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TGS vs YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) operates primarily as a midstream natural gas transporter in Argentina, while YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) functions as a fully integrated oil and gas company with upstream, midstream, and downstream operations.
- Both stocks have shown resilience amid Argentina's energy sector dynamics, with TGS benefiting from steady gas transportation demand and YPF advancing through asset optimization and shale developments in recent market activity.
- Recent performance reflects sector exposure, with TGS demonstrating stability in pipeline utilization and YPF highlighting momentum from portfolio adjustments including conventional asset sales.
- Risk factors for both include Argentine economic conditions, regulatory environment, and commodity price volatility, though their business models present differing sensitivities to upstream versus transportation segments.
- Market sentiment appears constructive for energy infrastructure and production plays, supported by broader regional developments in natural gas and oil output.
- Relative positioning favors complementary exposure, with TGS offering transport-focused stability and YPF providing integrated growth catalysts tied to exploration and refining.
Introduction
Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) and YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) represent two key players in Argentina's energy landscape, making them relevant for comparison in the current market environment. TGS focuses on natural gas transportation infrastructure, while YPF encompasses a broader integrated model spanning exploration, production, refining, and marketing. This analysis appeals to traders and investors seeking exposure to Latin American energy equities, particularly those evaluating midstream stability versus upstream and downstream opportunities amid evolving regional supply dynamics and commodity trends.
TGS Overview and Recent Performance
Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) is Argentina's leading natural gas transporter, operating the largest pipeline system in Latin America and handling a significant portion of the country's gas consumption. The company also engages in liquids production and midstream services. In recent market activity, TGS shares have exhibited resilience, crossing above their 200-day moving average amid steady demand for gas transportation. Factors influencing performance include consistent pipeline utilization and broader energy infrastructure needs in Argentina, contributing to measured gains without sharp volatility in the recent period.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is a vertically integrated energy company engaged in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and commercialization, with significant operations in the Vaca Muerta shale formation. Recent market activity has featured portfolio optimization through sales of conventional assets and liability management actions such as bond redemptions. The stock has traded in a range reflecting these developments alongside upcoming quarterly results, with year-to-date gains supported by operational focus on core shale assets and liquidity-enhancing measures like a recent share split on the local exchange.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) and YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) differ markedly in business models: TGS centers on regulated midstream gas transportation with predictable fee-based revenue, whereas YPF integrates upstream production, refining, and marketing, exposing it more directly to commodity prices and exploration outcomes. Growth drivers contrast accordingly, with TGS tied to Argentina's expanding gas infrastructure needs and YPF benefiting from shale resource development and asset streamlining. Recent momentum has favored TGS through infrastructure stability, while YPF has advanced via targeted divestitures and operational refinements. Risk factors include shared exposure to Argentine macroeconomic conditions and regulations, though TGS faces lower upstream volatility and YPF contends with production variability. Sector exposure remains energy-centric for both, yet market sentiment reflects complementary roles within the same national energy ecosystem.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in transportation volumes for TGS and catalysts from portfolio adjustments at YPF, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) for relative stability in the prevailing environment, while recognizing YPF's positioning for potential upside tied to integrated operations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TGS is a StrongBuy and YPF is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TGS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileYPF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TGS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TGS’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while YPF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TGS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
TGS (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.66% price change this week, while YPF (@Integrated Oil) price change was -0.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +3.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
TGS is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+3.35% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| TGS | YPF | TGS / YPF | |
| Capitalization | 4.22B | 19.3B | 22% |
| EBITDA | 1.01T | 5.6B | 17,974% |
| Gain YTD | -9.810 | 35.924 | -27% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.37 | 1.27 | 1,134% |
| Revenue | 1.76T | 18.6B | 9,484% |
| Total Cash | 1.81T | 1.69B | 106,738% |
| Total Debt | 1.57T | 10.8B | 14,546% |
TGS | YPF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
YPF's Valuation (17) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TGS (58) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that YPF’s stock grew somewhat faster than TGS’s over the last 12 months.
YPF's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TGS (23) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that YPF’s stock grew similarly to TGS’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's SMR Rating (49) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for YPF (93) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew somewhat faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
YPF's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TGS (59) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that YPF’s stock grew similarly to TGS’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for YPF (100) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew somewhat faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
| TGS | YPF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 85% | 13 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 8 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 86% |
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TGS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGS has been closely correlated with YPF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TGS jumps, then YPF could also see price increases.
YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.