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UPS vs XPO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UPS is a Hold and XPO is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
UPS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- UPS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
UPS’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- UPS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
UPS (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +0.54% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was -3.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +1.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -0.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
UPS is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2025.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2025.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (+1.94% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
@Trucking (-0.37% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| UPS | XPO | UPS / XPO | |
| Capitalization | 127B | 13.5B | 941% |
| EBITDA | 12.7B | 1.19B | 1,066% |
| Gain YTD | -19.809 | -12.329 | 161% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.93 | 35.38 | 53% |
| Revenue | 91B | 8.01B | 1,136% |
| Total Cash | 6.07B | 212M | 2,864% |
| Total Debt | 26.7B | 4.11B | 649% |
UPS | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPS's Valuation (57) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (87) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPS (79) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's SMR Rating (28) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is significantly better than the same rating for XPO (100) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew significantly faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as UPS (63) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (100) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
| UPS | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 61% | 28 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 3 days ago 84% |
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | +1.85% | ||
| ODFL - XPO | 77% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | +7.34% | ||
| ARCB - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| SAIA - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | +1.42% | ||
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