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MRSH vs WTW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Marsh McLennan (MRSH) vs. Willis Towers Watson (WTW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MRSH and WTW are global insurance brokerage and advisory leaders, but they differ sharply in scale, business mix, and recent market momentum.
- Marsh McLennan delivered roughly 10% full-year revenue growth and its 18th consecutive year of margin expansion, while Willis Towers Watson posted more modest organic growth and declining reported revenue.
- WTW shares experienced a notably sharper pullback in recent months, including a sharp single-session drop tied to investor concerns over AI disruption in insurance distribution.
- MRSH has shown relatively more stable price behavior, supported by scale, diversification, and strong free cash flow.
- Both companies face a common headwind: softening commercial insurance and reinsurance pricing.
- Tickeron's AI framework tends to favor consistency of trend and relative stability, which currently tilts the comparison toward MRSH.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the insurance brokerage and consulting sector often compare MRSH and WTW, two of the industry's most recognizable names. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and long-term investors seeking to understand how business mix, growth drivers, and market positioning translate into relative performance. Although both firms advise clients on risk, benefits, and human capital, their scale, segment emphasis, and recent price behavior have diverged meaningfully. Examining these differences helps clarify which company offers a steadier trend profile and which carries a more volatile, catalyst-driven narrative in the current market environment.
MRSH Overview and Recent Performance
Marsh McLennan, trading as MRSH, is a global leader in risk, reinsurance and capital, people and investments, and management consulting. The company advises clients across roughly 130 countries, with annual revenue of about $27 billion and more than 95,000 employees. Its business spans insurance broking (Marsh), reinsurance (Guy Carpenter), health and wealth advisory (Mercer), and management consulting.
In recent market activity, Marsh McLennan has delivered steady fundamentals: full-year revenue rose about 10% with 4% underlying growth, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased roughly 9%, and the company recorded its 18th consecutive year of operating margin expansion. Management also completed the integration of McGriff, its largest acquisition to date, and launched a multi-year efficiency program. Capital returns remained robust, with about $2 billion in share repurchases and a 10% dividend increase. Headwinds include declining commercial insurance and reinsurance pricing and lower interest rates, which have tempered risk-and-insurance growth in recent quarters. The stock changed its ticker symbol from MMC to MRSH in January 2026.
WTW Overview and Recent Performance
Willis Towers Watson, trading as WTW, is a global advisory, broking, and solutions company with roughly 47,000 employees. Its business is split between Health, Wealth & Career (HWC) and Risk & Broking, with a growing focus on technology-enabled analytics and software. WTW completed the divestiture of its personal-lines platform (TRANZACT) in early 2025, narrowing its exposure to price-driven consumer insurance.
Recent results have been mixed. In its latest quarter, WTW reported adjusted EPS growth of about 2% and organic revenue growth in the mid-single digits, but reported revenue declined year over year. Margins continued to expand in both segments, and full-year results swung to a solid net profit from a prior-year loss. However, WTW shares have been considerably more volatile, pulling back sharply from late-2025 highs. A notable single-session decline occurred amid a broader insurance-broker sell-off triggered by the launch of AI-powered insurance quoting tools, reflecting investor sensitivity to potential digital disruption even though WTW's revenue is overwhelmingly tied to complex commercial and advisory work.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between MRSH and WTW is scale and diversification. Marsh McLennan generates roughly $27 billion in annual revenue across broking, reinsurance, wealth, health, and consulting, while WTW generates closer to $10 billion and relies more heavily on its Health, Wealth & Career segment. This breadth has given MRSH a more resilient revenue trajectory in recent quarters.
Growth dynamics also differ. MRSH has compounded organic growth with large-scale M&A (mergers and acquisitions) and consistent margin expansion, whereas WTW has been executing a portfolio-shaping strategy that includes divestitures and a sharper focus on technology. On momentum, MRSH has shown relatively contained price swings, while WTW has experienced elevated volatility and a deeper drawdown driven by AI-disruption fears and mixed earnings reactions.
Both names share sector-level risks, including softening commercial insurance and reinsurance pricing and lower interest rates. WTW's more concentrated mix and recent volatility make it more catalyst-sensitive, whereas MRSH's diversification and free-cash-flow strength (up about 25% year over year) offer comparatively steadier positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative stability, and market positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor MRSH over WTW in the current environment. The probabilistic edge stems from MRSH's more reliable trend profile, broader revenue base, consistent margin expansion, and comparatively contained volatility. WTW's technology-driven strategy and analyst support offer long-term appeal, but its recent sharp drawdown and catalyst-sensitive trading pattern suggest a less stable trend. This assessment reflects relative positioning rather than a definitive prediction, and outcomes will depend on how each company navigates pricing headwinds and evolving market sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MRSH is a Buy and WTW is a Hold.
MRSH | WTW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 57 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WTW's Valuation (79) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (82) in the null industry. This means that WTW’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
WTW's Profit vs Risk Rating (57) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (86) in the null industry. This means that WTW’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's SMR Rating (37) in the null industry is in the same range as WTW (47) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to WTW’s over the last 12 months.
WTW's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (70) in the null industry. This means that WTW’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WTW (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew somewhat faster than WTW’s over the last 12 months.
| MRSH | WTW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 33% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MRSH’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while WTW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MRSH’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WTW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MRSH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WTW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MRSH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WTW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MRSH (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +1.13% price change this week, while WTW (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -0.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was -2.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
MRSH is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
WTW is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (-2.03% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
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MRSH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRSH has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRSH jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 100% | +0.66% | ||
| BRO - MRSH | 80% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| AJG - MRSH | 78% Closely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| AON - MRSH | 77% Closely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| WTW - MRSH | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| RYAN - MRSH | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.76% | ||
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WTW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WTW has been closely correlated with AJG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WTW jumps, then AJG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WTW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTW | 100% | +1.17% | ||
| AJG - WTW | 70% Closely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| AON - WTW | 69% Closely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| MRSH - WTW | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| BRO - WTW | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| RYAN - WTW | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.76% | ||
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