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MTSI vs ONTO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Onto Innovation (ONTO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MTSI and ONTO have delivered strong year-to-date (YTD) gains, with ONTO leading at approximately 89% compared to MTSI's 72%.
- MTSI boasts a larger market capitalization of $22 billion versus ONTO's $15 billion, reflecting its established position in analog semiconductors.
- Recent analyst upgrades have boosted sentiment for both, with price targets raised to $300 for MTSI and up to $330 for ONTO.
- ONTO benefits from inclusion in a trending AI trading bot focused on data center stocks, signaling algorithmic interest.
- Both stocks trade near 52-week highs amid semiconductor sector momentum, but exhibit high betas (1.60 for MTSI, 1.70 for ONTO), indicating elevated volatility.
Introduction
This comparison examines MTSI and ONTO, two semiconductor industry players benefiting from demand in data centers, 5G infrastructure, and advanced chip manufacturing. Investors tracking relative performance in the volatile tech sector, particularly those focused on AI-driven growth and process control technologies, will find value in understanding their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning. Amid broader market rallies in semis, these stocks offer insights into sector trends and potential trade-offs in growth versus stability.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) designs and manufactures analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications, serving telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers. In recent market activity, MTSI has rallied sharply, approaching its 52-week high near $297 with a current price around $295 and YTD gains of 72%. Key influences include anticipation of Q2 earnings and analyst upgrades, such as Stifel's price target hike to $300, amid strong revenue growth in carrier networks and multi-market segments. Elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 130 reflects optimism, though high beta of 1.60 signals sensitivity to sector swings.
ONTO Overview and Recent Performance
Onto Innovation (ONTO) specializes in process control metrology and inspection systems for semiconductor manufacturing, including defect detection and yield management tools used by chipmakers. Recent weeks have seen ONTO sustain upward momentum, trading near $298 with YTD returns of about 89% and proximity to its 52-week high. Positive sentiment stems from a strategic partnership with Rigaku, analyst target increases to $330 by B. Riley and $320 by Needham, and expectations for Q1 earnings beats. A P/E ratio over 100 and beta of 1.70 underscore growth potential balanced by volatility in advanced packaging demand.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI focuses on analog components for RF infrastructure, contrasting ONTO's emphasis on metrology tools for fab processes, both tied to semiconductor expansion but with MTSI more exposed to telecom/defense and ONTO to advanced packaging. Growth drivers include data center demand for both, though ONTO shows stronger recent momentum via partnerships and momentum rankings. MTSI edges in market cap and cash reserves, while ONTO leads YTD performance. Risk profiles are similar with high betas and premium valuations; sentiment favors ONTO amid broader analyst enthusiasm, but MTSI offers relative stability in diversified end-markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools currently lean toward ONTO based on superior YTD momentum, inclusion in a high-performing trending bot, and consistent analyst upgrades signaling stronger near-term catalysts. MTSI remains competitively positioned with robust trend consistency, but ONTO's relative outperformance and process control niche suggest higher probability of continued upside in the current semiconductor environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a StrongBuy and ONTO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileONTO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ONTO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONTO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ONTO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -2.63% price change this week, while ONTO (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -11.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +88.66%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -2.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +139.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
ONTO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.19% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (-2.79% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| MTSI | ONTO | MTSI / ONTO | |
| Capitalization | 27.4B | 12.3B | 223% |
| EBITDA | 276M | 199M | 139% |
| Gain YTD | 109.587 | 57.152 | 192% |
| P/E Ratio | 152.76 | 115.39 | 132% |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 1.03B | 104% |
| Total Cash | 665M | 654M | 102% |
| Total Debt | 377M | 17.5M | 2,154% |
MTSI | ONTO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 40 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ONTO's Valuation (80) in the null industry is in the same range as MTSI (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ONTO (41) in the null industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (60) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ONTO (84) in the null industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ONTO (37) in the null industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as MTSI (18) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | ONTO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 9 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 85% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.77% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.78% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.61% | ||
More | ||||
ONTO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONTO has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ONTO jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONTO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 100% | -2.53% | ||
| AMAT - ONTO | 71% Closely correlated | -1.61% | ||
| ASMIY - ONTO | 70% Closely correlated | -2.18% | ||
| KLAC - ONTO | 70% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| UCTT - ONTO | 69% Closely correlated | -0.85% | ||
| LRCX - ONTO | 67% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
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