance distributor and underwriter.
- Divergent price momentum: Both stocks have declined over the past year, but RYAN has pulled back more sharply than MRSH in recent market activity.
- Stability versus growth: MRSH offers lower volatility, a larger dividend yield, and steadier earnings; RYAN offers higher organic growth but faces property-pricing headwinds and a premium valuation.
- Recent fundamentals remain solid for both: Each company reported year-over-year revenue and adjusted earnings growth in its latest quarterly results.
- Risk profiles differ: MRSH's diversified segments reduce cyclical exposure, while RYAN's specialty focus concentrates both its growth opportunity and its sensitivity to insurance pricing cycles.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the insurance-services sector often weigh a diversified global incumbent against a specialty growth story. That contrast is precisely what a MRSH versus RYAN stock comparison captures. Marsh & McLennan operates across insurance broking, reinsurance, and consulting worldwide, while Ryan Specialty Holdings focuses on wholesale brokerage, delegated underwriting, and specialty insurance distribution. Both companies generate fee and commission income rather than underwriting insurance risk directly, yet their business models, growth drivers, and market positioning differ meaningfully. This article examines relative performance, recent developments, and the factors an AI-driven trading system might weigh when choosing between the two.
MRSH Overview and Recent Performance
MRSH (Marsh & McLennan Companies) is a professional services firm advising clients in roughly 130 countries, with more than 95,000 employees and annual revenue near $27 billion. Its operations span two primary segments: Risk and Insurance Services (led by Marsh and Guy Carpenter) and Consulting (led by Mercer and Oliver Wyman). This diversification positions the company as one of the world's largest insurance brokers and a leading player in reinsurance and management consulting.
In its most recent quarterly report, MRSH posted revenue of about $7.4 billion, up 6.2% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.96, an 8.8% increase. In recent weeks, however, the stock has traded toward the lower portion of its 52-week range, with shares around the low-$170s and a market capitalization near $82 billion. The stock carries a relatively low beta (a measure of price volatility versus the broader market) of roughly 0.58 and a dividend yield above 2%, characteristics that appeal to investors seeking stability and income alongside exposure to insurance-related services.
RYAN Overview and Recent Performance
RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings) is a Chicago-based specialty insurance services firm founded in 2010. Its platform includes wholesale brokerage, binding authority, and underwriting management, serving insurance brokers, agents, and carriers across specialty and excess-and-surplus (E&S) lines. With a market capitalization near $10 billion, RYAN is considerably smaller than MRSH but has historically grown faster.
In its latest quarter, RYAN reported revenue of approximately $917 million, a 7.2% year-over-year increase driven by 6.7% organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose 6% to about $327 million, while adjusted EPS climbed 12.1% to $0.74. Despite these gains, the stock has faced pressure in recent market activity, trading around the high-$30s and down materially on a year-to-date basis. Management has cited a "very challenging property pricing environment," particularly in catastrophe-exposed business, as a headwind, even as casualty and transactional-liability lines have performed well.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is breadth versus focus. MRSH's diversified revenue base—spanning insurance broking, reinsurance, health, wealth, and career consulting, and management consulting—provides multiple growth levers and cushions against weakness in any single line. RYAN's model is concentrated in specialty distribution and delegated underwriting, which supports faster organic expansion but leaves it more exposed to insurance pricing cycles and competition in property and catastrophe markets.
On valuation, the picture is nuanced. MRSH trades at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 21 with a forward P/E below 16, while RYAN carries a trailing P/E above 50 that falls to roughly 16.5 on a forward basis—reflecting expectations for strong earnings growth. RYAN's higher growth is paired with greater share-price volatility and a more pronounced recent decline, whereas MRSH's stability and dividend make it a lower-beta holding. Risk factors also differ: RYAN faces property-pricing and competitive pressures, while MRSH is more sensitive to macroeconomic demand for consulting and employment-related services. From a sentiment standpoint, analyst targets imply notable upside for RYAN, but its recent negative momentum contrasts with MRSH's steadier, though still soft, performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability, diversification, and valuation, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MRSH in the current environment. The company's diversified revenue streams, lower beta, and steadier earnings profile suggest more consistent trend characteristics than RYAN's more volatile, growth-oriented trajectory. RYAN's stronger organic growth and potential upside remain compelling, but its recent negative momentum and sensitivity to property-pricing headwinds introduce greater uncertainty. The AI's preference is probabilistic rather than definitive: it reflects a relative weighting of stability and trend quality over raw growth potential in the prevailing market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MRSH is a Hold and RYAN is a Buy.
MRSH | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| MRSH | RYAN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 6 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 43% | 12 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MRSH’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RYAN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MRSH’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RYAN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MRSH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RYAN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MRSH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RYAN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MRSH (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +3.35% price change this week, while RYAN (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -1.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was +0.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
MRSH is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
RYAN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (+0.34% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
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MRSH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRSH has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRSH jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 100% | -0.52% | ||
| BRO - MRSH | 80% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| AJG - MRSH | 78% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| AON - MRSH | 77% Closely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| WTW - MRSH | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.54% | ||
| RYAN - MRSH | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.06% | ||
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RYAN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RYAN has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RYAN jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RYAN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RYAN | 100% | -2.06% | ||
| BRO - RYAN | 68% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| AJG - RYAN | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| AON - RYAN | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| MRSH - RYAN | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.52% | ||
| ERIE - RYAN | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.99% | ||
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