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NDAQ vs RJF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs. Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NDAQ shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +9.34% compared to RJF's +4.52%, reflecting robust market activity.
- Both stocks head into earnings with growth tailwinds: NDAQ Q1 revenue expected up 10.4% year-over-year (YoY), RJF Q2 up 10.2% YoY.
- NDAQ commands a premium valuation with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.4 versus RJF's 14.9, signaling higher growth expectations.
- NDAQ's larger $50 billion market cap contrasts with RJF's $30 billion, highlighting scale differences in financial services.
- Recent one-month gains favor RJF at around 6%, edging out NDAQ's 4%, amid pre-earnings positioning.
- One-year returns position NDAQ ahead at +23% versus RJF's +16%.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits NDAQ, a leading technology-driven exchange operator, against RJF, a diversified financial services firm focused on wealth management and capital markets. Both operate within the broader financial sector but differ in business models—one leveraging market infrastructure and data, the other client advisory and banking. Traders and investors navigating fintech trends, interest rate shifts, and market volatility may find value in assessing their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts. With earnings seasons underway, this analysis highlights key contrasts in recent momentum and positioning for informed decision-making in today's dynamic environment.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
NDAQ (Nasdaq, Inc.) is a global technology company powering capital markets through exchange operations, financial technology solutions, and data services. Its segments include Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services, benefiting from trading volumes, listings, and regulatory tech demand.
In recent market activity, NDAQ shares have traded around $88, within a 52-week range of $72 to $102. Year-to-date gains stand at +9.34%, outperforming broader indices amid steady equity and derivatives activity. Sentiment has been buoyed by expectations for Q1 earnings on April 23, projecting $1.37 billion in revenue (+10.4% YoY) and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.93 (+17.7% YoY), supported by a history of positive surprises. Influences include robust free cash flow generation and growth in anti-financial crime tools like Verafin, though shares dipped from January highs on broader market rotations.
RJF Overview and Recent Performance
RJF (Raymond James Financial, Inc.) delivers diversified services via private client groups, capital markets, asset management, and banking to individuals, corporations, and municipalities across North America and Europe.
Recently, RJF shares hover near $152, in a 52-week band of $132 to $178. YTD performance registers +4.52%, with one-year returns at +16%. Pre-earnings momentum for Q2 on April 22 anticipates $3.75 billion revenue (+10.2% YoY) and EPS of $2.76 (+14.1% YoY), driven by strong trading and investment banking fees. Last quarter's EPS beat and dividend hike bolstered confidence, though insider sales and cautious analyst revisions tempered gains. Performance reflects resilient client assets and loan growth amid fluctuating rates.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NDAQ and RJF diverge in business models: NDAQ's exchange and tech ecosystem offers recurring revenue from data and listings, less tied to net interest income (NII), while RJF emphasizes client-facing advisory and banking, sensitive to assets under management (AUM) and mergers & acquisitions (M&A) activity.
Growth drivers contrast NDAQ's fintech expansions (e.g., surveillance tools) against RJF's fee-based wealth platforms. Recent momentum favors NDAQ on YTD and one-year basis, but RJF shows shorter-term resilience. Risk factors include NDAQ's volume dependency versus RJF's credit exposure. Sector exposure aligns both to financials, yet NDAQ gains from tech adjacency. Market sentiment tilts positive pre-earnings, with NDAQ targets implying greater upside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward NDAQ for its consistent trend strength, superior YTD and one-year returns, and tech-driven catalysts like earnings growth and data solutions. While RJF offers value via lower P/E and stable dividends, NDAQ's relative positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, barring earnings surprises.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NDAQ is a Hold and RJF is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NDAQ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileRJF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RJF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NDAQ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RJF’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RJF’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -9.26% price change this week, while RJF (@Investment Managers) price change was +1.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -6.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.50%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -2.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
RJF is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-6.05% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Investment Managers (-2.29% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| NDAQ | RJF | NDAQ / RJF | |
| Capitalization | 46.7B | 30.5B | 153% |
| EBITDA | 3.32B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -14.374 | -1.758 | 818% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.88 | 14.79 | 168% |
| Revenue | 8.3B | 14.5B | 57% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.61B | - |
| Total Debt | 9.45B | 4.22B | 224% |
NDAQ | RJF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 45 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NDAQ's Valuation (68) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as RJF (69). This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to RJF’s over the last 12 months.
RJF's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as NDAQ (34). This means that RJF’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
RJF's SMR Rating (15) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (53). This means that RJF’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
RJF's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as NDAQ (62). This means that RJF’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
RJF's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (85). This means that RJF’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
| NDAQ | RJF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 45% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 46% | 13 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 59% |
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MCO - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
More | ||||
RJF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RJF has been closely correlated with SF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RJF jumps, then SF could also see price increases.