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AJG vs MRSH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) vs. Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AJG and MRSH operate in the same insurance brokerage and risk management sector, offering comparable services in brokerage, consulting, and claims administration.
- Both companies have demonstrated resilience in recent market activity amid fluctuating interest rates and evolving risk landscapes.
- AJG has shown steady momentum through consistent organic growth in its brokerage segment, while MRSH benefits from diversified revenue across risk services and consulting.
- Market sentiment for both remains constructive, supported by strong client demand for risk advisory amid global uncertainties.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale, with MRSH holding a larger market presence and AJG emphasizing targeted acquisitions.
- Volatility measures and sector exposure position the pair as defensive plays for investors seeking stability in financial services.
Introduction
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) represent two leading players in the global insurance brokerage and professional services space. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating opportunities within the financial services sector. Professionals managing diversified portfolios, as well as those focused on defensive growth stocks, may find the analysis relevant for assessing sector dynamics and individual company trajectories.
AJG Overview and Recent Performance
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) provides insurance brokerage, reinsurance, risk management, and consulting services worldwide. The company operates primarily through brokerage and risk management segments, serving commercial, industrial, and public entities. In recent weeks, AJG shares have reflected steady performance amid broader market stabilization in insurance-related equities. Factors influencing sentiment include sustained client demand for specialized coverage and ongoing integration of acquired businesses, which have supported organic revenue expansion. The stock has maintained a measured trajectory, with performance aligned to sector peers navigating interest rate environments and regulatory developments.
MRSH Overview and Recent Performance
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) delivers risk, strategy, and people advisory services through its Risk and Insurance Services and Consulting segments. Key operations include insurance broking via Marsh and Guy Carpenter, alongside consulting through Mercer and Oliver Wyman. Recent market activity has seen MRSH exhibit resilience, with share price movements reflecting steady demand for its diversified offerings. Sentiment has been supported by consistent revenue from global clients and expansion in consulting services. Performance in recent weeks aligns with sector trends, influenced by macroeconomic conditions and client focus on comprehensive risk solutions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AJG and MRSH generate revenue primarily through insurance brokerage and risk advisory, exposing them to similar cyclical and regulatory influences. AJG emphasizes targeted growth via acquisitions and specialized placements, potentially offering higher agility in niche markets, whereas MRSH leverages greater scale and a broader consulting footprint for diversified revenue streams. Recent momentum has favored stability for both, though MRSH’s larger asset base may provide additional cushion during volatility. Risk factors include exposure to insurance cycle fluctuations and competition, with AJG showing relatively concentrated brokerage focus. Market sentiment remains positive for the sector, positioning the stocks as comparable options for investors balancing growth and defensive characteristics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to AJG. This assessment reflects its demonstrated stability in brokerage-driven growth and alignment with prevailing sector catalysts, though outcomes remain subject to broader economic variables and individual risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AJG is a Hold and MRSH is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AJG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMRSH’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AJG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRSH’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AJG’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRSH’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AJG’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MRSH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AJG (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +0.67% price change this week, while MRSH (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was +4.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was +0.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
AJG is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
MRSH is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (+0.90% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
| AJG | MRSH | AJG / MRSH | |
| Capitalization | 64.1B | 90.5B | 71% |
| EBITDA | 3.89B | 7.22B | 54% |
| Gain YTD | -3.004 | 3.880 | -77% |
| P/E Ratio | 41.36 | 23.16 | 179% |
| Revenue | 15B | 27.9B | 54% |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | 1.7B | 83% |
| Total Debt | 13.4B | 22.4B | 60% |
AJG | MRSH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRSH's Valuation (84) in the null industry is in the same range as AJG (89) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (65) in the null industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's SMR Rating (38) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AJG (82) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew somewhat faster than AJG’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's Price Growth Rating (45) in the null industry is in the same range as AJG (47) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the null industry is in the same range as AJG (59) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
| AJG | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 33% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 35% |
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AJG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AJG has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AJG jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AJG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 100% | -2.75% | ||
| BRO - AJG | 81% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| MRSH - AJG | 78% Closely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| AON - AJG | 73% Closely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| WTW - AJG | 69% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| ERIE - AJG | 54% Loosely correlated | +3.58% | ||
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MRSH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRSH has been closely correlated with AON. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRSH jumps, then AON could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 100% | -0.95% | ||
| AON - MRSH | 81% Closely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| AJG - MRSH | 77% Closely correlated | -2.75% | ||
| BRO - MRSH | 75% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| WTW - MRSH | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| ERIE - MRSH | 53% Loosely correlated | +3.58% | ||
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