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AJG vs MRSH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) vs. Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AJG and MRSH operate in the insurance brokerage and risk management sector, with AJG emphasizing retail brokerage and claims administration while MRSH integrates reinsurance and consulting services.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks reflecting broader financial services sector trends, with performance influenced by interest rate environments and acquisition activity.
- AJG has demonstrated resilience through organic growth and targeted acquisitions in recent weeks, supporting steady revenue expansion.
- MRSH benefits from diversified revenue streams across risk, reinsurance, and human capital consulting, providing relative stability amid market volatility.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to insurance cycles, regulatory changes, and global economic conditions, with comparable market sentiment in the current environment.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between AJG’s brokerage focus and MRSH’s broader professional services model.
Introduction
This comparison examines two leading players in the insurance brokerage and risk management industry: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH). Both companies serve commercial clients worldwide with brokerage, consulting, and risk solutions, making them relevant benchmarks for investors evaluating the financial services sector. The analysis focuses on observable factors such as business models, recent performance patterns, and market positioning. Professional traders, institutional investors, and those seeking sector-specific insights may find this comparison useful for understanding relative strengths within the insurance services space.
AJG Overview and Recent Performance
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) provides insurance brokerage, reinsurance placement, and risk management services, including claims administration. The company operates primarily through brokerage and risk management segments, serving commercial, industrial, and nonprofit entities. In recent market activity, AJG has shown steady performance supported by revenue growth from acquisitions and organic expansion in specialized insurance lines. Sentiment has been influenced by consistent client demand for risk solutions amid evolving regulatory and economic conditions. Broader timeframe references indicate resilience in the brokerage segment, with performance aligned to sector peers during periods of stable insurance pricing.
MRSH Overview and Recent Performance
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) delivers professional services in risk, reinsurance, capital, and consulting through its Marsh, Guy Carpenter, Mercer, and Oliver Wyman operations. The firm focuses on insurance brokerage, reinsurance solutions, and human capital advisory. Recent market activity reflects balanced contributions from diversified segments, with performance shaped by global client needs in risk management and consulting. Sentiment remains tied to insurance market cycles and economic indicators. Over broader periods, MRSH has maintained positioning through its integrated service model, showing alignment with financial services trends without significant divergence from sector benchmarks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ in scope: AJG centers on retail and wholesale brokerage with strong emphasis on claims management, while MRSH integrates reinsurance expertise and management consulting for broader revenue diversification. Growth drivers for AJG include acquisition-driven expansion and specialized product placement; MRSH draws from consulting fees and reinsurance placements. Recent momentum shows both stocks tracking insurance sector patterns, with AJG exhibiting acquisition-related stability and MRSH benefiting from multi-segment exposure. Risk factors encompass interest rate sensitivity and insurance cycle fluctuations for each. Sector exposure remains concentrated in financial services, though MRSH’s consulting arm offers partial offset. Market sentiment appears comparable, reflecting shared industry tailwinds and headwinds in the current environment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to AJG due to its focused brokerage momentum and acquisition catalysts, while acknowledging MRSH’s diversified stability as a competitive alternative. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing data patterns rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AJG is a StrongBuy and MRSH is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AJG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMRSH’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AJG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRSH’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AJG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRSH’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AJG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MRSH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AJG (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +0.26% price change this week, while MRSH (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -0.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was -2.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
AJG is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MRSH is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (-2.15% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
| AJG | MRSH | AJG / MRSH | |
| Capitalization | 65B | 85.9B | 76% |
| EBITDA | 3.89B | 7.16B | 54% |
| Gain YTD | -1.577 | -2.901 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.95 | 22.29 | 184% |
| Revenue | 15B | 27.5B | 55% |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | 1.61B | 88% |
| Total Debt | 13.4B | 22.5B | 60% |
AJG | MRSH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRSH's Valuation (82) in the null industry is in the same range as AJG (92) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (71) in the null industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's SMR Rating (35) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AJG (80) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew somewhat faster than AJG’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as MRSH (52) in the null industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to MRSH’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as AJG (68) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
| AJG | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 36% |
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AJG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AJG has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AJG jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AJG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 100% | -0.26% | ||
| BRO - AJG | 79% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| MRSH - AJG | 75% Closely correlated | -0.39% | ||
| WTW - AJG | 73% Closely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| AON - AJG | 73% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| ERIE - AJG | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.61% | ||
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MRSH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRSH has been closely correlated with AON. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRSH jumps, then AON could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 100% | -0.39% | ||
| AON - MRSH | 80% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| AJG - MRSH | 75% Closely correlated | -0.26% | ||
| BRO - MRSH | 73% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| WTW - MRSH | 66% Closely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| ERIE - MRSH | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.61% | ||
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