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SLGN vs SW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Silgan Holdings (SLGN) vs. Smurfit Westrock (SW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both SLGN and SW operate in the packaging sector but differ in materials: SLGN focuses on metal and plastic rigid packaging, while SW specializes in paper-based solutions.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks trading around $40 per share, reflecting similar valuation levels amid broader materials sector pressures.
- SLGN demonstrated earnings beats in recent quarters, with Q4 2025 EPS surpassing estimates, signaling operational resilience.
- SW reported full-year 2025 net income doubling post-merger, though Q4 earnings missed expectations.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential for both, with SLGN at approximately $54 and SW at $54, indicating comparable growth prospects.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both companies, due April 29 and 30 respectively, could drive short-term momentum based on guidance meets.
Introduction
Packaging stocks like SLGN and SW have garnered attention amid shifting consumer goods demand and sustainability trends. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to aid investors assessing relative performance in the materials sector. Traders focused on value plays or sector rotation may find insights here, particularly as both face earnings anticipation and commodity price influences. By contrasting growth drivers and risks, the analysis highlights trade-offs for diversified portfolios or targeted trades.
SLGN Overview and Recent Performance
Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) is a leading producer of rigid packaging solutions, including metal, glass, and plastic containers for food, beverage, and personal care markets. Operating through three segments—Dispensing and Specialty Closures, Metal Containers, and Custom Containers—it serves major consumer packaged goods companies. In recent weeks, SLGN shares have shown resilience, trading near $40 after fluctuations from a 52-week high of $57. Q4 2025 results featured EPS of $0.67, beating consensus by $0.02, supported by revenue growth to $6.48 billion for the year, up 10.7%. Sentiment has been buoyed by a 22nd consecutive dividend increase and analyst upgrades ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, though broader market volatility and input cost pressures have tempered gains.
SW Overview and Recent Performance
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW), formed from the 2024 merger of Smurfit Kappa and Westrock, is a global leader in sustainable paper-based packaging, emphasizing corrugated containers and consumer packaging. Recent market activity has seen SW shares hover around $40, down from a 52-week high near $53 but with recent upticks amid positive guidance. Full-year 2025 revenue reached $31.18 billion, up 47.7% due to merger synergies, with net income doubling to $699 million despite a Q4 earnings miss. Investor sentiment reflects optimism for EBITDA growth targets through 2030, tempered by volume softness and pre-Q1 2026 earnings release on April 30.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
SLGN and SW share packaging exposure but diverge in materials: SLGN's metal/plastic focus offers stability in food/beverage demand, while SW's paper emphasis capitalizes on e-commerce and sustainability trends post-merger. Growth drivers for SLGN include volume recovery and acquisitions, contrasting SW's synergy realizations and EBITDA CAGR of ~7% targeted through 2030 (EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). Recent momentum favors SLGN's earnings consistency over SW's mixed Q4, though both face raw material inflation risks. Sector-wise, SLGN exhibits lower volatility, while SW's scale provides diversification advantages. Market sentiment leans positive for both via "Buy" ratings, with comparable P/E multiples underscoring relative value.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor SLGN over SW, citing stronger trend consistency from recent earnings beats, reliable dividend growth, and higher projected upside to analyst targets amid stable demand drivers. While SW benefits from merger scale, SLGN's operational resilience and lower drawdowns position it probabilistically better for near-term outperformance in volatile markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SLGN is a Hold and SW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SLGN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SLGN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SLGN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SW’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SLGN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SW’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
SLGN (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +6.38% price change this week, while SW (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +11.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
SLGN is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.77% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| SLGN | SW | SLGN / SW | |
| Capitalization | 4.4B | 23.2B | 19% |
| EBITDA | 918M | 4.17B | 22% |
| Gain YTD | 4.819 | 14.572 | 33% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.60 | 61.39 | 25% |
| Revenue | 6.58B | 31.2B | 21% |
| Total Cash | 435M | 674M | 65% |
| Total Debt | 4.66B | 14.3B | 33% |
SLGN | SW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 14 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SW's Valuation (15) in the null industry is in the same range as SLGN (31) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that SW’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's Profit vs Risk Rating (92) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as SW (100) in the null industry. This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's SMR Rating (64) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as SW (90) in the null industry. This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
SW's Price Growth Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as SLGN (50) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that SW’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
SW's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SLGN (73) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that SW’s stock grew somewhat faster than SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
| SLGN | SW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 58% |
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SLGN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SLGN has been loosely correlated with GEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SLGN jumps, then GEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SLGN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLGN | 100% | +0.50% | ||
| GEF - SLGN | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| CCK - SLGN | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| AVY - SLGN | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| BALL - SLGN | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| OI - SLGN | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
More | ||||
SW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SW has been closely correlated with IP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SW jumps, then IP could also see price increases.