UPS
Price
$87.00
Change
+$0.75 (+0.87%)
Updated
Aug 7, 02:32 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
126.8B
82 days until earnings call
XPO
Price
$123.17
Change
+$2.75 (+2.28%)
Updated
Aug 7, 11:00 AM (EDT)
Capitalization
14.49B
88 days until earnings call
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UPS vs XPO

Header iconUPS vs XPO Comparison
Open Charts UPS vs XPOBanner chart's image
United Parcel Service
Price$87.00
Change+$0.75 (+0.87%)
Volume$3.92K
Capitalization126.8B
XPO
Price$123.17
Change+$2.75 (+2.28%)
Volume$1.87K
Capitalization14.49B
UPS vs XPO Comparison Chart in %
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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UPS vs. XPO commentary
Aug 07, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UPS is a Hold and XPO is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 07, 2025
Stock price -- (UPS: $86.25 vs. XPO: $123.05)
Brand notoriety: UPS: Notable vs. XPO: Not notable
UPS represents the Air Freight/Couriers, while XPO is part of the Trucking industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: UPS: 101% vs. XPO: 68%
Market capitalization -- UPS: $126.8B vs. XPO: $14.49B
UPS [@Air Freight/Couriers] is valued at $126.8B. XPO’s [@Trucking] market capitalization is $14.49B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry ranges from $126.8B to $0. The market cap for tickers in the [@Trucking] industry ranges from $31.68B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry is $13.19B. The average market capitalization across the [@Trucking] industry is $4B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

UPS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • UPS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the long-term than UPS.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

UPS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • UPS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the short-term than UPS.

Price Growth

UPS (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а -1.07% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was -6.98% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.69%.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +2.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.81%.

Reported Earning Dates

UPS is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2025.

XPO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Air Freight/Couriers (+1.29% weekly)

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

@Trucking (+2.30% weekly)

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
UPS($127B) has a higher market cap than XPO($14.5B). XPO has higher P/E ratio than UPS: XPO (42.58) vs UPS (18.93). XPO YTD gains are higher at: -6.176 vs. UPS (-29.482). UPS has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 12.7B vs. XPO (1.2B). UPS has more cash in the bank: 6.07B vs. XPO (225M). XPO has less debt than UPS: XPO (4.17B) vs UPS (26.7B). UPS has higher revenues than XPO: UPS (91B) vs XPO (8.01B).
UPSXPOUPS / XPO
Capitalization127B14.5B876%
EBITDA12.7B1.2B1,062%
Gain YTD-29.482-6.176477%
P/E Ratio18.9342.5844%
Revenue91B8.01B1,136%
Total Cash6.07B225M2,699%
Total Debt26.7B4.17B641%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UPS vs XPO: Fundamental Ratings
UPS
XPO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
5264
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
35
Fair valued
87
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
10030
SMR RATING
1..100
2643
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6560
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
9033
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5575

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

UPS's Valuation (35) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (87) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for UPS (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's SMR Rating (26) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (43) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as UPS (65) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPS (90) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UPSXPO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
57%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
69%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
52%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
49%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
58%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
65%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
58%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
57%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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XPO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.

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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XPO
1D Price
Change %
XPO100%
+2.18%
ODFL - XPO
76%
Closely correlated
+1.89%
FWRD - XPO
75%
Closely correlated
-0.27%
ARCB - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
-0.87%
SAIA - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
-1.46%
GXO - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
+3.08%
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