PGR
Price
$228.07
Change
-$1.55 (-0.68%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Capitalization
132.37B
95 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TRV
Price
$398.28
Change
-$7.16 (-1.77%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Capitalization
83.07B
95 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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PGR vs TRV

PGR vs TRV Comparison Chart in %
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VS
PGR vs. TRV commentary
Oct 24, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PGR is a StrongBuy and TRV is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PGR with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

PGR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026

PGR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 44 of 64 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PGR as a result. In 52 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PGR just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where PGR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The 10-day moving average for PGR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PGR advanced for three days, in 193 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 170 of 328 cases where PGR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PGR moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PGR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

PGR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PGR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.856) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.642). P/E Ratio (11.415) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.731). PGR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (64.235) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.400) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TRV with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TRV in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026

TRV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TRV as a result. In 45 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TRV just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where TRV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

The 10-day moving average for TRV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRV advanced for three days, in 181 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TRV moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 41%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

TRV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TRV entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TRV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.508) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.642). P/E Ratio (10.548) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.731). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.360) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.708) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
PGR vs TRV: Fundamental Ratings
PGR
TRV
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
3643
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
93
Overvalued
68
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
241
SMR RATING
1..100
9197
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
2811
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
5038
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/a75

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TRV's Valuation (68) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as PGR (93). This means that TRV’s stock grew similarly to PGR’s over the last 12 months.

TRV's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as PGR (24). This means that TRV’s stock grew similarly to PGR’s over the last 12 months.

PGR's SMR Rating (91) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as TRV (97). This means that PGR’s stock grew similarly to TRV’s over the last 12 months.

TRV's Price Growth Rating (11) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as PGR (28). This means that TRV’s stock grew similarly to PGR’s over the last 12 months.

TRV's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as PGR (50). This means that TRV’s stock grew similarly to PGR’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PGRTRV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
54%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
41%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
51%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
52%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
54%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
53%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
52%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
51%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
57%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
53%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend about 1 month ago
50%
Bearish Trend 17 days ago
48%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
49%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
52%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
32%
COMPARISON
Comparison
Oct 24, 2026
Stock price -- (PGR: $228.07 vs. TRV: $398.28)
Brand notoriety: PGR and TRV are both not notable
Both companies represent the Property/Casualty Insurance industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: PGR: 67% vs. TRV: 90%
Market capitalization -- PGR: $132.37B vs. TRV: $83.07B
PGR [@Property/Casualty Insurance] is valued at $132.37B. TRV’s [@Property/Casualty Insurance] market capitalization is $83.07B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Property/Casualty Insurance] industry ranges from $93.9K to $137B. The average market capitalization across the [@Property/Casualty Insurance] industry is $14.26B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

PGR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TRV’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • PGR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • TRV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, both PGR and TRV are a good buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

PGR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • PGR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TRV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, PGR is a better buy in the short-term than TRV.

Price Growth

PGR (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а +4.38% price change this week, while TRV (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was +2.24% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.73%.

Reported Earning Dates

PGR is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.

TRV is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.

Industries' Descriptions

@Property/Casualty Insurance (+1.39% weekly)

Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.

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PGR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TRV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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PGR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PGR has been closely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PGR jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PGR
1D Price
Change %
PGR100%
-0.68%
HIG - PGR
72%
Closely correlated
-1.93%
ALL - PGR
70%
Closely correlated
-2.28%
RLI - PGR
56%
Loosely correlated
-3.25%
WRB - PGR
56%
Loosely correlated
-2.94%
TRV - PGR
54%
Loosely correlated
-1.77%
More

TRV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRV has been closely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRV jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TRV
1D Price
Change %
TRV100%
-1.77%
HIG - TRV
88%
Closely correlated
-1.93%
THG - TRV
68%
Closely correlated
-0.78%
ALL - TRV
68%
Closely correlated
-2.28%
CINF - TRV
67%
Closely correlated
-1.11%
L - TRV
67%
Closely correlated
-1.47%
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