MTH
Price
$76.31
Change
-$0.87 (-1.13%)
Updated
Sep 16 closing price
Capitalization
5.43B
35 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$141.30
Change
-$0.33 (-0.23%)
Updated
Sep 16 closing price
Capitalization
13.65B
89 days until earnings call
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MTH vs TOL

Header iconMTH vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts MTH vs TOLBanner chart's image
Meritage Homes
Price$76.31
Change-$0.87 (-1.13%)
Volume$757.69K
Capitalization5.43B
Toll Brothers
Price$141.30
Change-$0.33 (-0.23%)
Volume$1.43M
Capitalization13.65B
MTH vs TOL Comparison Chart in %
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MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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MTH vs. TOL commentary
Sep 17, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTH is a Buy and TOL is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Sep 17, 2025
Stock price -- (MTH: $76.31 vs. TOL: $141.30)
Brand notoriety: MTH and TOL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MTH: 71% vs. TOL: 87%
Market capitalization -- MTH: $5.43B vs. TOL: $13.65B
MTH [@Homebuilding] is valued at $5.43B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.65B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $51.3B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $6.89B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MTH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • MTH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the long-term than MTH.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MTH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MTH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, MTH is a better buy in the short-term than TOL.

Price Growth

MTH (@Homebuilding) experienced а -2.97% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was -2.43% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -0.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.49%.

Reported Earning Dates

MTH is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2025.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Dec 15, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (-0.63% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TOL($13.7B) has a higher market cap than MTH($5.43B). TOL has higher P/E ratio than MTH: TOL (10.42) vs MTH (8.70). TOL YTD gains are higher at: 12.925 vs. MTH (1.063). TOL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 1.85B vs. MTH (850M). MTH has less debt than TOL: MTH (1.88B) vs TOL (3.07B). TOL has higher revenues than MTH: TOL (10.9B) vs MTH (6.22B).
MTHTOLMTH / TOL
Capitalization5.43B13.7B40%
EBITDA850M1.85B46%
Gain YTD1.06312.9258%
P/E Ratio8.7010.4284%
Revenue6.22B10.9B57%
Total CashN/A852M-
Total Debt1.88B3.07B61%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MTH vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
MTH
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
7481
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
24
Undervalued
51
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
5835
SMR RATING
1..100
6250
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5343
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
4946
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
8536

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

MTH's Valuation (24) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (51). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (58). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's SMR Rating (50) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (62). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (53). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (49). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MTHTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
64%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
51%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
73%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
60%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
45%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
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MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-0.23%
PHM - TOL
91%
Closely correlated
-0.56%
KBH - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
+0.26%
TMHC - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
-0.70%
MTH - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
-0.57%
MHO - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
-1.32%
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