SPYI
Price
$52.74Alerts
Change
+$0.53 (+1.02%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
12.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
ULTY
Price
$21.11Alerts
Change
+$0.25 (+1.20%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
531.53M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPYI vs ULTY

SPYI vs ULTY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 02, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI) vs. YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY)

Key Takeaways

  • SPYI and ULTY are both actively managed, options-based income funds, but they pursue income through very different underlying exposure and risk profiles.
  • SPYI anchors to the broad S&P 500 Index with roughly 500 large-cap holdings, while ULTY is a non-diversified fund built around 15–30 volatile securities selected for elevated implied volatility.
  • SPYI carries a net expense ratio of 0.68%, materially lower than ULTY's 1.30%, a meaningful structural cost advantage for long-term holders.
  • ULTY offers an exceptionally high headline distribution rate but combines it with far higher turnover (about 721%) and greater price volatility, reflecting its more aggressive construction.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, Tickeron's AI would favor SPYI for its broader diversification, lower cost, and more consistent risk-adjusted positioning.

Introduction

Income-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have surged in popularity as investors seek to convert equity exposure into steady cash flow. SPYI and ULTY both sit within the "derivative income" category, but they are not direct substitutes. SPYI is a diversified, index-anchored covered-call strategy, while ULTY is a concentrated, high-turnover synthetic covered-call vehicle targeting the market's most volatile names. Comparing the two illuminates a core trade-off in income investing: predictable diversification versus maximum yield with elevated risk. This ETF comparison examines how each fund is built, what it owns, and how that shapes relative positioning in today's market.

NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI) Overview

SPYI is an actively managed ETF that seeks high monthly income with the potential for equity appreciation. Its underlying portfolio mirrors the S&P 500 Index, holding roughly 500 large-cap stocks, and overlays a call-spread options strategy using S&P 500 (SPX) index options. The fund sells (writes) call options while purchasing further out-of-the-money calls, aiming to generate premium income while retaining some upside participation.

Top holdings reflect the index's concentration in mega-cap technology: NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, and GOOGL, followed by AVGO, GOOG, and META. Sector allocation is led by technology (roughly 39%), with financials, communication services, healthcare, and consumer cyclicals each in the high-single to low-double digits. The fund charges a 0.68% net expense ratio and distributes monthly, with a distribution rate that has hovered near 12% in recent periods.

YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) Overview

ULTY is a non-diversified, actively managed ETF that seeks current income through both traditional and synthetic covered-call strategies. Rather than tracking an index, it selects between roughly 15 and 30 underlying securities—sometimes as few as five—based on implied volatility, upcoming catalysts such as earnings, trading volume, and liquidity. Positions are often constructed synthetically by buying call options and selling put options, and the fund writes calls with strike prices around 15% above current share prices.

Because the strategy targets high-volatility names, holdings are concentrated and rotate frequently. Recent top positions have included ADI, SHOP, PLTR, MELI, BABA, LRCX, and AMD. Technology dominates sector exposure at roughly 44–50%, followed by industrials and basic materials. ULTY charges a 1.30% net expense ratio, pays weekly distributions, and carries an extraordinarily high portfolio turnover of approximately 721%.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate in the rapidly expanding "options income" or covered-call segment of the ETF market. Demand for high current yield has accelerated as investors search for alternatives to fixed income in an environment where equity valuations remain elevated and rate expectations shift. This has driven strong capital flows into derivative-income products in recent quarters.

The two funds respond differently to the macro backdrop. SPYI's fortunes are tied to the broad, technology-heavy S&P 500, so its performance tracks large-cap earnings cycles and megacap momentum. ULTY's performance is more sensitive to volatility itself—higher implied volatility raises the premiums it can collect, but also amplifies the price swings of its concentrated underlying holdings. Regulatory scrutiny of complex derivative-based products and elevated distribution rates funded partly by return of capital is a shared risk for both funds, though ULTY's aggressive structure faces greater sensitivity to market drawdowns.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the two funds have diverged meaningfully in behavior. SPYI has delivered steadier total-return profiles, reflecting its diversified index base and capped-but-present upside participation. Its lower beta and broad sector spread have translated into comparatively smoother price action. ULTY, by contrast, has exhibited far higher volatility and deeper drawdowns, consistent with its concentrated, high-turnover basket of momentum and growth names.

Relative positioning is the defining difference. SPYI offers fund performance driven by the durable earnings of the largest U.S. companies, with income layered on top. ULTY offers a much larger distribution but sacrifices principal stability and diversification. For investors prioritizing capital preservation alongside income, SPYI's structure is more resilient; for those willing to accept significant price risk in pursuit of maximum yield, ULTY represents a more speculative alternative. This contrast in volatility and sector exposure is central to any comparative assessment.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to streamline your research and surface high-conviction ideas with greater speed and precision.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SPYI over ULTY in the current environment. SPYI's broader diversification across roughly 500 large-cap holdings, materially lower 0.68% expense ratio, and index-anchored construction provide a more consistent risk-adjusted profile. ULTY's non-diversified, high-turnover design and 1.30% fee structure introduce greater volatility and cost drag that may outweigh its higher headline yield. While ULTY may appeal to yield-maximizing investors in high-volatility regimes, the AI's preference leans toward SPYI for its superior balance of structural strength, cost efficiency, and diversification.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SPYI vs. ULTY commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPYI is a Buy and ULTY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPYI with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

SPYI sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for SPYI moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 30 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPYI advanced for three days, in 258 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

SPYI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPYI as a result. In 50 of 65 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPYI turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

SPYI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPYI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPYI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPYI entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ULTY with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

Momentum Indicator for ULTY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ULTY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 47 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ULTY turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 30 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

ULTY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ULTY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for ULTY entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ULTY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 28 of 39 cases where ULTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTY advanced for three days, in 117 of 152 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

ULTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPYIULTY
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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SPYI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPYI has been loosely correlated with AAPL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPYI jumps, then AAPL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SPYI
1D Price
Change %
SPYI100%
+1.02%
AAPL - SPYI
62%
Loosely correlated
+2.04%
MSFT - SPYI
60%
Loosely correlated
-2.26%
AVGO - SPYI
60%
Loosely correlated
+3.99%
NVDA - SPYI
59%
Loosely correlated
+2.92%
AMZN - SPYI
58%
Loosely correlated
-1.74%
More

ULTY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ULTY has been loosely correlated with FIX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ULTY jumps, then FIX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ULTY
1D Price
Change %
ULTY100%
+1.20%
FIX - ULTY
66%
Loosely correlated
+5.04%
COHR - ULTY
63%
Loosely correlated
+9.25%
PWR - ULTY
61%
Loosely correlated
+4.25%
CAT - ULTY
61%
Loosely correlated
+2.91%
CIEN - ULTY
59%
Loosely correlated
+8.80%
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