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NVR vs SPXN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NVR is a StrongBuy and SPXN is a StrongBuy.
NVR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
The 10-day moving average for NVR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NVR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 8 of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +6.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVR advanced for three days, in 176 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVR as a result. In 67 of 103 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVR turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.
NVR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
NVR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NVR entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVR's P/B Ratio (4.949) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.910). P/E Ratio (15.514) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.909) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
SPXN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
SPXN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 37 of 40 cases where SPXN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPXN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 52 cases where SPXN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +0.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPXN advanced for three days, in 245 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPXN as a result. In 59 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPXN turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
SPXN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPXN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPXN entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
NVR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| NVR | SPXN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 59% | 24 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 22 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NVR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while .
- NVR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NVR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- NVR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NVR (@Homebuilding) experienced а -9.35% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -5.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
NVR is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-5.80% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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NVR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVR has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVR jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
SPXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that SPXN and EXPD have been poorly correlated (+20% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that SPXN and EXPD's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPXN | 100% | +1.06% | ||
| EXPD - SPXN | 20% Poorly correlated | +0.56% | ||
| BBY - SPXN | 17% Poorly correlated | -1.66% | ||
| WAT - SPXN | 17% Poorly correlated | -1.85% | ||
| NVR - SPXN | 17% Poorly correlated | -1.37% | ||
| PCAR - SPXN | 16% Poorly correlated | -1.66% | ||
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