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EXPD vs UPS
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXPD is a Buy and UPS is a Buy.
EXPD's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 2 days
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +2.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPD advanced for three days, in 192 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
EXPD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 165 of 292 cases where EXPD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXPD moved out of overbought territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXPD as a result. In 46 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXPD turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
EXPD moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXPD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EXPD's P/B Ratio (11.327) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.483). EXPD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (26.794) as compared to the industry average of (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.987) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.102) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
UPS in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UPS as a result. In 67 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPS just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where UPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
UPS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in 195 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 207 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UPS moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 52%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
UPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. UPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.115) is normal, around the industry mean (2.483). P/E Ratio (20.130) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.340) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). UPS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.061) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (0.935) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
EXPD | UPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPS's Valuation (67) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (81). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is significantly better than the same rating for UPS (100). This means that EXPD’s stock grew significantly faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's SMR Rating (25) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (34). This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (43). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (24). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
| EXPD | UPS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 47% | 6 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 54% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXPD’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while UPS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXPD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- UPS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXPD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXPD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UPS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXPD (@Other Transportation) experienced а -7.40% price change this week, while UPS (@Other Transportation) price change was -1.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +0.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXPD is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
UPS is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (+0.53% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
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EXPD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPD has been loosely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| XPO - EXPD | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| RLGT - EXPD | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.61% | ||
| UPS - EXPD | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| FWRD - EXPD | 32% Poorly correlated | +3.85% | ||
| GXO - EXPD | 31% Poorly correlated | -1.36% | ||
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